MoDuel Open Epee

Senior Mixed Épée

Sunday, July 27, 2025 at 10:00 AM

Modern Duelists Fencing Academy - Elkton, MD, USA

Probability density of pool victories

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Explore the probability of achieving at least a certain number of victories in the pool for each fencer, with their actual victories highlighted in a box. Learn more.

# Name Number of victories
0 1 2 3 4 5 6
1 GUNDUBOGULA Saket 100% 100% 99% 92% 67% 28% 3%
2 SERAFIN Ben 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 95% 67%
3 TIRRELL Justin J. 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 96% 68%
3 GLOGOWSKI Konrad 100% 100% 100% 100% 98% 87% 47%
5 O'DOWD Andrew J. 100% 100% 100% 100% 99% 88% 34%
6 TATE William Isom 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 95% 64%
7 KAPLAN Maddox 100% 100% 100% 98% 83% 42% 6%
8 GAMBINO Robert A. 100% 100% 100% 100% 95% 66%
9 GOVOROV Alexander 100% 100% 100% 99% 87% 42% 6%
10 KIM Zac 100% 100% 99% 89% 56% 18% 2%
11 CZACHOROWSKI Mark 100% 98% 83% 50% 17% 3% -
12 DOLBOW Trevor 100% 100% 100% 95% 74% 36% 6%
13 SOKALSKI Edwin 100% 100% 95% 76% 38% 7% -
14 LENAR David 100% 99% 93% 71% 35% 9% 1%
15 KARASICK Andrew 100% 100% 99% 81% 43% 11% 1%
16 VANDINGSTEE Keith 100% 100% 100% 96% 77% 34% 4%
17 LUM-DEBONO Adam 100% 100% 95% 72% 28% 3%
18 CHAWLA Aarav 100% 100% 98% 85% 54% 18% 1%
19 BERGMANN Beatrix 100% 99% 88% 60% 25% 5% -
20 TRAN Alex 100% 96% 70% 28% 5% -
21 SCHROPPE Henry 100% 98% 85% 54% 21% 4% -
22 MURPHY Megan 100% 99% 90% 63% 27% 5% -
23 SHIN Jamie 100% 94% 66% 24% 3% - -
24 BOWIE Charlotta 100% 76% 32% 6% - -
25 STARKWEATHER Jeff 100% 100% 100% 96% 79% 42% 9%
26 MAGUIRE Timothy 100% 100% 97% 74% 27% 4% -
27 STOUT Zachary 100% 98% 82% 46% 13% 1% -
28 FAN Yonghua 100% 85% 47% 14% 2% - -
29 DARLING Giles 100% 100% 98% 77% 37% 9% 1%
30 SIMS Martin L. 100% 96% 73% 35% 8% 1% -
31 ZHANG Jason 100% 100% 99% 87% 45% 5%
32 YU Kenneth 100% 96% 75% 38% 11% 1% -
33 GRIETZER Elizabeth 100% 67% 25% 5% - - -
34 LOPATIN Sergei 100% 71% 18% 2% - -
35 WOHNER Kenneth S. 100% 98% 85% 54% 20% 4% -
36 FONS Jennifer 100% 62% 17% 1% - - -
37 DEXTER Danny 100% 54% 8% - - - -
38 FONS Amandine 100% 63% 11% 1% - - -
39 ALPERS Brian 100% 79% 38% 10% 1% - -
40 WEIRICH Mackenzie 100% 78% 27% 3% - - -
41 PARIKH Rowan 100% 52% 13% 2% - - -

Explanation

The heatmap in this table provides a visual representation of the victory probability distribution for each fencer in their respective pools:

This heatmap visualization offers an immediate understanding of each fencer's expected performance compared to their actual results.