Neil Lazar Div1/Div2/Veteran ROC

Div II Men's Épée

Saturday, August 23, 2025 at 8:00 AM

Southern Connecticut State University (James Moore Fieldhouse) - New Haven, CT, USA

Probability density of pool victories

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Explore the pool victory probability density for each fencer, with their actual victories highlighted in a box. Learn more.

# Name Number of victories
0 1 2 3 4 5 6
1 RVACHEV Michael - 2% 14% 36% 36% 12%
2 HE Bronto - 1% 8% 24% 34% 25% 7%
3 PAYNE Massimo - - 4% 25% 46% 25%
3 WU Matthew - - 4% 21% 43% 27% 5%
5 SCHROEDER III Robert - - 1% 8% 25% 40% 25%
6 KELLEY Hayden 1% 7% 25% 37% 25% 6%
7 ZHAI Junqi 1% 7% 21% 32% 27% 11% 2%
8 SOLARZ Arthur 1% 11% 30% 35% 19% 4%
9 HELMY Richard - 1% 9% 28% 40% 21% 2%
10 ALEXANDER Christopher 1% 10% 29% 34% 20% 5% 1%
11 BRASSARD Calvin - 2% 19% 46% 28% 4%
12 WHITE Aidan 1% 9% 31% 38% 19% 3%
13 STEVENSON Ryan - 1% 10% 27% 35% 21% 5%
14 BHANDARE Veer 9% 27% 34% 22% 8% 1% -
15 HENNESSY Levon - 2% 12% 28% 34% 20% 4%
16 WARD Kofi 1% 7% 26% 38% 23% 5% -
17 MORI Seneca - 3% 18% 38% 33% 7%
18 O'HARROW Tristan C. - - - 2% 14% 42% 42%
19 BANNEN Nicholas - 1% 8% 28% 41% 21%
20 SUN Lucas - 1% 6% 24% 40% 26% 4%
21 LAMIRANDE Félix-Antoine - 2% 11% 27% 34% 20% 4%
22 HEISLER Maxfield 5% 25% 40% 25% 6% -
23 WU Jerry - 2% 13% 35% 37% 13%
24 JOYNER Braylon - 6% 22% 34% 27% 10% 1%
25 ZHANG Jonathan 1% 10% 26% 34% 22% 7% 1%
27 NABAVI Matthew R. - - 1% 8% 36% 55%
28 THOMAS Andrew 7% 24% 33% 24% 10% 2% -
29 MCDONNELL Nathaniel - 1% 8% 26% 39% 23% 3%
30 CARPENTER Touma S. - 3% 17% 33% 31% 14% 2%
31 ECKERT Kevin M. - < 1% 1% 15% 48% 36%
32 CHO Adrian 1% 11% 29% 34% 20% 6% 1%
33 EMMERT JP - - 1% 9% 33% 43% 14%
34 ABDELGAWAD Abdelrahman - - - 1% 8% 35% 56%
35 SKLAR Davida - - - 3% 15% 40% 41%
36 WANG-SONG Evan - 4% 26% 41% 24% 5%
37 ZHAO Pierce - 1% 5% 21% 38% 29% 6%
38 SPRINGER Elijah 2% 14% 35% 35% 13% 1%
39 THOMAS Ethan 2% 17% 37% 31% 11% 2% -
40 CHAU Collin 1% 7% 24% 34% 24% 8% 1%
41 REELS Eric J. - 2% 10% 26% 34% 22% 6%
42 MCMILLAN Jackson V. - 4% 18% 35% 32% 11%
43 MOSKOWITZ Martin - - 8% 29% 42% 21%
44 MITSCH Aubrey - 2% 19% 40% 31% 8%
45 PIERINI Noah 11% 37% 36% 13% 2% - -
46 SONPAL Winslow 21% 42% 28% 8% 1% - -
47 LEE Elijah 8% 30% 37% 20% 5% - -
48 KIM Zac 2% 26% 48% 21% 3% -
49 MCCALL Aidan 1% 8% 25% 36% 24% 6%
50 LAW Oliver 38% 45% 15% 2% - -
51 YU David 8% 45% 37% 9% 1% -
52 YAMAUCHI Corbin 9% 32% 37% 18% 3% - -
53 GREEN Logan 2% 12% 28% 32% 19% 6% 1%
54 ST.GEORGE Nicholas - 6% 20% 33% 27% 12% 2%
55 FRIZZELL Kai 2% 16% 36% 33% 11% 1% -
56 LIU Kun 2% 14% 33% 33% 15% 3%
57 LIU Pan Iok 71% 26% 3% - - -
58 EVANS Joseph - 4% 21% 39% 28% 7%
59 SHAPIRO Samuel 55% 35% 9% 1% - -
60 TARDIFF Seth 24% 47% 24% 5% - -
61 MANITT Philip 1% 9% 27% 36% 21% 5% -
62 HAN Nathan 28% 42% 23% 6% 1% - -
63 ATKINS Elan 45% 40% 13% 2% - -
64 CARDELLA Gavin 24% 43% 25% 6% 1% - -
65 WELCH Sebastian 71% 26% 3% - - -
66 WARD Carrington R. 1% 11% 31% 34% 18% 5% -
67 BUMPUS Isaias 5% 22% 36% 26% 9% 1% -
68 LEE Kevin 3% 23% 40% 26% 7% -
69 JIANG Aidan 73% 24% 3% - - - -
70 IANNO Alex 12% 54% 28% 6% - -
71 WOLFF Wesley 18% 39% 31% 10% 1% - -
72 DINIO Clara J. < 1% 1% 4% 15% 31% 34% 15%
72 ULINTZ MOSOVICH Quinn 62% 31% 6% 1% - - -

Explanation

The heatmap in this table provides a visual representation of the victory probability distribution for each fencer in their respective pools:

This heatmap visualization offers an immediate understanding of each fencer's expected performance compared to their actual results.