The Durkan Rooster RYC/RJCC

Y-14 Men's Foil

Sunday, September 21, 2025 at 8:00 AM

Factory 220 - Passaic, NJ, USA

Probability density of pool victories

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Explore the probability of achieving at least a certain number of victories in the pool for each fencer, with their actual victories highlighted in a box. Learn more.

# Name Number of victories
0 1 2 3 4 5 6
1 XIAN kevin 100% 100% 100% 100% 97% 71%
2 KO Caleb 100% 100% 100% 100% 99% 88% 51%
3 QIAN Zekai 100% 100% 99% 94% 71% 28%
3 SAMUEL Lucas 100% 100% 99% 90% 58% 17%
5 ZHAO Ryan 100% 100% 100% 100% 98% 85% 43%
6 CHOI Hunter 100% 100% 97% 82% 47% 12%
7 BAS Jonathan 100% 100% 97% 83% 52% 20% 3%
8 ZHENG Austin 100% 100% 97% 81% 47% 15% 2%
9 KIM Daniel 100% 100% 99% 93% 70% 32% 5%
10 LIN Joshua 100% 99% 91% 61% 24% 5% < 1%
11 KAYE Ben 100% 100% 99% 92% 67% 28% 4%
12 ROPER Griffin 100% 100% 98% 86% 58% 24% 4%
13 JAZWINSKI Ryan 100% 100% 100% 98% 89% 60% 20%
14 CAO Joshua 100% 100% 100% 98% 85% 53% 15%
15 GRIGORIEV Michael 100% 100% 100% 95% 74% 30%
16 GLICKSBERG Alexander 100% 100% 97% 84% 51% 17% 2%
17 HU Michael 100% 100% 100% 96% 80% 42% 9%
18 ZHAI Alex 100% 100% 100% 98% 87% 57% 19%
19 SHEN Lucas 100% 90% 54% 17% 3% -
20 XIA Vincent 100% 99% 88% 53% 17% 2%
21 GUGALA Frank 100% 98% 85% 52% 18% 3%
22 SONG Enoch 100% 100% 99% 88% 53% 9%
23 DAVIDSON Henry 100% 93% 62% 23% 3% -
24 REN Ryan 100% 100% 95% 77% 41% 11% 1%
25 YANG Luca 100% 100% 97% 83% 53% 20% 3%
26 SHAW eric 100% 99% 91% 61% 22% 3%
27 KIM Albert 100% 85% 45% 12% 1% -
28 LEE Aeden 100% 99% 92% 65% 27% 5% -
29 CHENG Karter 100% 98% 86% 56% 23% 5% -
30 MORRIS Micah 100% 75% 31% 6% - -
31 ZHANG Ethan 100% 100% 98% 84% 51% 17% 2%
32 LEVKOVICH Avery 100% 92% 60% 23% 5% - -
33 WU David 100% 97% 80% 43% 12% 2% -
34 TARCHICHI Daniel 100% 98% 86% 50% 12% 1%
35 IM Andrew 100% 88% 45% 12% 2% - -
36 PARISH-MORRIS Jay 100% 96% 75% 37% 10% 1% -
37 XU Jonathan 100% 91% 50% 14% 2% -
38 CHEN Kevin 100% 77% 35% 8% 1% -
39 KOO Jaeha 100% 40% 6% - - -
40 RAJAT Rivaan 100% 65% 23% 5% 1% - -
41 LEE Ryan 100% 78% 35% 8% 1% - -
42 BRADY David 100% 93% 65% 29% 8% 1% -
43 MCCORMICK Chase 100% 63% 21% 4% - - -
44 VAN DER HARTEN Lukas 100% 48% 10% 1% - - -
45 SINGH Arihaan 100% 99% 80% 40% 9% -
46 PRICE Ezra 100% 74% 30% 6% 1% - -

Explanation

The heatmap in this table provides a visual representation of the victory probability distribution for each fencer in their respective pools:

This heatmap visualization offers an immediate understanding of each fencer's expected performance compared to their actual results.