National Championships and July Challenge (Summer Nationals)

Y-12 Men's Saber

Saturday, July 5, 2025 at 1:30 PM

Baird Center - Milwaukee, WI, USA

Probability density of pool victories

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Explore the pool victory probability density for each fencer, with their actual victories highlighted in a box. Learn more.

# Name Number of victories
0 1 2 3 4 5 6
1 CHANG Ethan - 1% 4% 15% 31% 34% 15%
2 GU Andrew - - 1% 5% 20% 41% 33%
3 VO Blake - - 2% 10% 28% 39% 22%
3 LI Michael 1% 6% 20% 31% 27% 12% 2%
5 YU BOWEN - - - - 3% 25% 71%
6 GRIGORIEV Roman - - - 4% 21% 43% 32%
7 KANG Jeremy - - 1% 5% 20% 41% 33%
8 QI Jeremy - 1% 5% 19% 36% 30% 9%
9 KHANNA Adamantis - - - - 1% 13% 86%
9 LIANG Morgan - - - 3% 16% 40% 40%
11 SONG Aidan - - 2% 9% 28% 40% 22%
11 LUCAS William - - 1% 5% 21% 41% 33%
13 YU Ian - - 1% 5% 21% 42% 31%
13 KOREN George - - 1% 8% 26% 41% 23%
15 CHAMBERS Miles - - - - 2% 22% 76%
16 LIN Ethan - 3% 14% 31% 33% 16% 3%
17 BROOKS Theo - - 2% 10% 29% 40% 20%
18 BROOKS Drake - 1% 6% 21% 37% 28% 8%
19 GREENSTEIN Viktor - - - 2% 13% 41% 45%
20 LUC Cedric - - - 1% 7% 33% 59%
21 HRISTOV Nickolas - 4% 15% 30% 31% 16% 3%
21 HAO Johnny - - 2% 11% 31% 38% 17%
23 AGARWAAL Yohan - - 1% 4% 19% 41% 35%
24 KOZLOV Lucas - - - 1% 11% 37% 51%
25 ZHANG Aiden - 1% 8% 24% 36% 25% 5%
26 MASAKI Alex 2% 13% 29% 33% 19% 5% -
27 ISAYENKO Daniel - - 1% 9% 37% 52%
28 HWANG Hagan - - 1% 5% 19% 41% 35%
29 MOGUNOV Alan 1% 7% 21% 32% 26% 11% 2%
30 ZALETAEV Jacob 1% 9% 24% 32% 23% 8% 1%
31 GUVEN Derin 3% 15% 31% 32% 16% 4% -
32 MARTIRE Francis 10% 32% 35% 18% 4% 1% -
33 OU Rigel - - 3% 13% 31% 37% 16%
34 KAUL Ishaan - - 1% 5% 21% 42% 32%
35 TANG Morgan - - - 1% 10% 37% 52%
36 SLAVNOV Anton - - 1% 5% 22% 43% 29%
37 LVOVSKIY Roman 1% 8% 26% 37% 22% 5%
38 BIVIJI Adam - - 5% 21% 43% 31%
39 LAU Kyrus - 1% 9% 28% 41% 21%
40 FAVO Christopher 1% 7% 25% 37% 25% 6% -
41 LI Ryan - - 2% 10% 29% 39% 20%
42 D'AMELJ Edoardo - - 4% 15% 33% 35% 14%
43 TITOV Zachary 1% 6% 21% 34% 27% 10% 1%
44 DENG Richard 6% 24% 37% 25% 7% 1%
45 SUN Stephen - 2% 11% 30% 38% 17% 1%
46 SU Eric 1% 10% 29% 36% 19% 4% -
47 LYU Tyler - 4% 19% 37% 30% 8%
48 LIM JUWANA Maximilian - 1% 7% 26% 42% 25%
49 FISCHER Noel - 4% 18% 39% 33% 7%
50 SHAPIRO Leo - 3% 14% 33% 36% 14%
51 KIM Suin - 1% 5% 19% 36% 31% 9%
