National Championships and July Challenge (Summer Nationals)

Y-10 Men's Saber

Sunday, July 6, 2025 at 1:00 PM

Baird Center - Milwaukee, WI, USA

Probability density of pool victories

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Explore the probability of achieving at least a certain number of victories in the pool for each fencer, with their actual victories highlighted in a box. Learn more.

# Name Number of victories
0 1 2 3 4 5 6
1 FU BRANDEN 100% 100% 100% 100% 96% 76% 33%
2 LUO Gavin 100% 100% 100% 99% 93% 68% 24%
3 TABANCAY Cole 100% 100% 98% 86% 53% 16%
3 LVOVSKIY Roman 100% 100% 100% 99% 93% 69% 27%
5 WANG James 100% 100% 100% 99% 89% 58% 17%
6 MOTOV Max 100% 100% 100% 94% 70% 26%
7 PARK Jayden 100% 100% 100% 96% 77% 39% 6%
8 DESAI Arthav 100% 100% 99% 93% 74% 41% 11%
9 ALUF William 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 95% 65%
10 SALMAN Ibrahim 100% 100% 100% 100% 95% 74% 29%
11 MOROAICA Seiku 100% 100% 100% 99% 95% 73% 27%
12 JI Derek 100% 100% 99% 92% 71% 36% 8%
13 FAKHRI Adrian 100% 100% 99% 94% 73% 36% 7%
14 CANNON Rowen 100% 98% 85% 55% 23% 5% -
15 GILBERT Ari 100% 100% 99% 92% 71% 38% 9%
16 ZHANG Hanzhi 100% 99% 94% 73% 37% 9% 1%
17 SUN Leonard 100% 100% 96% 77% 40% 10%
18 ARTETA-CHEVALIER Ulysse 100% 100% 100% 98% 90% 63% 23%
19 CHUNG Evan 100% 100% 100% 99% 91% 65% 24%
20 RAHMAN Noah 100% 99% 90% 63% 29% 7% 1%
21 HUGHES-WILLIAMS Atticus A 100% 99% 87% 55% 21% 4% -
22 QI Zach 100% 100% 96% 73% 31% 5%
23 MIKHAILOV Andrei 100% 100% 98% 88% 56% 15%
24 SABINO Bennett 100% 100% 98% 88% 57% 18%
25 SUH Jordan 100% 100% 98% 86% 53% 15%
25 YE Aaron 100% 100% 99% 92% 65% 21%
25 CHEN Ryan 100% 100% 98% 83% 48% 12%
28 IP Hunter 100% 100% 100% 100% 97% 85% 46%
29 RAMAKRISHNA Arjun 100% 100% 96% 78% 44% 13% 2%
30 ERPELDING Ryan 100% 98% 84% 55% 23% 5% -
31 ZHEN Felix 100% 98% 76% 38% 11% 1% -
32 CARD Ewan 100% 95% 75% 41% 13% 2% -
33 TAK Kion 100% 100% 99% 94% 73% 36% 8%
34 HU Simon 100% 100% 100% 97% 81% 38%
35 DUFF Michael 100% 100% 100% 96% 80% 46% 12%
36 LEI Isaac 100% 92% 66% 32% 10% 2% -
37 HEILMANN Christian 100% 100% 100% 99% 92% 67% 25%
38 FAN Yuen 100% 99% 94% 76% 44% 14% 2%
39 SHEK-WEI Wesley 100% 94% 69% 34% 10% 1% -
40 WONG Alexander 100% 99% 90% 65% 31% 8% 1%
41 MAYO Elijah 100% 100% 99% 94% 73% 35% 7%
42 ATA Kevin 100% 100% 95% 74% 36% 8%
43 WANG Henrik 100% 100% 97% 82% 48% 13%
44 LAN Jasper 100% 100% 96% 78% 42% 10%
45 LI Derek 100% 100% 98% 83% 49% 13%
46 ARUN Viyaan 100% 100% 99% 89% 61% 25% 4%
47 LEVY Rafa 100% 100% 99% 88% 53% 17% 2%
48 WANG Russell 100% 100% 100% 99% 95% 76% 33%
49 GUO Joe 100% 95% 75% 41% 14% 2% -
50 KNOBEL Benjamin 100% 99% 92% 67% 30% 6%
51 ILICHEV Timur 100% 99% 87% 55% 20% 3%
51 XIA Henson 100% 100% 93% 65% 25% 4%
53 SHARMA Ayaan 100% 99% 87% 56% 18% 2%
53 WONG Jacob 100% 99% 76% 32% 6% -
55 TERENTIEV Michael 100% 100% 100% 97% 78% 34%
56 KRISHNARASA Aiyann 100% 100% 99% 90% 58% 16%
57 WANG Ambrose 100% 99% 92% 66% 29% 5%
58 LOVELL Jackson 100% 93% 69% 34% 10% 1% -
59 VINCENT Yian 100% 100% 100% 98% 82% 44% 10%
