The Virginia Tech Open

Div III Mixed Épée

Saturday, September 27, 2025 at 1:00 PM

VT RecSports Field House - Blacksburg, VA, USA

Probability density of pool victories

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Explore the probability of achieving at least a certain number of victories in the pool for each fencer, with their actual victories highlighted in a box. Learn more.

# Name Number of victories
0 1 2 3 4 5 6
1 CAVE Rylan 100% 100% 99% 92% 70% 34% 6%
2 BONILHA-VAN'T HOF Rafael 100% 100% 98% 85% 52% 15%
3 BOZARTH Alex 100% 100% 100% 100% 92% 54% 8%
3 BENUCCI Vincent 100% 99% 94% 75% 39% 9%
5 SHELLABARGER Stephen 100% 100% 100% 95% 75% 37% 8%
6 STRAFFORD Andrew 100% 87% 52% 19% 4% < 1% -
7 RAWSON Nicholas 100% 100% 100% 99% 95% 72% 29%
8 CHAN Ian 100% 93% 59% 21% 4% - -
9 KEIM Spencer 100% 100% 93% 68% 33% 9% 1%
10 TAURMAN Jr. Patrick J. 100% 100% 98% 72% 24% 4% -
11 HALE Bradley 100% 97% 83% 50% 18% 3%
12 BRENNAN Philip 100% 100% 97% 83% 49% 13%
13 CAMPBELL Paul 100% 100% 99% 94% 73% 35% 6%
14 ABU-AJAJ Mohamed 100% 99% 86% 51% 16% 2%
15 BERNARD Kathryn 100% 99% 89% 63% 29% 8% 1%
16 HALSTEAD Vivian 100% 98% 86% 56% 21% 4%
17 DILDA Griffin 100% 100% 92% 62% 22% 3%
18 JHA Ritika 100% 100% 98% 83% 49% 13%
19 FONG Henry 100% 97% 77% 39% 9% 1% -
20 HAVERSON Civa 100% 92% 63% 27% 6% 1% -
21 GRAMLICH Bradley 100% 100% 93% 68% 31% 6%
22 DELONG Mike 100% 100% 98% 86% 56% 21% 3%
23 BADLANI Neel 100% 99% 93% 70% 31% 4%
24 PALPANDIAN Ilanchezhian 100% 97% 74% 36% 9% 1%
25 LUNDEN Espen 100% 100% 96% 67% 25% 4% -
26 NANAYAKKARA Sanuthi 100% 54% 15% 2% - - -
27 NANAYAKKARA Damin 100% 100% 98% 84% 50% 13% 1%
28 GAGNON Charles 100% 100% 97% 85% 59% 25% 5%
29 LAI Angel 100% 87% 52% 18% 3% - -
30 CUMMINS Ava 100% 99% 91% 68% 35% 11% 1%
31 PRICE Owen 100% 100% 95% 68% 28% 5%
32 MOORE Mary 100% 95% 73% 38% 12% 2% -
33 IYER Matthias 100% 100% 100% 99% 91% 66% 24%
34 SOUTHWORTH Connor 100% 98% 73% 31% 6% -
35 AKKALE Reyhan 100% 70% 18% 2% - -
36 CASTRO Ryan 100% 100% 99% 91% 65% 27% 4%
37 SMITHSON Matthew 100% 99% 91% 64% 25% 4%
38 PETERSON Nathan 100% 100% 98% 87% 61% 28% 6%
39 BOSSU Leo 100% 99% 87% 56% 21% 3% -
40 MCNAMEE Liam 100% 100% 98% 88% 55% 18% 2%
41 CRAMER Jay 100% 93% 39% 6% - - -
42 THOMPSON Josh 100% 22% 2% - - -
43 PIPER Maggie 100% 93% 65% 29% 7% 1% -
44 CORNETT Cody 100% 98% 83% 49% 17% 2%
45 NALLY Madison 100% 80% 40% 11% 2% -
46 LANIER Sawyer 100% 98% 84% 50% 16% 2% -

Explanation

The heatmap in this table provides a visual representation of the victory probability distribution for each fencer in their respective pools:

This heatmap visualization offers an immediate understanding of each fencer's expected performance compared to their actual results.