National Championships and July Challenge (Summer Nationals)

Y-12 Men's Saber

Saturday, July 5, 2025 at 1:30 PM

Baird Center - Milwaukee, WI, USA

Probability density of pool victories

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Explore the probability of achieving at least a certain number of victories in the pool for each fencer, with their actual victories highlighted in a box. Learn more.

# Name Number of victories
0 1 2 3 4 5 6
1 CHANG Ethan 100% 100% 99% 95% 80% 49% 15%
2 GU Andrew 100% 100% 100% 99% 94% 74% 33%
3 VO Blake 100% 100% 100% 98% 88% 61% 22%
3 LI Michael 100% 99% 93% 73% 42% 15% 2%
5 YU BOWEN 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 97% 71%
6 GRIGORIEV Roman 100% 100% 100% 100% 95% 75% 32%
7 KANG Jeremy 100% 100% 100% 99% 94% 74% 33%
8 QI Jeremy 100% 100% 99% 94% 75% 40% 9%
9 KHANNA Adamantis 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 99% 86%
9 LIANG Morgan 100% 100% 100% 100% 96% 80% 40%
11 SONG Aidan 100% 100% 100% 98% 89% 62% 22%
11 LUCAS William 100% 100% 100% 99% 94% 73% 33%
13 YU Ian 100% 100% 100% 99% 94% 73% 31%
13 KOREN George 100% 100% 100% 99% 90% 64% 23%
15 CHAMBERS Miles 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 97% 76%
16 LIN Ethan 100% 100% 97% 83% 52% 19% 3%
17 BROOKS Theo 100% 100% 100% 98% 89% 60% 20%
18 BROOKS Drake 100% 100% 99% 94% 72% 36% 8%
19 GREENSTEIN Viktor 100% 100% 100% 100% 98% 85% 45%
20 LUC Cedric 100% 100% 100% 100% 99% 92% 59%
21 HRISTOV Nickolas 100% 100% 96% 81% 51% 20% 3%
21 HAO Johnny 100% 100% 100% 98% 86% 55% 17%
23 AGARWAAL Yohan 100% 100% 100% 99% 95% 76% 35%
24 KOZLOV Lucas 100% 100% 100% 100% 98% 88% 51%
25 ZHANG Aiden 100% 100% 99% 90% 67% 30% 5%
26 MASAKI Alex 100% 98% 85% 56% 23% 5% -
27 ISAYENKO Daniel 100% 100% 100% 99% 90% 52%
28 HWANG Hagan 100% 100% 100% 99% 95% 75% 35%
29 MOGUNOV Alan 100% 99% 92% 70% 38% 12% 2%
30 ZALETAEV Jacob 100% 99% 89% 65% 33% 10% 1%
31 GUVEN Derin 100% 97% 83% 52% 20% 4% -
32 MARTIRE Francis 100% 90% 58% 23% 5% 1% -
33 OU Rigel 100% 100% 100% 97% 84% 53% 16%
34 KAUL Ishaan 100% 100% 100% 99% 94% 74% 32%
35 TANG Morgan 100% 100% 100% 100% 99% 89% 52%
36 SLAVNOV Anton 100% 100% 100% 99% 94% 72% 29%
37 LVOVSKIY Roman 100% 99% 91% 64% 27% 5%
38 BIVIJI Adam 100% 100% 100% 95% 74% 31%
39 LAU Kyrus 100% 100% 99% 90% 62% 21%
40 FAVO Christopher 100% 99% 93% 68% 31% 6% -
41 LI Ryan 100% 100% 100% 98% 88% 60% 20%
42 D'AMELJ Edoardo 100% 100% 100% 96% 81% 48% 14%
43 TITOV Zachary 100% 99% 94% 73% 39% 11% 1%
44 DENG Richard 100% 94% 70% 33% 8% 1%
45 SUN Stephen 100% 100% 98% 87% 57% 19% 1%
