Neil Lazar Div1/Div2/Veteran ROC

Div II Men's Saber

Sunday, August 24, 2025 at 12:30 PM

Southern Connecticut State University (James Moore Fieldhouse) - New Haven, CT, USA

Probability density of pool victories

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Explore the pool victory probability density for each fencer, with their actual victories highlighted in a box. Learn more.

# Name Number of victories
0 1 2 3 4 5 6
1 ZHAO Royce - - 2% 10% 30% 40% 18%
2 VEDRE Neil - 1% 7% 21% 33% 28% 9%
3 CRAWFORD William - 4% 15% 31% 32% 15% 3%
3 LAZARTE Gabriel 1% 7% 21% 32% 27% 11% 2%
5 ZWAKA Jonas - 4% 19% 37% 31% 10%
6 ROSADO Sebastian - 2% 12% 28% 34% 19% 4%
7 WOLMART Zander 5% 26% 38% 24% 7% 1%
8 WONG Caleb W. - 4% 18% 36% 32% 10%
9 LIM Brandon - - 2% 10% 28% 39% 22%
10 BELAND Riley James "RJ" - 4% 17% 33% 31% 14% 2%
11 LEVY Jack - - 2% 12% 31% 38% 16%
12 CHENG Brandon - - 3% 16% 35% 34% 12%
13 MIAO Heqi - 2% 13% 30% 34% 18% 3%
14 HELD Lev 7% 25% 35% 24% 8% 1% -
15 JARAMILLO Juan 1% 11% 30% 35% 18% 5% -
16 GUPTA Arav 11% 30% 33% 19% 6% 1% -
17 WASCO Andrew - - 2% 10% 28% 40% 20%
18 WITCZAK Mateus - - 2% 10% 28% 39% 21%
19 ZHANG Simon 1% 8% 26% 35% 23% 7% 1%
20 NIEBERGALL Jaxson 1% 12% 31% 34% 17% 4% -
21 ORIE Sohan 4% 23% 38% 26% 8% 1% -
22 LORENZ Evan - 1% 7% 23% 36% 26% 7%
23 SWIFT Owen - - 3% 15% 33% 35% 14%
24 ABDELLAHI Aziz - - 1% 5% 19% 41% 34%
25 ZONG Yujie - - 5% 19% 36% 31% 10%
26 BHASKAR Dhananjay K. - - 1% 9% 28% 41% 21%
27 RIDKY Sam - 3% 15% 34% 35% 13%
28 LIU Eric - 1% 9% 26% 35% 22% 5%
29 DAI Zihou - 2% 10% 25% 33% 23% 7%
30 MARTINEZ Luke 19% 38% 30% 11% 2% - -
31 LEE Damian 3% 15% 30% 30% 17% 5% 1%
32 JAIDEVA Aakash 2% 11% 26% 32% 21% 7% 1%
33 WEISS Toby - 4% 16% 31% 32% 15% 2%
34 JAGANNATHAN Ajay 2% 13% 29% 33% 18% 5% -
35 CONG Mason 3% 17% 32% 30% 14% 3% -
36 LABRADOR RODRIGUEZ Emanuel - 2% 13% 31% 34% 16% 3%
37 COBITZ Harrison 2% 15% 32% 32% 15% 3% -
38 DZIALO George A. 2% 15% 35% 33% 14% 2%
39 BENNETT Lachlan 5% 26% 37% 23% 7% 1% -
40 MCCAFFREY Timothy 1% 11% 29% 34% 19% 5% 1%
41 WANG Theodore - 4% 17% 32% 31% 14% 2%
42 MARSHQUIST Miles 43% 40% 14% 2% - - -
43 HAUSLER Jayden - 5% 19% 34% 29% 11% 1%
44 KRAYTMAN Matthew 6% 29% 37% 21% 6% 1% -
45 CHIEN Nolan 3% 18% 35% 30% 12% 2% -
46 SOMANI Aarav 42% 40% 15% 3% - - -
47 MERCURE Edward (Tony) 3% 20% 36% 28% 10% 2% -
49 SONG Ryan 6% 24% 36% 25% 8% 1% -
50 LOSQUADRO Joseph 1% 10% 28% 35% 20% 5% -
51 ZHANG David 8% 28% 35% 21% 7% 1% -
52 MENZIES Liam 13% 33% 33% 16% 4% - -
52 KOCKELMAN Zeno 3% 14% 29% 31% 18% 5% 1%
54 MUKHERJEE Aryan 47% 39% 12% 2% - - -
55 BERGHAUSER Zachary 48% 38% 12% 2% - - -
56 BARAKAT Bailey 53% 37% 9% 1% - -

Explanation

The heatmap in this table provides a visual representation of the victory probability distribution for each fencer in their respective pools:

This heatmap visualization offers an immediate understanding of each fencer's expected performance compared to their actual results.