Forge Fencing Academy & Club - Durham, NC, USA
Color shade indicates the magnitude of a surprise (positive or negative). Grey means no suprise. Read more.
# | Name | Bout Difficulty vs. Outcome * | Pool Victories | |||
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Pool | DE | Exp. | Act. | Diff. | ||
1 | JIN Daniel | V V V V V V | V V V V V | 5.5 | 6 | +0.5 |
2 | BROWN Joshua (Josh) A. | V V V D D | V V V V D | 4.3 | 3 | -1.3 |
3 | RUSSELL James | V V D D V | V V V D | 3.8 | 3 | -0.8 |
3 | DAVIS Andrew | V D D V D | V V V D | 1.5 | 2 | +0.5 |
5 | AMOROSO John | V V D V V | V V D | 4.8 | 4 | -0.8 |
6 | ROBERTS Phoenix | V V V V D | V V D | 3.3 | 4 | +0.7 |
7 | WEIKEL Joel | D V D V V | V V D | 2.7 | 3 | +0.3 |
8 | BROWN Amanda | D V V D V | V V D | 3.3 | 3 | -0.3 |
9 | HAN Sam | V V V V V | V D | 4.2 | 5 | +0.8 |
10 | MARX Leslie M. | V V V V V | V D | 2.4 | 5 | +2.6 |
11 | MALONE Jacob | D V V V V | V D | 3.5 | 4 | +0.5 |
12 | KERKHOF Peter L. | V D V V V | V D | 3.1 | 4 | +0.9 |
13 | DILDA Griffin | V V D V V | V D | 1.9 | 4 | +2.1 |
14 | WHITE Taylor | V V V V D | V D | 3.2 | 4 | +0.8 |
15 | DONNELLY Enzo | V D V V V D | V D | 3.5 | 4 | +0.5 |
16 | NANAYAKKARA Damin | D D V V V | V D | 2.6 | 3 | +0.4 |
17 | AZAD Ava | V V V D D V | D | 2.4 | 4 | +1.6 |
18 | STEPANIAN George | V V D V D | D | 1.7 | 3 | +1.3 |
19 | MEIER Nicholas M. | V D D V V | D | 2.2 | 3 | +0.8 |
20 | DUNSEATH Lauren M. | V D V D V | D | 3.0 | 3 | - |
21 | BENUCCI Vincent | V D V V D | D | 2.0 | 3 | +1.0 |
22 | SHELLY Emery | V D D V D V | D | 3.6 | 3 | -0.6 |
23 | JONES Jackson | D D V D V | D | 3.0 | 2 | -1.0 |
24 | RODACHY Jeffrey M. | D D D V V | D | 3.4 | 2 | -1.4 |
25 | CARCATERRA Theodore | D D V D V D | D | 1.8 | 2 | +0.2 |
26 | RAGSDALE Lillian | D D V D D | D | 0.5 | 1 | +0.5 |
27 | KARNAVAS William | D D V D D | D | 3.3 | 1 | -2.3 |
28 | NOLAN Sophia | D V D D D | V D | 1.3 | 1 | -0.3 |
29 | VERGARA Jace Riley | D D V D D | V D | 0.9 | 1 | +0.1 |
30 | CUTHBERTSON Dax | D V D D D | V D | 1.4 | 1 | -0.4 |
31 | GEISSLER Maximilian | D V D D D D | V D | 2.1 | 1 | -1.1 |
32 | NANAYAKKARA Sanuthi | D D D D D | V D | 0.8 | 0 | -0.8 |
33 | JULIEN Erica | V D D D D | D | 0.8 | 1 | +0.2 |
34 | STEELE Jeff | D D D D V | D | 2.0 | 1 | -1.0 |
35 | HARRIS Matthew T. | D V D D D | D | 2.5 | 1 | -1.5 |
36 | LANIER Cody | D D D D V D | D | 2.1 | 1 | -1.1 |
37 | HARRIS Lynn B. | D D D D D | D | 1.4 | 0 | -1.4 |
Color coded boxes represent the outcome against opponents of varying difficulty levels from the perspective of the fencer. Letters inside the boxes indicate victory (V) and defeat (D).
Color | Outcome | Opponent's Difficulty | Probability of Victory |
---|---|---|---|
Victory | Very Hard | 0% to 20% | |
Victory | Hard | 20% to 40% | |
Victory | Roughly Even | 40% to 60% | |
Victory | Easy | 60% to 80% | |
Victory | Very Easy | 80% to 100% | |
Defeat | Very Hard | 0% to 20% | |
Defeat | Hard | 20% to 40% | |
Defeat | Roughly Even | 40% to 60% | |
Defeat | Easy | 60% to 80% | |
Defeat | Very Easy | 80% to 100% |
The visual cues provided in this table highlight bouts that may be considered surprises based on the relative strengths of the competitors:
This visualization is designed to give both fencers and spectators an immediate sense of the unexpected outcomes of the competition. While every bout has its unique circumstances, these indicators can help highlight moments where a fencer overcame the odds or where there was an unexpected turn of events.