46 SU Eric 100% 99% 89% 60% 24% 5% -
47 LYU Tyler 100% 100% 95% 76% 38% 8%
48 LIM JUWANA Maximilian 100% 100% 99% 92% 67% 25%
49 FISCHER Noel 100% 100% 96% 78% 39% 7%
50 SHAPIRO Leo 100% 100% 97% 83% 50% 14%
51 KIM Suin 100% 100% 99% 94% 75% 39% 9%
52 CHEN Aaron 100% 100% 97% 82% 51% 17% 2%
53 ABADA lucca 100% 100% 97% 83% 52% 18% 2%
54 MIAO Heqi 100% 100% 100% 100% 98% 84% 45%
55 HOWARTH Hayes 100% 98% 87% 57% 24% 5% -
56 KIM Junseong 100% 100% 99% 93% 73% 39% 10%
57 KAMURA Kosei 100% 99% 94% 75% 42% 14% 2%
58 WANG James 100% 98% 85% 55% 23% 5% -
59 LIU Jayden 100% 100% 100% 95% 79% 44% 11%
59 CHEUNG Evan 100% 97% 80% 47% 17% 3% -
61 STOLCKE Julian 100% 100% 97% 84% 55% 22% 4%
62 KONG Ethan 100% 95% 73% 38% 12% 2% -
63 SCHWARTZMAN Jakub 100% 98% 85% 56% 24% 6% -
64 CHAVAN Aditya 100% 100% 99% 93% 72% 34% 6%
65 SLOAN Ethan 100% 99% 90% 63% 28% 6% < 1%
66 LEVY Daniel 100% 100% 99% 91% 63% 22%
67 ARCHIBALD Zachary 100% 100% 99% 93% 73% 39% 10%
68 KIM Derek 100% 97% 81% 48% 16% 3% -
69 LUO Gavin 100% 99% 93% 73% 40% 13% 1%
70 LEE Kyle 100% 98% 84% 55% 23% 5% -
71 HSIEH Maxwell 100% 93% 66% 31% 8% 1% -
72 EKAMBARAM Rithik 100% 99% 92% 69% 34% 9% 1%
73 CHAN Troy Devon 100% 100% 96% 79% 44% 12% 1%
74 NARAYAN Rishi 100% 99% 90% 66% 33% 9% 1%
75 ARTETA-CHEVALIER Ulysse 100% 100% 97% 85% 56% 21% 3%
76 LEIGH Brayden 100% 99% 94% 74% 39% 11% 1%
77 TAN Daniel 100% 92% 65% 30% 8% 1% -
78 KIM Leo 100% 96% 79% 45% 16% 3% -
79 CHEN Ryan 100% 98% 87% 59% 26% 6% 1%
80 AVERY Marcus 100% 100% 100% 98% 88% 58% 19%
81 KOREN David 100% 100% 98% 85% 54% 20% 3%
82 LEE Shane Gunn 100% 100% 97% 84% 54% 20% 3%
83 SHANKAR Rahm 100% 100% 96% 80% 46% 14% 2%
84 BEAL Colton 100% 100% 100% 98% 86% 53% 12%
85 QI Zach 100% 97% 81% 48% 17% 3% -
86 KIM Shiloh 100% 100% 96% 80% 48% 17% 2%
87 DUFF Michael 100% 99% 91% 67% 34% 10% 1%
88 VENKATRAMAN Sushil 100% 99% 89% 62% 29% 7% 1%
89 PI Edwin 100% 100% 96% 79% 44% 11% -
90 HAHN EVER 100% 100% 98% 85% 52% 15%
91 BURENKOV Matthew 100% 100% 94% 71% 32% 6%
92 YUEN Caleb 100% 100% 97% 83% 48% 12%
93 UDAYGIRI Adi 100% 96% 73% 35% 8% 1%
94 CAO HAOTIAN 100% 99% 93% 72% 39% 12% 1%
94 GOTTSCHALK Theodore 100% 99% 93% 71% 37% 10% 1%
96 HOLMES Xavier 100% 99% 89% 62% 28% 6% -
97 DESAI Arthav 100% 100% 97% 82% 50% 18% 2%
98 CHOU Franklin 100% 100% 98% 88% 62% 26% 5%
99 LU Simon 100% 98% 85% 56% 23% 5% -
100 WANG David 100% 99% 92% 71% 37% 11% 1%
101 CHEN Brian 100% 93% 67% 31% 8% 1% -
101 WANG Henrik 100% 99% 93% 70% 34% 8% 1%
103 CIECIEREGA MATTHEW 100% 99% 93% 71% 38% 11% 1%
103 SUN Leonard 100% 99% 91% 66% 32% 8% 1%
