The Virginia Tech Open

Div III Mixed Épée

Saturday, September 27, 2025 at 1:00 PM

VT RecSports Field House - Blacksburg, VA, USA

Probability density of pool victories

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Explore the pool victory probability density for each fencer, with their actual victories highlighted in a box. Learn more.

# Name Number of victories
0 1 2 3 4 5 6
1 CAVE Rylan - 1% 7% 22% 36% 27% 6%
2 BONILHA-VAN'T HOF Rafael - 2% 13% 33% 37% 15%
3 BOZARTH Alex - - - 8% 38% 46% 8%
3 BENUCCI Vincent 1% 5% 20% 36% 30% 9%
5 SHELLABARGER Stephen - - 5% 20% 38% 29% 8%
6 STRAFFORD Andrew 13% 34% 33% 15% 4% < 1% -
7 RAWSON Nicholas - - 1% 5% 22% 44% 29%
8 CHAN Ian 7% 34% 38% 17% 3% - -
9 KEIM Spencer - 7% 24% 35% 24% 8% 1%
10 TAURMAN Jr. Patrick J. - 2% 26% 47% 21% 3% -
11 HALE Bradley 3% 15% 32% 32% 15% 3%
12 BRENNAN Philip - 2% 14% 34% 36% 13%
13 CAMPBELL Paul - 1% 5% 21% 38% 29% 6%
14 ABU-AJAJ Mohamed 1% 13% 35% 35% 14% 2%
15 BERNARD Kathryn 1% 10% 26% 33% 22% 7% 1%
16 HALSTEAD Vivian 2% 12% 31% 34% 18% 4%
17 DILDA Griffin - 8% 30% 40% 20% 3%
18 JHA Ritika - 2% 14% 34% 35% 13%
19 FONG Henry 3% 20% 38% 30% 9% 1% -
20 HAVERSON Civa 8% 29% 37% 21% 5% 1% -
21 GRAMLICH Bradley - 7% 25% 37% 25% 6%
22 DELONG Mike - 2% 12% 31% 35% 18% 3%
23 BADLANI Neel 1% 6% 23% 39% 26% 4%
24 PALPANDIAN Ilanchezhian 3% 23% 38% 27% 8% 1%
25 LUNDEN Espen - 4% 29% 42% 21% 4% -
26 NANAYAKKARA Sanuthi 46% 40% 13% 2% - - -
27 NANAYAKKARA Damin - 2% 14% 34% 37% 12% 1%
28 GAGNON Charles - 3% 12% 27% 33% 20% 5%
29 LAI Angel 13% 35% 34% 15% 3% - -
30 CUMMINS Ava 1% 8% 23% 32% 24% 9% 1%
31 PRICE Owen - 5% 27% 40% 23% 5%
32 MOORE Mary 5% 22% 34% 26% 10% 2% -
33 IYER Matthias - - 1% 7% 26% 41% 24%
34 SOUTHWORTH Connor 2% 25% 42% 25% 6% -
35 AKKALE Reyhan 30% 51% 16% 2% - -
36 CASTRO Ryan - 1% 8% 26% 38% 23% 4%
37 SMITHSON Matthew 1% 8% 27% 39% 21% 4%
38 PETERSON Nathan - 2% 11% 26% 34% 22% 6%
39 BOSSU Leo 1% 12% 31% 35% 18% 3% -
40 MCNAMEE Liam - 1% 11% 32% 37% 16% 2%
41 CRAMER Jay 7% 54% 33% 6% - - -
42 THOMPSON Josh 78% 20% 2% - - -
43 PIPER Maggie 7% 27% 36% 22% 6% 1% -
44 CORNETT Cody 2% 15% 34% 33% 14% 2%
45 NALLY Madison 20% 40% 29% 10% 2% -
46 LANIER Sawyer 2% 14% 34% 34% 14% 2% -

Explanation

The heatmap in this table provides a visual representation of the victory probability distribution for each fencer in their respective pools:

This heatmap visualization offers an immediate understanding of each fencer's expected performance compared to their actual results.