Motor City SYC/RCC

Y-12 Women's Épée

Friday, September 19, 2025 at 3:00 PM

Elite Sportplex - Waterford Township, MI, USA

Probability density of pool victories

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Explore the probability of achieving at least a certain number of victories in the pool for each fencer, with their actual victories highlighted in a box. Learn more.

# Name Number of victories
0 1 2 3 4 5
1 OLELE Ifechi 100% 100% 100% 100% 99% 86%
2 XU Aasta 100% 99% 93% 71% 35% 8%
3 BOBE Arianna 100% 99% 93% 71% 36% 9%
3 LIN Alexis 100% 100% 100% 92% 56%
5 JUBILEE Beata 100% 99% 89% 62% 27% 5%
6 ZHANG Ashley 100% 100% 98% 87% 56% 18%
7 LEONG Andrea 100% 98% 86% 55% 20% 3%
8 YU Chloe 100% 100% 96% 79% 46% 12%
9 MEGGERS Arya 100% 97% 80% 47% 16% 2%
10 CHEN freya 100% 97% 81% 45% 11% -
11 KIM Abigail 100% 99% 90% 50% 9%
12 XIE ANDREA 100% 100% 97% 83% 50% 14%
13 LIU Brinley 100% 97% 80% 44% 12% 1%
14 CHANG Hannah 100% 99% 90% 49% 8%
15 WU Evelyn 100% 96% 78% 44% 14% 2%
16 ZHU YUNXI 100% 98% 84% 53% 20% 3%
17 TRIVULCE Scarlett 100% 99% 91% 62% 22% 1%
18 NEGRUT Sabina 100% 86% 48% 14% 2% -
19 RYU Natalee 100% 84% 46% 14% 2% -
20 CHERUKU Vihaani 100% 61% 14% 1% -
21 LI Yishi 100% 82% 44% 13% 2% -
22 ARONSON Marlie 100% 97% 81% 44% 11% -
23 FRANGER Emma 100% 89% 56% 21% 4% -
24 KWASNY Natalie 100% 78% 36% 9% 1% -
25 SCHLIEP Camellia 100% 98% 82% 49% 16% 2%
26 BARR Evelyn 100% 92% 64% 30% 8% 1%
27 HE Joyce 100% 65% 15% 1% -
28 XU Selina (Tai Ran) 100% 99% 83% 48% 15% 2%
29 DOMONKOS Mary Alanna 100% 92% 64% 29% 7% 1%

Explanation

The heatmap in this table provides a visual representation of the victory probability distribution for each fencer in their respective pools:

This heatmap visualization offers an immediate understanding of each fencer's expected performance compared to their actual results.