105 ZHANG Caleb 100% 98% 85% 57% 25% 6% -
106 GAO Francis 100% 99% 89% 63% 28% 7% 1%
107 LI Derek 100% 96% 79% 46% 17% 3% -
108 IRVINE Cooper 100% 91% 60% 24% 5% - -
109 RAMAKRISHNA Arjun 100% 93% 63% 26% 5% - -
110 KUANG Cyrus 100% 95% 74% 40% 14% 3% -
111 SALMAN Ibrahim 100% 99% 94% 75% 41% 12% 1%
112 POLSANI Gaurav 100% 96% 79% 48% 19% 4% -
113 PARK Sean 100% 99% 90% 65% 32% 9% 1%
114 MOTOV Max 100% 99% 93% 73% 39% 11% 1%
115 GUO Jonathan 100% 99% 91% 68% 34% 10% 1%
116 MARCISZ Maksym 100% 90% 59% 23% 5% - -
117 STYS Owen 100% 95% 73% 35% 9% 1%
118 DEGUZMAN Miguel Javier 100% 90% 58% 22% 4% -
119 HSIEH Sebastian 100% 95% 71% 33% 8% 1% -
120 WU Vincent 100% 100% 98% 86% 59% 24% 4%
121 FU BRANDEN 100% 100% 98% 89% 64% 28% 5%
122 TABANCAY Cole 100% 100% 96% 82% 51% 18% 3%
123 JI Derek 100% 99% 90% 63% 28% 7% 1%
123 BLAIR Campbell 100% 100% 98% 89% 64% 29% 6%
125 ZHANG Leaf 100% 89% 59% 25% 6% 1% -
126 MALEK Zak 100% 99% 91% 69% 35% 10% 1%
127 FAN Yuen 100% 74% 33% 8% 1% -
128 DAI Ethan 100% 94% 69% 31% 7% 1% -
129 BROOKS Isaac 100% 99% 93% 71% 37% 10% 1%
130 HU Simon 100% 100% 99% 93% 69% 30% 5%
131 MAKLIN David 100% 94% 68% 29% 6% -
132 PARK Layne 100% 99% 94% 73% 38% 11% 1%
133 VIDREVICH David 100% 100% 100% 99% 89% 60% 18%
134 ALUF Brendon 100% 100% 99% 94% 74% 38% 8%
135 BRISENO Ethan 100% 99% 93% 74% 41% 13% 2%
136 HAN Kyle 100% 99% 88% 60% 26% 6% -
137 O'KEEFE Brody 100% 98% 85% 53% 20% 3% -
138 SONG Jerry 100% 97% 81% 50% 19% 4% -
139 ZHERENOVSKY Alan 100% 90% 59% 22% 4% - -
140 IP Hunter 100% 100% 99% 95% 76% 36% 4%
140 GAW Zachary 100% 95% 70% 33% 9% 1% -
142 WOLLOW Bennett 100% 92% 60% 24% 5% 1% -
143 CHAN Ewan 100% 100% 99% 91% 67% 31% 6%
144 IVERSON Niels 100% 89% 57% 22% 5% 1% -
144 RISMAN Edward 100% 97% 80% 45% 14% 2% -
146 LEE Jeffrey 100% 91% 61% 24% 5% 1% -
147 HO Alden 100% 99% 93% 69% 31% 5%
148 LIU Paul 100% 94% 64% 26% 5% -
149 FAN Yuchen 100% 83% 42% 11% 1% -
150 RAMBHIA Smit 100% 96% 76% 40% 12% 1%
151 KORIVI Ishan 100% 79% 37% 9% 1% -
152 LI Kent 100% 98% 84% 54% 22% 5% -
153 LLOYD Max 100% 100% 96% 80% 47% 15% 2%
154 KELLY Collin 100% 98% 88% 62% 29% 7% 1%
155 LEISTNER Armin 100% 96% 76% 40% 12% 2% -
156 LEE Bill King 100% 87% 55% 22% 5% 1% -
157 BARRIONUEVO Nicolas 100% 93% 69% 35% 11% 2% -
158 GILBERT Ari 100% 100% 94% 73% 38% 10% 1%
159 SUH Jordan 100% 99% 92% 71% 38% 11% 1%
159 JAVIER Xavier 100% 100% 99% 91% 64% 25% 1%
161 HONG Isaac 100% 97% 80% 47% 17% 3% -
162 SCOTT Clark 100% 94% 68% 30% 7% 1% -
163 BADMUS David 100% 96% 76% 42% 14% 2% -
164 LAN Jasper 100% 99% 89% 61% 26% 6% -
165 WANG Harrison 100% 86% 51% 19% 4% - -
