SITS Grand Reopening 3 Weapon Tournament

Senior Men's Épée

Sunday, September 14, 2025 at 8:00 AM

Sword in the Scroll Fencing Academy - Willimantic, CT, USA

Probability density of pool victories

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Explore the probability of achieving at least a certain number of victories in the pool for each fencer, with their actual victories highlighted in a box. Learn more.

# Name Number of victories
0 1 2 3 4 5
1 SACCOMANNO Shelby 100% 100% 90% 56% 16%
2 LIU Jeremiah W. 100% 100% 98% 84% 48% 12%
3 RUSSELL Edward 100% 100% 99% 93% 66% 20%
3 BELLIVEAU Raven C. 100% 100% 100% 100% 97% 71%
5 KELLEY Hayden 100% 100% 98% 80% 36%
6 HELMY Richard 100% 100% 95% 73% 31% 3%
7 ECKERT Kevin M. 100% 100% 90% 56% 15%
8 JENNINGS Adin 100% 100% 97% 80% 37%
9 ZELIN Sam J. 100% 100% 100% 95% 73% 27%
9 BRASSARD Calvin 100% 100% 95% 74% 35% 7%
11 WHITE Aidan 100% 92% 58% 19% 2%
12 FENWICK Luke A. 100% 100% 99% 94% 70% 27%
13 ZHANG Jonathan 100% 94% 67% 27% 5% -
14 SENERTH Ian J. 100% 100% 100% 95% 74% 28%
15 LAW Oliver 100% 73% 25% 4% -
16 GREEN Logan 100% 97% 79% 43% 12% 1%
17 BROWN Henry 100% 95% 69% 29% 4% -
18 BUSH Thomas 100% 100% 100% 98% 83% 39%
19 CUFF Joe 100% 59% 16% 2% - -
20 SKLAR Davida 100% 100% 93% 61% 18%
21 HAN Nathan 100% 65% 19% 2% -
22 PEZZINO Matthew 100% 96% 70% 29% 4%
22 CROTTY James 100% 99% 90% 56% 15%
24 BEEVER Logan 100% 19% 2% - -
25 BOISLARD Jacob R. 100% 93% 65% 27% 5% -
26 ZHANG Qing 100% 85% 46% 13% 2% -
27 BANNEN Nicholas 100% 99% 86% 50% 12%
28 SONPAL Winslow 100% 80% 33% 7% 1% -
29 REELS Eric J. 100% 97% 77% 38% 10% 1%
30 LIU Kun 100% 97% 78% 38% 8% 1%
31 SPRINGER Elijah 100% 99% 85% 45% 9%
32 MICKEY Christopher J. 100% 99% 85% 48% 12% 1%
33 PAGE Duncan 100% 100% 94% 68% 25% 2%
34 WOLFORD Benjamin 100% 89% 54% 18% 3% -
35 BUMPUS Isaias 100% 65% 21% 3% - -
36 MOSHIER Calvin 100% 75% 33% 7% 1% -
37 GIORDANO Nathan 100% 54% 14% 1% -
37 HARRIS Noah 100% 98% 63% 21% 3%
39 KLAWITER Kai 100% 67% 24% 4% - -

Explanation

The heatmap in this table provides a visual representation of the victory probability distribution for each fencer in their respective pools:

This heatmap visualization offers an immediate understanding of each fencer's expected performance compared to their actual results.