52 CHEN Aaron - 3% 14% 32% 34% 15% 2%
53 ABADA lucca - 3% 14% 31% 34% 16% 2%
54 MIAO Heqi - - - 2% 13% 39% 45%
55 HOWARTH Hayes 2% 12% 29% 34% 19% 5% -
56 KIM Junseong - 1% 6% 20% 34% 29% 10%
57 KAMURA Kosei 1% 6% 19% 33% 28% 12% 2%
58 WANG James 2% 13% 30% 32% 18% 5% -
59 LIU Jayden - - 4% 16% 34% 33% 11%
59 CHEUNG Evan 3% 17% 33% 30% 14% 3% -
61 STOLCKE Julian - 3% 13% 29% 33% 19% 4%
62 KONG Ethan 5% 22% 35% 26% 10% 2% -
63 SCHWARTZMAN Jakub 2% 13% 29% 32% 18% 5% -
64 CHAVAN Aditya - 1% 6% 21% 38% 29% 6%
65 SLOAN Ethan 1% 9% 27% 35% 22% 6% < 1%
66 LEVY Daniel - 1% 8% 27% 42% 22%
67 ARCHIBALD Zachary - 1% 6% 20% 34% 29% 10%
68 KIM Derek 3% 16% 33% 32% 14% 2% -
69 LUO Gavin 1% 6% 20% 33% 28% 11% 1%
70 LEE Kyle 2% 13% 30% 32% 18% 5% -
71 HSIEH Maxwell 7% 26% 35% 23% 7% 1% -
72 EKAMBARAM Rithik 1% 7% 24% 35% 25% 8% 1%
73 CHAN Troy Devon - 4% 17% 35% 32% 11% 1%
74 NARAYAN Rishi 1% 9% 24% 33% 24% 8% 1%
75 ARTETA-CHEVALIER Ulysse - 2% 12% 29% 35% 18% 3%
76 LEIGH Brayden 1% 5% 20% 34% 28% 10% 1%
77 TAN Daniel 8% 27% 35% 22% 7% 1% -
78 KIM Leo 4% 18% 33% 30% 13% 3% -
79 CHEN Ryan 2% 11% 28% 33% 20% 6% 1%
80 AVERY Marcus - - 2% 10% 30% 40% 19%
81 KOREN David - 2% 12% 31% 34% 17% 3%
82 LEE Shane Gunn - 3% 13% 31% 33% 17% 3%
83 SHANKAR Rahm - 3% 16% 34% 32% 12% 2%
84 BEAL Colton - - 2% 12% 33% 40% 12%
85 QI Zach 3% 16% 33% 31% 14% 3% -
86 KIM Shiloh - 4% 16% 31% 31% 15% 2%
87 DUFF Michael 1% 8% 23% 33% 24% 9% 1%
88 VENKATRAMAN Sushil 1% 10% 26% 33% 22% 7% 1%
89 PI Edwin - 3% 17% 36% 33% 11% -
90 HAHN EVER - 2% 13% 32% 37% 15%
91 BURENKOV Matthew - 6% 23% 39% 26% 6%
92 YUEN Caleb - 2% 14% 35% 36% 12%
93 UDAYGIRI Adi 4% 23% 39% 26% 8% 1%
94 CAO HAOTIAN 1% 6% 21% 33% 27% 10% 1%
94 GOTTSCHALK Theodore 1% 6% 22% 35% 26% 9% 1%
96 HOLMES Xavier 1% 10% 27% 34% 21% 6% -
97 DESAI Arthav - 3% 15% 32% 32% 14% 2%
98 CHOU Franklin - 2% 10% 27% 35% 21% 5%
99 LU Simon 2% 13% 29% 33% 19% 5% -
100 WANG David 1% 7% 22% 33% 26% 10% 1%
101 CHEN Brian 7% 26% 36% 23% 7% 1% -
101 WANG Henrik 1% 6% 23% 36% 26% 8% 1%
103 CIECIEREGA MATTHEW 1% 7% 22% 34% 26% 10% 1%
103 SUN Leonard 1% 8% 24% 34% 24% 7% 1%
105 ZHANG Caleb 2% 12% 28% 32% 19% 5% -
106 GAO Francis 1% 9% 27% 35% 21% 6% 1%
107 LI Derek 4% 17% 33% 30% 13% 3% -
108 IRVINE Cooper 9% 31% 36% 19% 4% - -
109 RAMAKRISHNA Arjun 7% 30% 38% 20% 5% - -
110 KUANG Cyrus 5% 21% 34% 27% 11% 2% -
