National Championships and July Challenge (Summer Nationals)

Y-10 Men's Saber

Sunday, July 6, 2025 at 1:00 PM

Baird Center - Milwaukee, WI, USA

Probability density of pool victories

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Explore the pool victory probability density for each fencer, with their actual victories highlighted in a box. Learn more.

# Name Number of victories
0 1 2 3 4 5 6
1 FU BRANDEN - - - 4% 20% 43% 33%
2 LUO Gavin - - 1% 6% 24% 44% 24%
3 TABANCAY Cole - 2% 12% 33% 38% 16%
3 LVOVSKIY Roman - - 1% 6% 24% 41% 27%
5 WANG James - - 1% 10% 32% 40% 17%
6 MOTOV Max - - 5% 24% 44% 26%
7 PARK Jayden - - 4% 18% 39% 33% 6%
8 DESAI Arthav - 1% 6% 19% 33% 30% 11%
9 ALUF William - - - - 5% 30% 65%
10 SALMAN Ibrahim - - - 4% 21% 45% 29%
11 MOROAICA Seiku - - - 5% 22% 46% 27%
12 JI Derek - 1% 7% 21% 35% 28% 8%
13 FAKHRI Adrian - 1% 6% 21% 37% 29% 7%
14 CANNON Rowen 2% 13% 29% 32% 18% 5% -
15 GILBERT Ari - 1% 7% 21% 34% 28% 9%
16 ZHANG Hanzhi 1% 6% 21% 36% 28% 8% 1%
17 SUN Leonard - 4% 19% 36% 31% 10%
18 ARTETA-CHEVALIER Ulysse - - 2% 9% 26% 40% 23%
19 CHUNG Evan - - 1% 8% 26% 41% 24%
20 RAHMAN Noah 1% 9% 26% 34% 22% 7% 1%
21 HUGHES-WILLIAMS Atticus A 1% 12% 32% 34% 17% 4% -
22 QI Zach - 4% 23% 42% 26% 5%
23 MIKHAILOV Andrei - 1% 10% 32% 41% 15%
24 SABINO Bennett - 2% 11% 31% 39% 18%
25 SUH Jordan - 2% 12% 33% 37% 15%
25 YE Aaron - 1% 7% 28% 44% 21%
25 CHEN Ryan - 2% 15% 35% 35% 12%
28 IP Hunter - - - 2% 13% 38% 46%
29 RAMAKRISHNA Arjun - 4% 18% 35% 30% 12% 2%
30 ERPELDING Ryan 2% 14% 29% 32% 18% 5% -
31 ZHEN Felix 2% 22% 39% 27% 9% 1% -
32 CARD Ewan 5% 20% 34% 28% 11% 2% -
33 TAK Kion - 1% 5% 21% 37% 29% 8%
34 HU Simon - - 2% 16% 43% 38%
35 DUFF Michael - - 4% 16% 34% 35% 12%
36 LEI Isaac 8% 26% 34% 22% 8% 1% -
37 HEILMANN Christian - - 1% 7% 25% 43% 25%
38 FAN Yuen 1% 5% 18% 32% 29% 13% 2%
39 SHEK-WEI Wesley 6% 24% 35% 24% 8% 1% -
40 WONG Alexander 1% 9% 25% 34% 23% 7% 1%
41 MAYO Elijah - 1% 5% 21% 38% 28% 7%
42 ATA Kevin - 5% 21% 37% 29% 8%
43 WANG Henrik - 3% 15% 34% 35% 13%
44 LAN Jasper - 3% 18% 37% 32% 10%
45 LI Derek - 2% 14% 35% 36% 13%
46 ARUN Viyaan - 1% 10% 28% 36% 21% 4%
47 LEVY Rafa - 1% 11% 35% 36% 15% 2%
48 WANG Russell - - 1% 4% 20% 43% 33%
49 GUO Joe 5% 20% 33% 27% 12% 2% -
50 KNOBEL Benjamin 1% 7% 25% 37% 24% 6%
51 ILICHEV Timur 1% 12% 32% 35% 17% 3%
51 XIA Henson - 7% 28% 40% 21% 4%
53 SHARMA Ayaan 1% 11% 32% 37% 16% 2%
53 WONG Jacob 1% 23% 44% 26% 6% -
55 TERENTIEV Michael - - 3% 19% 44% 34%
56 KRISHNARASA Aiyann - 1% 9% 32% 42% 16%
57 WANG Ambrose 1% 7% 26% 38% 23% 5%
58 LOVELL Jackson 7% 24% 35% 25% 8% 1% -
59 VINCENT Yian - - 2% 16% 38% 34% 10%
60 RINALDI Benigno - - 2% 9% 27% 39% 23%
61 OH Caleb - 1% 9% 27% 36% 22% 5%
62 HEILMANN Caleb - 1% 5% 18% 34% 32% 11%