60 RINALDI Benigno 100% 100% 100% 98% 89% 62% 23%
61 OH Caleb 100% 100% 99% 90% 63% 26% 5%
62 HEILMANN Caleb 100% 100% 99% 95% 77% 43% 11%
63 TOPALOV Michael 100% 98% 84% 53% 21% 4% -
64 GUO Aiden 100% 82% 46% 16% 3% - -
65 FERNAINE Thomas 100% 99% 87% 59% 26% 6% 1%
66 ZHAO Alexander 100% 100% 100% 99% 89% 58% 17%
67 CONCANNON Jackson 100% 89% 57% 21% 4% - -
68 KULJIEV Boyan 100% 95% 73% 40% 14% 3% -
69 PASSMAN Julian 100% 99% 88% 60% 24% 4% -
70 ZHENG Matt 100% 99% 94% 75% 42% 13% 2%
71 LI Nathan 100% 99% 88% 59% 23% 5% -
72 XIE Andy 100% 99% 90% 59% 22% 4% -
73 NG Jaden 100% 76% 33% 7% 1% - -
74 PALERMO Evan 100% 99% 92% 71% 37% 11% 1%
75 PILYAVSKY Daniel 100% 97% 73% 35% 9% 1% -
76 TAK Sion 100% 96% 67% 26% 5% -
77 BROOKS Grant 100% 94% 63% 25% 5% -
78 GHIM Ethan 100% 99% 91% 62% 25% 4%
79 BABY Jacob 100% 98% 68% 25% 4% -
80 MULCAHEY Kieran 100% 84% 45% 13% 2% -
81 HADFIELD Gavin 100% 28% 3% - - -
82 TIAGI Ronald 100% 100% 96% 76% 38% 8%
83 GONG Johnny 100% 96% 77% 44% 15% 3% -
84 LI Linus 100% 92% 64% 29% 7% 1% -
85 CONSTANTINE Leonidas 100% 100% 99% 89% 57% 18% 1%
86 KIM Christopher 100% 97% 81% 48% 17% 3% -
87 CHEN Donovan 100% 98% 85% 55% 22% 4% -
87 FENG Kevin 100% 99% 89% 62% 28% 7% 1%
89 WANG Thomas 100% 80% 35% 6% - - -
90 KATZ Isaac 100% 99% 87% 54% 18% 3% -
91 HUANG Joseph 100% 95% 74% 40% 12% 2% -
92 LEKO Vincent 100% 93% 66% 29% 7% 1% -
93 KWON Joon 100% 99% 91% 70% 37% 12% 2%
93 HARDY Mason 100% 100% 99% 89% 62% 26% 4%
95 LIN Rongcheng Noah 100% 48% 10% 1% - -
96 GOLDSTEIN Malcolm 100% 98% 76% 34% 7% 1%
97 SOBOLEWSKI Isaac 100% 86% 47% 14% 2% -
98 WEBER Benjamin 100% 98% 75% 37% 9% 1%
99 MANGINI Lorenzo 100% 99% 93% 68% 30% 6%
100 HUANG Max 100% 90% 52% 17% 3% -
101 ROSENBLATT Ezra 100% 92% 62% 24% 4% -
102 TERNG Peter 100% 98% 87% 60% 28% 7% 1%
103 LEE Augustine 100% 92% 65% 31% 9% 1% -
104 AUSLANDER Rocco 100% 98% 80% 43% 13% 2% -
105 NABOKA Ruslan 100% 96% 75% 41% 13% 2% -
106 WANG Daniel 100% 100% 96% 79% 45% 15% 2%
107 SOSA Theodore 100% 90% 61% 26% 6% 1% -
108 SEVERT David 100% 90% 54% 15% 2% - -
109 WHITE Benjamin 100% 97% 82% 52% 21% 5% -
110 CHOI Liam 100% 71% 25% 3% - - -
111 HUANG ASHER 100% 93% 65% 28% 7% 1% -
112 CHANG Isaac 100% 81% 42% 12% 2% - -
113 LEE Weston 100% 83% 43% 11% 1% -
114 FUNG Emerson 100% 99% 83% 45% 13% 2%
115 LEE Caleb 100% 74% 32% 7% 1% - -
115 BECKER Grayson 100% 97% 83% 53% 21% 4% -
117 SASSI Skander 100% 15% 1% - - -
118 TOTH Oliver 100% 48% 11% 1% - -
119 CIECIEREGA Michael 100% 69% 27% 6% 1% - -
120 VIERLING Aaron 100% 66% 22% 4% - -
121 PAULISHAK George 100% 39% 7% 1% - - -
122 WU Vincent 100% 32% 4% - - -
123 CAO Osmond 100% 96% 79% 46% 17% 3% -
123 GUINN Robert 100% 74% 29% 6% 1% - -
123 GOURJI Roman 100% 24% 2% - - - -
126 JACKSON Aiden 100% 95% 71% 34% 8% 1% -

Explanation

The heatmap in this table provides a visual representation of the victory probability distribution for each fencer in their respective pools:

This heatmap visualization offers an immediate understanding of each fencer's expected performance compared to their actual results.