111 SALMAN Ibrahim 1% 5% 20% 34% 28% 11% 1%
112 POLSANI Gaurav 4% 17% 31% 29% 15% 4% -
113 PARK Sean 1% 9% 24% 33% 23% 8% 1%
114 MOTOV Max 1% 6% 21% 34% 28% 10% 1%
115 GUO Jonathan 1% 8% 23% 33% 25% 9% 1%
116 MARCISZ Maksym 10% 32% 36% 18% 4% - -
117 STYS Owen 5% 22% 38% 26% 8% 1%
118 DEGUZMAN Miguel Javier 10% 32% 36% 18% 4% -
119 HSIEH Sebastian 5% 24% 38% 25% 7% 1% -
120 WU Vincent - 2% 11% 28% 34% 20% 4%
121 FU BRANDEN - 1% 9% 26% 36% 23% 5%
122 TABANCAY Cole - 3% 15% 31% 33% 16% 3%
123 JI Derek 1% 10% 27% 34% 21% 6% 1%
123 BLAIR Campbell - 2% 9% 25% 35% 23% 6%
125 ZHANG Leaf 11% 30% 34% 19% 5% 1% -
126 MALEK Zak 1% 8% 23% 33% 25% 9% 1%
127 FAN Yuen 26% 42% 25% 7% 1% -
128 DAI Ethan 6% 25% 37% 24% 7% 1% -
129 BROOKS Isaac 1% 6% 22% 35% 27% 9% 1%
130 HU Simon - 1% 7% 24% 39% 25% 5%
131 MAKLIN David 6% 26% 39% 23% 5% -
132 PARK Layne 1% 6% 21% 35% 27% 10% 1%
133 VIDREVICH David - - 1% 9% 30% 42% 18%
134 ALUF Brendon - 1% 5% 20% 36% 30% 8%
135 BRISENO Ethan 1% 6% 20% 33% 28% 11% 2%
136 HAN Kyle 1% 10% 28% 34% 20% 5% -
137 O'KEEFE Brody 2% 13% 32% 34% 16% 3% -
138 SONG Jerry 3% 16% 31% 30% 15% 4% -
139 ZHERENOVSKY Alan 10% 32% 36% 18% 4% - -
140 IP Hunter - - 4% 19% 40% 32% 4%
140 GAW Zachary 5% 24% 38% 24% 8% 1% -
142 WOLLOW Bennett 8% 32% 36% 19% 5% 1% -
143 CHAN Ewan - 1% 8% 24% 36% 25% 6%
144 IVERSON Niels 11% 32% 34% 18% 5% 1% -
144 RISMAN Edward 3% 17% 35% 31% 12% 2% -
146 LEE Jeffrey 9% 31% 36% 19% 5% - -
147 HO Alden 1% 7% 24% 38% 25% 5%
148 LIU Paul 6% 29% 39% 21% 5% -
149 FAN Yuchen 17% 40% 31% 10% 1% -
150 RAMBHIA Smit 4% 20% 36% 29% 10% 1%
151 KORIVI Ishan 21% 42% 28% 8% 1% -
152 LI Kent 2% 13% 30% 32% 17% 4% -
153 LLOYD Max - 4% 16% 32% 32% 14% 2%
154 KELLY Collin 2% 10% 26% 33% 22% 7% 1%
155 LEISTNER Armin 4% 20% 36% 29% 10% 1% -
156 LEE Bill King 13% 32% 33% 17% 5% 1% -
157 BARRIONUEVO Nicolas 7% 24% 34% 24% 9% 2% -
158 GILBERT Ari - 6% 21% 35% 28% 9% 1%
159 SUH Jordan 1% 7% 21% 33% 27% 10% 1%
159 JAVIER Xavier - 1% 8% 26% 40% 23% 1%
161 HONG Isaac 3% 17% 33% 30% 14% 3% -
162 SCOTT Clark 6% 26% 37% 23% 6% 1% -
163 BADMUS David 4% 20% 34% 28% 11% 2% -
164 LAN Jasper 1% 10% 28% 35% 21% 5% -
165 WANG Harrison 14% 34% 32% 15% 4% - -
166 LI Sky 26% 43% 25% 6% 1% - -
167 CHIDAMBARAM Nivedh 20% 39% 29% 11% 2% - -
168 OH Caleb 2% 16% 34% 31% 14% 3% -
