Neil Lazar Div1/Div2/Veteran ROC

Div II Men's Épée

Saturday, August 23, 2025 at 8:00 AM

Southern Connecticut State University (James Moore Fieldhouse) - New Haven, CT, USA

Probability density of pool victories

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Explore the probability of achieving at least a certain number of victories in the pool for each fencer, with their actual victories highlighted in a box. Learn more.

# Name Number of victories
0 1 2 3 4 5 6
1 RVACHEV Michael 100% 100% 98% 84% 48% 12%
2 HE Bronto 100% 100% 99% 90% 67% 32% 7%
3 PAYNE Massimo 100% 100% 100% 96% 71% 25%
3 WU Matthew 100% 100% 100% 95% 74% 32% 5%
5 SCHROEDER III Robert 100% 100% 100% 99% 91% 65% 25%
6 KELLEY Hayden 100% 99% 92% 68% 31% 6%
7 ZHAI Junqi 100% 99% 92% 72% 39% 13% 2%
8 SOLARZ Arthur 100% 99% 88% 59% 23% 4%
9 HELMY Richard 100% 100% 99% 90% 62% 23% 2%
10 ALEXANDER Christopher 100% 99% 89% 60% 25% 6% 1%
11 BRASSARD Calvin 100% 100% 97% 78% 32% 4%
12 WHITE Aidan 100% 99% 91% 60% 22% 3%
13 STEVENSON Ryan 100% 100% 98% 89% 61% 26% 5%
14 BHANDARE Veer 100% 91% 64% 31% 9% 2% -
15 HENNESSY Levon 100% 100% 98% 86% 58% 24% 4%
16 WARD Kofi 100% 99% 92% 67% 29% 6% -
17 MORI Seneca 100% 100% 96% 79% 41% 7%
18 O'HARROW Tristan C. 100% 100% 100% 100% 98% 84% 42%
19 BANNEN Nicholas 100% 100% 99% 91% 63% 21%
20 SUN Lucas 100% 100% 99% 93% 69% 30% 4%
21 LAMIRANDE Félix-Antoine 100% 100% 97% 86% 59% 25% 4%
22 HEISLER Maxfield 100% 95% 70% 31% 6% -
23 WU Jerry 100% 100% 98% 85% 49% 13%
24 JOYNER Braylon 100% 100% 94% 72% 38% 11% 1%
25 ZHANG Jonathan 100% 99% 89% 63% 30% 7% 1%
27 NABAVI Matthew R. 100% 100% 100% 99% 91% 55%
28 THOMAS Andrew 100% 93% 69% 36% 12% 2% -
29 MCDONNELL Nathaniel 100% 100% 99% 91% 66% 26% 3%
30 CARPENTER Touma S. 100% 100% 96% 80% 47% 16% 2%
31 ECKERT Kevin M. 100% 100% 100% 99% 84% 36%
32 CHO Adrian 100% 99% 88% 60% 26% 6% 1%
33 EMMERT JP 100% 100% 100% 99% 90% 57% 14%
34 ABDELGAWAD Abdelrahman 100% 100% 100% 100% 99% 91% 56%
35 SKLAR Davida 100% 100% 100% 100% 97% 82% 41%
36 WANG-SONG Evan 100% 100% 96% 70% 29% 5%
37 ZHAO Pierce 100% 100% 99% 94% 74% 35% 6%
38 SPRINGER Elijah 100% 98% 84% 49% 14% 1%
39 THOMAS Ethan 100% 98% 81% 44% 13% 2% -
40 CHAU Collin 100% 99% 92% 68% 34% 10% 1%
41 REELS Eric J. 100% 100% 98% 88% 62% 28% 6%
42 MCMILLAN Jackson V. 100% 100% 96% 78% 43% 11%
43 MOSKOWITZ Martin 100% 100% 100% 92% 63% 21%
44 MITSCH Aubrey 100% 100% 98% 79% 39% 8%
45 PIERINI Noah 100% 89% 52% 16% 2% - -
46 SONPAL Winslow 100% 79% 37% 9% 1% - -
47 LEE Elijah 100% 92% 62% 25% 5% - -
48 KIM Zac 100% 98% 72% 24% 3% -
49 MCCALL Aidan 100% 99% 92% 66% 30% 6%
50 LAW Oliver 100% 62% 17% 2% - -
51 YU David 100% 92% 47% 10% 1% -
52 YAMAUCHI Corbin 100% 91% 59% 21% 4% - -
53 GREEN Logan 100% 98% 86% 58% 26% 7% 1%
54 ST.GEORGE Nicholas 100% 100% 94% 73% 41% 14% 2%
55 FRIZZELL Kai 100% 98% 82% 46% 13% 1% -
56 LIU Kun 100% 98% 84% 51% 18% 3%
57 LIU Pan Iok 100% 29% 3% - - -
58 EVANS Joseph 100% 100% 96% 75% 35% 7%
59 SHAPIRO Samuel 100% 45% 10% 1% - -
60 TARDIFF Seth 100% 76% 29% 5% - -
61 MANITT Philip 100% 99% 90% 63% 27% 6% -
62 HAN Nathan 100% 72% 30% 7% 1% - -
63 ATKINS Elan 100% 55% 15% 2% - -
64 CARDELLA Gavin 100% 76% 32% 7% 1% - -
65 WELCH Sebastian 100% 29% 3% - - -
66 WARD Carrington R. 100% 99% 88% 57% 23% 5% -
67 BUMPUS Isaias 100% 95% 73% 37% 11% 2% -
68 LEE Kevin 100% 97% 73% 34% 7% -
69 JIANG Aidan 100% 27% 3% - - - -
70 IANNO Alex 100% 88% 34% 6% - -
71 WOLFF Wesley 100% 82% 42% 12% 1% - -
72 DINIO Clara J. 100% 100% 99% 95% 80% 49% 15%
72 ULINTZ MOSOVICH Quinn 100% 38% 7% 1% - - -

Explanation

The heatmap in this table provides a visual representation of the victory probability distribution for each fencer in their respective pools:

This heatmap visualization offers an immediate understanding of each fencer's expected performance compared to their actual results.