Premier Challenge ROC/RJCC/RYC

Y-14 Men's Épée

Friday, September 26, 2025 at 8:00 AM

Rockland Community College, Eugene Levy Field House - Suffern, NY, USA

Probability density of pool victories

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Explore the pool victory probability density for each fencer, with their actual victories highlighted in a box. Learn more.

# Name Number of victories
0 1 2 3 4 5 6
1 KABA Elias - - - 3% 16% 41% 40%
2 MANSFIELD Hunter - - 4% 22% 44% 30%
3 ROSADO Balthazar Francisco - - - - 6% 32% 62%
3 ROBINSON Blake 16% 37% 32% 12% 2% - -
5 ZHANG Marcus - - 1% 11% 39% 48%
6 TANG Luke - 2% 13% 32% 35% 15% 2%
7 BHANDARE Veer - 4% 20% 39% 30% 7%
8 NG Nico - - 2% 13% 40% 45%
9 CHEN Aiden - 2% 16% 38% 34% 9%
10 MASKIN Mikhail 2% 14% 34% 34% 14% 2%
11 ASHLEY Logan - - 3% 15% 38% 37% 7%
12 WANG Marcus - 2% 12% 33% 37% 15% 1%
13 TOPRANI Valmik 2% 12% 31% 36% 17% 3%
14 TOMPA Paul 17% 41% 31% 10% 1% -
15 LAU LUCAS - - 5% 21% 43% 32%
16 GUJJA Rishabh - 4% 18% 37% 32% 9%
17 CARPENTER Touma S. - - 3% 17% 42% 38%
18 CHALLAMEL Hadrien - 4% 19% 38% 31% 8%
19 YAKHNIS Seth - 3% 16% 36% 34% 10%
20 RUDIGER George 5% 25% 40% 24% 6% -
21 EFFRON Silas - 2% 12% 37% 40% 9%
22 NOOL Alexander - 1% 5% 23% 43% 28%
23 ZHENG Jasper 1% 10% 30% 38% 18% 2%
23 LOPATIN Sergei 24% 42% 26% 7% 1% -
25 THOMAS Andrew - 3% 16% 37% 34% 8%
26 KO Ethan 1% 9% 29% 37% 20% 4% -
27 CAVALLARO Sebastian 13% 36% 35% 14% 2% -
28 FRIZZELL Kai 3% 17% 39% 31% 9% 1%
29 DAI Jason 4% 20% 37% 28% 9% 1%
30 CIANCHETTA David 27% 43% 24% 5% 1% -
31 NOOL Aaron 1% 10% 31% 37% 18% 3% -
32 HOLBROOK Silas 7% 27% 39% 22% 5% -
33 FANG Charlie 1% 8% 29% 38% 21% 3%
34 MADRIGAL SALVAT Guillermo - 5% 19% 37% 30% 8%
35 O'BRIEN Michael 24% 41% 26% 8% 1% -
36 JIN Noah 13% 35% 34% 14% 3% - -
37 LEE Taeryum 1% 14% 36% 34% 13% 2% -
38 LIN John - 2% 11% 29% 36% 20% 3%
39 CARPENTER Taisei 7% 33% 38% 17% 3% - -
40 KESELMAN Ron 23% 42% 27% 7% 1% -
41 LEE Ryan 40% 42% 15% 2% - -
42 APFELBAUM Noam 2% 14% 34% 34% 14% 2%
43 ANDERSON Connor 12% 35% 35% 15% 3% -
44 CHEN Jayden A 11% 37% 36% 14% 2% -
45 BHATT Shivam 58% 35% 7% 1% - -
46 MATHEW Benjamin 52% 37% 9% 1% - - -
47 MERHEJ Sean 1% 19% 49% 25% 5% -
48 BARTON Christian 16% 40% 32% 11% 1% -
49 SORONDO Aidan 1% 32% 44% 19% 3% -
50 KWON Ryan 1% 9% 29% 36% 20% 5% -

Explanation

The heatmap in this table provides a visual representation of the victory probability distribution for each fencer in their respective pools:

This heatmap visualization offers an immediate understanding of each fencer's expected performance compared to their actual results.