169 CHU-NAFPLIOTIS Weston 10% 30% 36% 19% 5% -
170 KNOBEL Benjamin 7% 27% 37% 22% 6% 1%
171 ZHEN Felix 27% 42% 24% 6% 1% - -
172 TAK Sion 25% 42% 25% 7% 1% -
173 DING Orlando 13% 36% 34% 14% 3% -
174 RAHMAN Noah 22% 39% 27% 10% 2% - -
175 LEI Isaac 26% 42% 25% 7% 1% - -
175 ATA Kevin 2% 12% 28% 33% 19% 5% 1%
177 WONG Alexander 2% 14% 32% 33% 16% 4% -
177 TIAGI Ronald 4% 17% 32% 30% 14% 3% -
179 RINALDI Benigno 1% 8% 23% 33% 25% 9% 1%
179 LI Lucas 2% 17% 36% 31% 12% 2% -
181 HUANG KIMBALL 29% 42% 22% 6% 1% - -
181 HUGHES-WILLIAMS Atticus A 24% 40% 26% 9% 1% - -
183 LIU Andy 19% 38% 29% 11% 2% - -
184 HODES Greg - 1% 5% 21% 37% 28% 8%
185 TAK Kion 9% 30% 36% 20% 5% 1% -
186 NORTON Hudson 16% 37% 31% 13% 2% - -
187 GONG Johnny 7% 27% 36% 22% 7% 1% -
188 CHUNG Evan 3% 14% 28% 31% 18% 6% 1%
189 CHOI Clayton 26% 40% 25% 8% 1% - -
190 CARD Ewan 9% 31% 35% 19% 5% 1% -
190 ZHANG Hanzhi 27% 41% 24% 7% 1% - -
192 MOORE Blaise 7% 23% 33% 24% 10% 2% -
193 XIA Henson 7% 24% 34% 24% 9% 2% -
194 ERPELDING Ryan 17% 38% 31% 12% 2% - -
195 ALLEN Parker 5% 23% 36% 25% 8% 1% -
195 DMYTRUK Alexander 11% 30% 33% 19% 6% 1% -
197 MOODY-FUENTES Nelson 4% 19% 35% 29% 11% 2% -
198 TERENTIEV Michael < 1% - 3% 15% 35% 35% 11%
198 KANG Nathan 16% 40% 32% 10% 2% - -
200 ZHAO Alexander 1% 8% 28% 39% 20% 3%
201 SHARMA Ayaan 10% 32% 36% 18% 4% -
202 LOVELL Jackson 39% 41% 16% 3% - - -
202 BURCH III Andrew J. 4% 18% 32% 30% 14% 3% -
204 SABINO Bennett 1% 9% 26% 34% 22% 7% 1%
205 STOKELY Samuel 14% 34% 33% 15% 3% - -
206 RAJMOHAN Syon 48% 38% 12% 2% - - -
206 CHEN Donovan 28% 42% 23% 6% 1% - -
206 ADAMS Jordan 18% 39% 31% 11% 2% - -
206 LI Linus 41% 41% 15% 3% - - -
211 LI Sebastian 14% 35% 33% 14% 3% - -
212 SINGH Ekam 5% 22% 34% 26% 10% 2% -
212 SCHAR-MONSON Ansel 9% 27% 34% 22% 7% 1% -
214 MILLER Ari 44% 40% 13% 2% - -
215 MCCABE Donovan 5% 23% 36% 26% 9% 1% -
215 KOSGI krivik 3% 17% 33% 30% 14% 3% -
215 BABY Jacob 21% 40% 28% 9% 1% - -
215 STEVENS Emeric 2% 13% 30% 32% 17% 4% -
219 PALERMO Evan 21% 39% 28% 10% 2% - -
220 RANGE Easton 15% 35% 32% 15% 4% - -

Explanation

The heatmap in this table provides a visual representation of the victory probability distribution for each fencer in their respective pools:

This heatmap visualization offers an immediate understanding of each fencer's expected performance compared to their actual results.