The Great Pumpkin

Div II Mixed Foil

Saturday, September 27, 2025 at 3:15 PM

College Park Neighborhood Center - Orlando, FL, USA

Probability density of pool victories

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Explore the pool victory probability density for each fencer, with their actual victories highlighted in a box. Learn more.

# Name Number of victories
0 1 2 3 4
1 SIMMES Jackson - 1% 9% 36% 55%
2 CHENG Thomas - - 10% 58% 32%
3 MCGUIRE K. Osborn 1% 10% 32% 40% 16%
3 FERRONE Gianna 10% 32% 36% 18% 3%
5 STEPHENS Trenton 3% 18% 42% 33% 3%
6 LECLAIR Noah 10% 34% 39% 16% 2%
7 SATTERFIELD Rory 27% 49% 22% 3% -
8 MOLINA Carlos 22% 43% 28% 6% -
9 BURLACE Brenden 7% 28% 41% 21% 3%
10 SHEPP Brady 23% 44% 27% 5% -
11 VENZON Makena Jane - 7% 35% 50% 8%
12 ISAACSON Mary Beth 6% 25% 39% 25% 5%
13 GROSSE Michael 1% 13% 36% 37% 12%
14 PALM Kaitlyn 9% 30% 38% 20% 4%
15 RIZZOLO Chris 22% 47% 26% 4% -

Explanation

The heatmap in this table provides a visual representation of the victory probability distribution for each fencer in their respective pools:

This heatmap visualization offers an immediate understanding of each fencer's expected performance compared to their actual results.