SITS Grand Reopening 3 Weapon Tournament

Senior Men's Épée

Sunday, September 14, 2025 at 8:00 AM

Sword in the Scroll Fencing Academy - Willimantic, CT, USA

Probability density of pool victories

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Explore the pool victory probability density for each fencer, with their actual victories highlighted in a box. Learn more.

# Name Number of victories
0 1 2 3 4 5
1 SACCOMANNO Shelby - 10% 34% 40% 16%
2 LIU Jeremiah W. - 2% 14% 35% 36% 12%
3 RUSSELL Edward - 1% 7% 27% 46% 20%
3 BELLIVEAU Raven C. - - - 3% 25% 71%
5 KELLEY Hayden - 2% 17% 45% 36%
6 HELMY Richard - 4% 23% 42% 27% 3%
7 ECKERT Kevin M. - 9% 34% 41% 15%
8 JENNINGS Adin - 3% 17% 44% 37%
9 ZELIN Sam J. - - 5% 22% 45% 27%
9 BRASSARD Calvin - 4% 21% 39% 28% 7%
11 WHITE Aidan 8% 34% 39% 16% 2%
12 FENWICK Luke A. - 1% 6% 24% 43% 27%
13 ZHANG Jonathan 6% 27% 40% 23% 5% -
14 SENERTH Ian J. - - 4% 22% 46% 28%
15 LAW Oliver 27% 48% 21% 3% -
16 GREEN Logan 3% 18% 37% 31% 11% 1%
17 BROWN Henry 5% 26% 41% 24% 4% -
18 BUSH Thomas - - 2% 15% 44% 39%
19 CUFF Joe 41% 44% 14% 2% - -
20 SKLAR Davida - 7% 31% 43% 18%
21 HAN Nathan 35% 46% 17% 2% -
22 PEZZINO Matthew 4% 25% 41% 24% 4%
22 CROTTY James 1% 9% 34% 41% 15%
24 BEEVER Logan 81% 18% 1% - -
25 BOISLARD Jacob R. 7% 28% 39% 22% 5% -
26 ZHANG Qing 15% 40% 33% 11% 2% -
27 BANNEN Nicholas 1% 13% 36% 38% 12%
28 SONPAL Winslow 20% 46% 27% 6% 1% -
29 REELS Eric J. 3% 20% 39% 28% 9% 1%
30 LIU Kun 3% 19% 39% 30% 8% 1%
31 SPRINGER Elijah 1% 14% 41% 36% 9%
32 MICKEY Christopher J. 1% 13% 38% 36% 11% 1%
33 PAGE Duncan - 5% 26% 43% 23% 2%
34 WOLFORD Benjamin 11% 35% 36% 15% 2% -
35 BUMPUS Isaias 35% 44% 18% 3% - -
36 MOSHIER Calvin 25% 42% 25% 7% 1% -
37 GIORDANO Nathan 46% 40% 12% 1% -
37 HARRIS Noah 2% 34% 43% 18% 3%
39 KLAWITER Kai 33% 43% 20% 4% - -

Explanation

The heatmap in this table provides a visual representation of the victory probability distribution for each fencer in their respective pools:

This heatmap visualization offers an immediate understanding of each fencer's expected performance compared to their actual results.