166 LI Sky 100% 74% 31% 7% 1% - -
167 CHIDAMBARAM Nivedh 100% 80% 42% 13% 2% - -
168 OH Caleb 100% 98% 81% 48% 17% 3% -
169 CHU-NAFPLIOTIS Weston 100% 90% 60% 24% 5% -
170 KNOBEL Benjamin 100% 93% 66% 29% 6% 1%
171 ZHEN Felix 100% 73% 31% 7% 1% - -
172 TAK Sion 100% 75% 33% 7% 1% -
173 DING Orlando 100% 87% 51% 17% 3% -
174 RAHMAN Noah 100% 78% 40% 12% 2% - -
175 LEI Isaac 100% 74% 32% 7% 1% - -
175 ATA Kevin 100% 98% 86% 58% 25% 6% 1%
177 WONG Alexander 100% 98% 85% 52% 20% 4% -
177 TIAGI Ronald 100% 96% 79% 47% 18% 3% -
179 RINALDI Benigno 100% 99% 91% 69% 35% 10% 1%
179 LI Lucas 100% 98% 81% 45% 14% 2% -
181 HUANG KIMBALL 100% 71% 29% 6% 1% - -
181 HUGHES-WILLIAMS Atticus A 100% 76% 36% 10% 2% - -
183 LIU Andy 100% 81% 43% 14% 2% - -
184 HODES Greg 100% 100% 99% 94% 73% 36% 8%
185 TAK Kion 100% 91% 61% 26% 6% 1% -
186 NORTON Hudson 100% 84% 47% 15% 3% - -
187 GONG Johnny 100% 92% 65% 29% 7% 1% -
188 CHUNG Evan 100% 97% 84% 56% 25% 6% 1%
189 CHOI Clayton 100% 74% 34% 9% 1% - -
190 CARD Ewan 100% 90% 59% 24% 5% 1% -
190 ZHANG Hanzhi 100% 73% 32% 8% 1% - -
192 MOORE Blaise 100% 93% 70% 37% 12% 2% -
193 XIA Henson 100% 93% 70% 35% 11% 2% -
194 ERPELDING Ryan 100% 83% 45% 15% 3% - -
195 ALLEN Parker 100% 95% 71% 35% 10% 1% -
195 DMYTRUK Alexander 100% 89% 59% 25% 6% 1% -
197 MOODY-FUENTES Nelson 100% 96% 77% 42% 13% 2% -
198 TERENTIEV Michael 100% 100% 100% 97% 82% 46% 11%
198 KANG Nathan 100% 84% 44% 12% 2% - -
200 ZHAO Alexander 100% 99% 91% 62% 23% 3%
201 SHARMA Ayaan 100% 90% 59% 23% 5% -
202 LOVELL Jackson 100% 61% 19% 3% - - -
202 BURCH III Andrew J. 100% 96% 79% 46% 17% 3% -
204 SABINO Bennett 100% 99% 90% 64% 30% 7% 1%
205 STOKELY Samuel 100% 86% 52% 19% 4% - -
206 RAJMOHAN Syon 100% 52% 14% 2% - - -
206 CHEN Donovan 100% 72% 29% 6% 1% - -
206 ADAMS Jordan 100% 82% 43% 13% 2% - -
206 LI Linus 100% 59% 18% 3% - - -
211 LI Sebastian 100% 86% 51% 18% 3% - -
212 SINGH Ekam 100% 95% 73% 39% 13% 2% -
212 SCHAR-MONSON Ansel 100% 91% 64% 30% 9% 1% -
214 MILLER Ari 100% 56% 15% 2% - -
215 MCCABE Donovan 100% 95% 72% 36% 10% 1% -
215 KOSGI krivik 100% 97% 80% 47% 17% 3% -
215 BABY Jacob 100% 79% 38% 10% 1% - -
215 STEVENS Emeric 100% 98% 84% 54% 22% 4% -
219 PALERMO Evan 100% 79% 39% 11% 2% - -
220 RANGE Easton 100% 85% 51% 19% 4% - -

Explanation

The heatmap in this table provides a visual representation of the victory probability distribution for each fencer in their respective pools:

This heatmap visualization offers an immediate understanding of each fencer's expected performance compared to their actual results.