63 TOPALOV Michael 2% 14% 30% 32% 17% 4% -
64 GUO Aiden 18% 37% 30% 13% 3% - -
65 FERNAINE Thomas 1% 11% 28% 33% 20% 6% 1%
66 ZHAO Alexander - - 1% 10% 32% 40% 17%
67 CONCANNON Jackson 11% 32% 35% 17% 4% - -
68 KULJIEV Boyan 5% 21% 33% 26% 11% 2% -
69 PASSMAN Julian 1% 10% 29% 36% 19% 4% -
70 ZHENG Matt 1% 5% 19% 33% 29% 11% 2%
71 LI Nathan 1% 11% 29% 35% 19% 4% -
72 XIE Andy 1% 9% 31% 37% 18% 3% -
73 NG Jaden 24% 43% 26% 6% 1% - -
74 PALERMO Evan 1% 7% 21% 33% 27% 10% 1%
75 PILYAVSKY Daniel 3% 24% 38% 25% 8% 1% -
76 TAK Sion 4% 29% 41% 21% 4% -
77 BROOKS Grant 6% 31% 38% 20% 5% -
78 GHIM Ethan 1% 8% 29% 38% 21% 4%
79 BABY Jacob 2% 30% 43% 21% 4% -
80 MULCAHEY Kieran 16% 39% 32% 11% 2% -
81 HADFIELD Gavin 72% 25% 3% - - -
82 TIAGI Ronald - 4% 20% 38% 30% 8%
83 GONG Johnny 4% 19% 33% 28% 12% 3% -
84 LI Linus 8% 28% 35% 22% 7% 1% -
85 CONSTANTINE Leonidas - 1% 10% 31% 40% 16% 1%
86 KIM Christopher 3% 16% 32% 31% 14% 3% -
87 CHEN Donovan 2% 13% 30% 33% 17% 4% -
87 FENG Kevin 1% 10% 26% 34% 22% 6% 1%
89 WANG Thomas 20% 45% 29% 6% - - -
90 KATZ Isaac 1% 12% 33% 36% 16% 2% -
91 HUANG Joseph 5% 21% 35% 27% 10% 2% -
92 LEKO Vincent 7% 27% 37% 22% 6% 1% -
93 KWON Joon 1% 8% 22% 32% 26% 10% 2%
93 HARDY Mason - 1% 9% 27% 36% 21% 4%
95 LIN Rongcheng Noah 52% 38% 9% 1% - -
96 GOLDSTEIN Malcolm 2% 22% 42% 27% 7% 1%
97 SOBOLEWSKI Isaac 14% 39% 33% 12% 2% -
98 WEBER Benjamin 2% 22% 39% 27% 8% 1%
99 MANGINI Lorenzo 1% 7% 25% 37% 24% 6%
100 HUANG Max 10% 38% 35% 14% 2% -
101 ROSENBLATT Ezra 8% 30% 38% 20% 4% -
102 TERNG Peter 2% 11% 27% 32% 20% 6% 1%
103 LEE Augustine 8% 26% 34% 22% 8% 1% -
104 AUSLANDER Rocco 2% 18% 37% 30% 11% 2% -
105 NABOKA Ruslan 4% 21% 35% 27% 11% 2% -
106 WANG Daniel - 4% 17% 34% 30% 13% 2%
107 SOSA Theodore 10% 30% 34% 20% 6% 1% -
108 SEVERT David 10% 36% 39% 13% 2% - -
109 WHITE Benjamin 3% 15% 30% 31% 16% 4% -
110 CHOI Liam 29% 46% 22% 3% - - -
111 HUANG ASHER 7% 28% 37% 22% 6% 1% -
112 CHANG Isaac 19% 39% 30% 11% 2% - -
113 LEE Weston 17% 40% 31% 10% 1% -
114 FUNG Emerson 1% 16% 37% 32% 12% 2%
115 LEE Caleb 26% 42% 25% 6% 1% - -
115 BECKER Grayson 3% 14% 31% 32% 17% 4% -
117 SASSI Skander 85% 14% 1% - - -
118 TOTH Oliver 52% 37% 10% 1% - -
119 CIECIEREGA Michael 31% 41% 21% 5% 1% - -
120 VIERLING Aaron 34% 43% 18% 3% - -
121 PAULISHAK George 61% 32% 6% 1% - - -
122 WU Vincent 68% 28% 4% - - -
123 CAO Osmond 4% 18% 32% 29% 14% 3% -
123 GUINN Robert 26% 45% 23% 5% 1% - -
123 GOURJI Roman 76% 21% 2% - - - -
126 JACKSON Aiden 5% 24% 37% 26% 8% 1% -

Explanation

The heatmap in this table provides a visual representation of the victory probability distribution for each fencer in their respective pools:

This heatmap visualization offers an immediate understanding of each fencer's expected performance compared to their actual results.