The Durkan Rooster RYC/RJCC

Y-12 Women's Épée

Saturday, September 20, 2025 at 11:15 AM

Factory 220 - Passaic, NJ, USA

Probability density of pool victories

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Explore the probability of achieving at least a certain number of victories in the pool for each fencer, with their actual victories highlighted in a box. Learn more.

# Name Number of victories
0 1 2 3 4 5 6
1 CHEN Madeline 100% 100% 100% 100% 99% 92% 57%
2 CHEN Laila 100% 100% 100% 99% 91% 65% 25%
3 HAN Emma 100% 100% 100% 100% 97% 84% 44%
3 VILLER Alice 100% 100% 100% 99% 93% 68% 24%
5 FURMAN Elizabeth 100% 100% 100% 100% 97% 81% 40%
6 BOUTSIKARIS Asha 100% 100% 98% 89% 65% 30% 6%
7 GOFMAN Anastasia 100% 100% 100% 99% 92% 66% 19%
8 CHEN Reina 100% 100% 99% 95% 77% 41% 8%
9 MOKRETSOV Leah 100% 100% 100% 100% 98% 86% 44%
10 SIU Mila 100% 100% 100% 98% 84% 48% 9%
11 YIN Elaine 100% 100% 98% 87% 56% 20% 3%
12 KIM Charlotte 100% 99% 91% 67% 34% 10% 1%
13 ZHANG Yuchen A. 100% 100% 100% 99% 92% 66% 22%
14 SHEN Sophia 100% 97% 81% 47% 16% 3% -
15 PATEL Agena 100% 100% 96% 81% 49% 16% 2%
16 TANG Jacquelyn 100% 99% 92% 70% 37% 11% 1%
17 YUSHCHENKO Ivanka 100% 99% 92% 67% 32% 8% 1%
18 LI Juliana 100% 100% 98% 84% 51% 15% 1%
19 ERATA Selena 100% 95% 74% 39% 11% 1% -
20 PATEL Aria 100% 100% 96% 79% 45% 14% 1%
21 BERENSHTEYN Gabriella 100% 98% 86% 54% 19% 3% -
22 CHOI Noah 100% 98% 84% 53% 20% 4% -
23 LEE Zoe 100% 100% 97% 83% 51% 17% 2%
24 MISHIMA Quinn 100% 95% 71% 32% 7% 1% -
25 DOROSHKEVICH Maria 100% 93% 67% 32% 9% 1% -
26 QIN Olivia 100% 97% 80% 45% 14% 2% -
27 BONDE Trisha 100% 80% 41% 13% 2% - -
28 WANG Katherine 100% 97% 79% 46% 15% 2% -
29 CHEN Emily 100% 95% 74% 39% 11% 1% -
30 KAUR Harjas 100% 93% 65% 27% 6% 1% -
31 GRECO Athena 100% 93% 63% 25% 6% 1% -
32 WILLIAMS Valentina 100% 72% 30% 7% 1% - -
33 ZHAO Rachel 100% 100% 97% 81% 48% 16% 2%
34 GORDON Winter 100% 87% 54% 20% 4% - -
35 LOUGH Abigail 100% 61% 19% 3% - - -
36 KUO Stella 100% 98% 88% 60% 27% 7% 1%
37 LEE Zerah 100% 89% 54% 18% 3% - -
38 WU Caroline 100% 77% 36% 10% 1% - -
39 SALIBA Madison 100% 97% 82% 50% 17% 3% -
40 MAO Faith 100% 99% 91% 63% 25% 4% -
41 VILLER Gabriella 100% 93% 64% 27% 6% 1% -
42 CHOI Serine 100% 47% 10% 1% - - -

Explanation

The heatmap in this table provides a visual representation of the victory probability distribution for each fencer in their respective pools:

This heatmap visualization offers an immediate understanding of each fencer's expected performance compared to their actual results.