Air Force ROC (D1A, DV2, VET), RJCC

Div II Women's Épée

Sunday, September 14, 2025 at 1:30 PM

Air Force Cadet Field House - Air Force Academy, CO, USA

Probability density of pool victories

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Explore the probability of achieving at least a certain number of victories in the pool for each fencer, with their actual victories highlighted in a box. Learn more.

# Name Number of victories
0 1 2 3 4 5 6
1 LANE Leah 100% 100% 100% 96% 80% 46% 13%
2 JORDAN Zoe 100% 100% 99% 93% 72% 36% 8%
3 BURKS Madison 100% 99% 90% 63% 27% 5%
3 RALSTON Katherine 100% 100% 97% 84% 55% 21% 3%
5 HILL Aurora 100% 81% 38% 7%
6 KENT Laurel 100% 100% 100% 99% 90% 62% 22%
7 SHADE nadine 100% 100% 99% 95% 76% 40% 9%
8 CHIOU-WILLIAMS Matea 100% 98% 84% 52% 19% 3%
9 GOODWINOTONO Violet 100% 99% 89% 61% 25% 5%
10 CHENIER Amelia 100% 85% 47% 14% 2% -
11 LEWIS-RAMIREZ Lily 100% 99% 91% 67% 32% 8% 1%
12 XU Emily (Hua) 100% 99% 89% 59% 23% 4%
13 FREEMAN Katherine 100% 100% 98% 87% 55% 16%
14 HANEY Kimberly M. 100% 100% 99% 91% 64% 22%
15 SCHLIEP Anna J. 100% 100% 99% 92% 68% 32% 6%
16 JORGENSEN Kjirsten 100% 100% 95% 76% 40% 10%
17 BOWDEN Lily 100% 98% 82% 48% 17% 3% -
18 LEE Lauren Jinju 100% 85% 45% 10%
19 SEO Jasmine 100% 99% 88% 59% 25% 4%
20 THOMAS Mackenzie 100% 76% 32% 7% 1% - -
21 OSBORNE E. Guadalupe 100% 83% 40% 7%
22 NIMIJAN emerie 100% 90% 50% 16% 3% - -
23 HOEHLE Stacy A. 100% 100% 95% 75% 40% 12% 2%
24 STEPHAN Ella Whitney 100% 97% 78% 42% 12% 1%
24 LAMOREAUX Collette 100% 76% 33% 7% 1% -
26 OSBORNE Maria 100% 61% 20% 4% - -
27 JORGENSEN Rebekah 100% 99% 93% 71% 36% 10% 1%
28 SCHMIDT Tessa 100% 89% 56% 22% 5% 1% -
29 LAMOREAUX Savannah 100% 97% 76% 31%
30 CART Jodi 100% 58% 17% 2% - - -

Explanation

The heatmap in this table provides a visual representation of the victory probability distribution for each fencer in their respective pools:

This heatmap visualization offers an immediate understanding of each fencer's expected performance compared to their actual results.