Motor City SYC/RCC

Y-14 Men's Foil

Saturday, September 20, 2025 at 8:00 AM

Elite Sportplex - Waterford Township, MI, USA

Probability density of pool victories

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Explore the probability of achieving at least a certain number of victories in the pool for each fencer, with their actual victories highlighted in a box. Learn more.

# Name Number of victories
0 1 2 3 4 5 6
1 OZAWA Taishi 100% 100% 100% 100% 99% 92% 57%
2 CHENG Logan 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 99% 85%
3 PAN Ethan 100% 100% 100% 100% 97% 82% 42%
3 LIU Aaron 100% 100% 100% 99% 87% 41%
5 HART-SYED declan 100% 100% 100% 100% 95% 75% 31%
6 LATORRE Leonardo 100% 100% 100% 97% 83% 45% 8%
7 LIU Alex 100% 100% 100% 99% 88% 40%
8 QU Zhida (richard) 100% 100% 100% 96% 77% 27%
9 GATES Combustion 100% 100% 100% 99% 89% 53% 11%
10 DESERANNO Leander 100% 100% 100% 100% 96% 47%
11 FANG Haoyu 100% 100% 100% 98% 85% 44%
12 GE Felix Fei 100% 100% 100% 100% 99% 89% 49%
13 LU Alex 100% 100% 100% 100% 98% 87% 47%
14 ZHENG Marcus 100% 100% 100% 100% 98% 84% 44%
15 TOOMRE Kai 100% 100% 99% 92% 66% 27% 4%
16 FAN Ze Lin 100% 100% 100% 94% 71% 32% 5%
17 WANG Elijah (QiChen) 100% 100% 100% 100% 98% 85% 44%
18 CZARNECKI Thomas 100% 100% 99% 94% 76% 40% 8%
19 YEE Colin 100% 100% 100% 98% 85% 50% 11%
20 TAN Charlie 100% 100% 100% 96% 57% 11%
21 LIM EUNSEONG 100% 100% 100% 100% 95% 43%
22 SHIN Noah 100% 100% 100% 97% 78% 28%
23 CHANG Parker 100% 100% 100% 98% 84% 39%
24 MYERS Julian 100% 100% 95% 72% 34% 8% 1%
25 JIN Xueyuan George 100% 99% 94% 75% 41% 12% 1%
26 MURDOCK Koichi 100% 100% 96% 77% 40% 10% -
27 HUYNH Kaleb 100% 100% 95% 74% 35% 8% -
28 LI Andy 100% 98% 87% 59% 25% 6% -
29 WANG Mingcheng 100% 97% 78% 40% 10% 1%
30 MAZAHERI Theodore 100% 98% 69% 23% 1% -
31 PAN Howard Haoran 100% 100% 99% 89% 57% 18% 2%
32 YANG David H. 100% 100% 97% 80% 42% 8%
33 WANG Mendy 100% 100% 99% 95% 78% 41% 8%
34 JIN Xuechong Daniel 100% 100% 100% 98% 85% 50% 12%
35 SLAIN Owen 100% 100% 100% 97% 79% 36% 6%
36 JIAO Daniel 100% 97% 82% 50% 18% 3% -
37 WANG Jaaziel 100% 98% 80% 39% 9% 1% -
38 KAGAN Noah 100% 98% 84% 49% 14% 1%
39 WANG kevin 100% 93% 65% 26% 5% -
40 YIN Andrew 100% 95% 64% 15% 1% -
41 WENGER Rowan 100% 98% 78% 35% 6% -
42 WU Rayson siyu 100% 100% 94% 63% 23% 4% -
43 MCCOOL Henry 100% 100% 96% 75% 34% 7% 1%
44 LI Ryan 100% 100% 99% 94% 73% 34% 6%
45 WANG Caleb 100% 100% 99% 91% 63% 23% 1%
46 ZHAO Jason 100% 100% 98% 80% 41% 10% 1%
47 DEBORD Beckett 100% 100% 93% 67% 30% 6% -
48 ZHENG Lerui 100% 100% 99% 89% 57% 19% 2%
49 LIN Wilson 100% 97% 82% 50% 18% 3% -
50 PU Yikun 100% 99% 88% 54% 17% 2% -
51 MADDES Gage 100% 100% 88% 55% 19% 3% -
52 XU Jason 100% 97% 75% 36% 8% 1%
53 KUBBA Krish 100% 98% 74% 30% 5% -
54 WANG Freyr 100% 98% 71% 24% 1% -
55 LIU Bradley 100% 99% 82% 44% 13% 2% -
56 WATERFIELD Lysander 100% 100% 93% 66% 27% 5% -
57 BUCHNER Roland 100% 96% 72% 32% 7% 1% -
58 MORALES Tycho 100% 93% 65% 25% 4% -
59 LIN George 100% 99% 78% 31% 2% -
60 DHALIWAL Zorawar Singh 100% 91% 60% 22% 3% -
61 AYYAGARI Abhiram 100% 99% 79% 36% 6% -
62 MAZAHERI John 100% 95% 72% 36% 10% 1% -
63 CHAU Ivan 100% 84% 47% 16% 3% - -
64 MEI Edan 100% 33% 3% - - - -
65 MARVEL Elliot 100% 66% 20% 2% - -
66 ZHANG Aaron 100% 99% 91% 66% 32% 8% 1%
67 XUAN nathan 100% 66% 21% 3% - - -
68 PRATT Trystan 100% 100% 97% 82% 44% 6%
69 WILLIAMS Thomas 100% 80% 38% 9% 1% -
70 CORAN Roland 100% 91% 62% 27% 7% 1% -
71 TAGORE Ayansh 100% 83% 40% 9% 1% - -
72 NG Chuck 100% 87% 49% 14% 2% - -
73 MYERS Dimitrios 100% 42% 7% 1% - - -
74 MCERLEAN Liam 100% 56% 13% 1% - - -
75 SU Aiden 100% 94% 69% 34% 9% 1% -
76 LEE Thomas 100% 78% 33% 6% - -
77 JAGANNATHAN Avi 100% 24% 2% - - -
78 CHENG Nathan 100% 91% 49% 13% 2% - -
78 LIM Cayden 100% 84% 25% 3% - - -
80 LUND Jonah 100% 21% 2% - - -
80 DENG Albert 100% 47% 10% 1% - -
82 MATIYASH Andrew 100% 14% 1% - - - -
83 KOSCIK-AQUINO Nicholas 100% 97% 75% 33% 6% - -
83 HYUN Francis 100% 77% 28% 5% - - -
83 LIN Abraham 100% 61% 17% 2% - - -
86 PAYNE Lynas 100% 84% 48% 17% 3% - -

Explanation

The heatmap in this table provides a visual representation of the victory probability distribution for each fencer in their respective pools:

This heatmap visualization offers an immediate understanding of each fencer's expected performance compared to their actual results.