Neil Lazar Div1/Div2/Veteran ROC

Div II Men's Saber

Sunday, August 24, 2025 at 12:30 PM

Southern Connecticut State University (James Moore Fieldhouse) - New Haven, CT, USA

Probability density of pool victories

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Explore the probability of achieving at least a certain number of victories in the pool for each fencer, with their actual victories highlighted in a box. Learn more.

# Name Number of victories
0 1 2 3 4 5 6
1 ZHAO Royce 100% 100% 100% 98% 89% 59% 18%
2 VEDRE Neil 100% 100% 99% 91% 70% 37% 9%
3 CRAWFORD William 100% 100% 96% 81% 50% 18% 3%
3 LAZARTE Gabriel 100% 99% 92% 72% 40% 13% 2%
5 ZWAKA Jonas 100% 100% 96% 77% 41% 10%
6 ROSADO Sebastian 100% 100% 97% 85% 57% 23% 4%
7 WOLMART Zander 100% 95% 69% 31% 7% 1%
8 WONG Caleb W. 100% 100% 96% 78% 42% 10%
9 LIM Brandon 100% 100% 100% 98% 89% 61% 22%
10 BELAND Riley James "RJ" 100% 100% 96% 80% 47% 16% 2%
11 LEVY Jack 100% 100% 100% 98% 86% 55% 16%
12 CHENG Brandon 100% 100% 100% 96% 81% 46% 12%
13 MIAO Heqi 100% 100% 97% 85% 55% 21% 3%
14 HELD Lev 100% 93% 68% 33% 10% 1% -
15 JARAMILLO Juan 100% 99% 88% 58% 23% 5% -
16 GUPTA Arav 100% 89% 58% 25% 7% 1% -
17 WASCO Andrew 100% 100% 100% 98% 89% 60% 20%
18 WITCZAK Mateus 100% 100% 100% 98% 88% 60% 21%
19 ZHANG Simon 100% 99% 91% 65% 30% 7% 1%
20 NIEBERGALL Jaxson 100% 99% 87% 56% 21% 4% -
21 ORIE Sohan 100% 96% 72% 35% 9% 1% -
22 LORENZ Evan 100% 100% 99% 92% 69% 33% 7%
23 SWIFT Owen 100% 100% 100% 97% 82% 49% 14%
24 ABDELLAHI Aziz 100% 100% 100% 99% 95% 75% 34%
25 ZONG Yujie 100% 100% 100% 95% 76% 41% 10%
26 BHASKAR Dhananjay K. 100% 100% 100% 99% 90% 62% 21%
27 RIDKY Sam 100% 100% 97% 82% 48% 13%
28 LIU Eric 100% 100% 98% 89% 63% 28% 5%
29 DAI Zihou 100% 100% 98% 88% 64% 30% 7%
30 MARTINEZ Luke 100% 81% 43% 14% 2% - -
31 LEE Damian 100% 97% 82% 53% 22% 5% 1%
32 JAIDEVA Aakash 100% 98% 87% 61% 29% 8% 1%
33 WEISS Toby 100% 100% 96% 80% 49% 17% 2%
34 JAGANNATHAN Ajay 100% 98% 85% 56% 23% 5% -
35 CONG Mason 100% 97% 80% 48% 18% 3% -
36 LABRADOR RODRIGUEZ Emanuel 100% 100% 97% 84% 53% 19% 3%
37 COBITZ Harrison 100% 98% 83% 51% 19% 4% -
38 DZIALO George A. 100% 98% 83% 48% 16% 2%
39 BENNETT Lachlan 100% 95% 69% 31% 8% 1% -
40 MCCAFFREY Timothy 100% 99% 88% 59% 25% 6% 1%
41 WANG Theodore 100% 100% 95% 79% 46% 16% 2%
42 MARSHQUIST Miles 100% 57% 17% 3% - - -
43 HAUSLER Jayden 100% 100% 95% 75% 41% 12% 1%
44 KRAYTMAN Matthew 100% 94% 65% 27% 6% 1% -
45 CHIEN Nolan 100% 97% 80% 44% 14% 2% -
46 SOMANI Aarav 100% 58% 18% 3% - - -
47 MERCURE Edward (Tony) 100% 97% 77% 41% 12% 2% -
49 SONG Ryan 100% 94% 71% 35% 10% 1% -
50 LOSQUADRO Joseph 100% 99% 89% 61% 25% 5% -
51 ZHANG David 100% 92% 64% 29% 8% 1% -
52 MENZIES Liam 100% 87% 54% 21% 5% 1% -
52 KOCKELMAN Zeno 100% 97% 84% 54% 23% 6% 1%
54 MUKHERJEE Aryan 100% 53% 14% 2% - - -
55 BERGHAUSER Zachary 100% 52% 13% 2% - - -
56 BARAKAT Bailey 100% 47% 10% 1% - -

Explanation

The heatmap in this table provides a visual representation of the victory probability distribution for each fencer in their respective pools:

This heatmap visualization offers an immediate understanding of each fencer's expected performance compared to their actual results.