The Durkan Rooster RYC/RJCC

Y-12 Women's Épée

Saturday, September 20, 2025 at 11:15 AM

Factory 220 - Passaic, NJ, USA

Probability density of pool victories

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Explore the pool victory probability density for each fencer, with their actual victories highlighted in a box. Learn more.

# Name Number of victories
0 1 2 3 4 5 6
1 CHEN Madeline - - - 1% 7% 35% 57%
2 CHEN Laila - - 1% 8% 25% 40% 25%
3 HAN Emma - - - 2% 14% 40% 44%
3 VILLER Alice - - 1% 6% 25% 43% 24%
5 FURMAN Elizabeth - - - 3% 16% 41% 40%
6 BOUTSIKARIS Asha - 2% 9% 24% 35% 24% 6%
7 GOFMAN Anastasia - - 1% 7% 26% 47% 19%
8 CHEN Reina - - 4% 18% 36% 32% 8%
9 MOKRETSOV Leah - - - 2% 12% 42% 44%
10 SIU Mila - - 2% 13% 36% 39% 9%
11 YIN Elaine - 2% 11% 30% 36% 17% 3%
12 KIM Charlotte 1% 8% 24% 34% 24% 8% 1%
13 ZHANG Yuchen A. - - 1% 7% 27% 43% 22%
14 SHEN Sophia 3% 16% 33% 31% 13% 3% -
15 PATEL Agena - 3% 15% 32% 33% 14% 2%
16 TANG Jacquelyn 1% 7% 22% 34% 26% 9% 1%
17 YUSHCHENKO Ivanka 1% 7% 25% 36% 24% 7% 1%
18 LI Juliana - 2% 13% 33% 36% 14% 1%
19 ERATA Selena 5% 21% 35% 28% 10% 1% -
20 PATEL Aria - 4% 17% 34% 31% 12% 1%
21 BERENSHTEYN Gabriella 2% 13% 32% 34% 16% 3% -
22 CHOI Noah 2% 14% 31% 33% 16% 3% -
23 LEE Zoe - 3% 14% 32% 33% 15% 2%
24 MISHIMA Quinn 5% 24% 39% 25% 7% 1% -
25 DOROSHKEVICH Maria 7% 26% 35% 23% 8% 1% -
26 QIN Olivia 3% 17% 35% 31% 12% 2% -
27 BONDE Trisha 20% 38% 28% 11% 2% - -
28 WANG Katherine 3% 17% 34% 31% 13% 2% -
29 CHEN Emily 5% 21% 35% 27% 10% 1% -
30 KAUR Harjas 7% 29% 38% 21% 5% 1% -
31 GRECO Athena 7% 31% 37% 20% 5% 1% -
32 WILLIAMS Valentina 28% 42% 24% 6% 1% - -
33 ZHAO Rachel - 3% 16% 33% 32% 14% 2%
34 GORDON Winter 13% 33% 34% 16% 4% - -
35 LOUGH Abigail 39% 42% 16% 3% - - -
36 KUO Stella 2% 11% 27% 33% 21% 6% 1%
37 LEE Zerah 11% 35% 35% 15% 3% - -
38 WU Caroline 23% 40% 27% 8% 1% - -
39 SALIBA Madison 3% 15% 32% 32% 15% 2% -
40 MAO Faith 1% 8% 28% 38% 21% 4% -
41 VILLER Gabriella 7% 29% 37% 21% 5% 1% -
42 CHOI Serine 53% 37% 9% 1% - - -

Explanation

The heatmap in this table provides a visual representation of the victory probability distribution for each fencer in their respective pools:

This heatmap visualization offers an immediate understanding of each fencer's expected performance compared to their actual results.