Premier Challenge ROC/RJCC/RYC

Div I-A Men's Saber

Friday, September 26, 2025 at 3:30 PM

Rockland Community College, Eugene Levy Field House - Suffern, NY, USA

Probability density of pool victories

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Explore the pool victory probability density for each fencer, with their actual victories highlighted in a box. Learn more.

# Name Number of victories
0 1 2 3 4 5 6
1 ELSISSY Ziad A. - - - - 10% 90%
2 HUANG Alex F. - - 1% 6% 29% 44% 20%
3 LIN Daniel - - - 3% 19% 44% 34%
3 BERA Enzo - - 1% 5% 21% 42% 32%
5 FIGUEREDO Adrian - - - 2% 21% 77%
6 KUSHKOV Daniel - - - - 7% 47% 46%
7 SAGARDI David - - 1% 8% 32% 42% 18%
8 MCCARTHY Devan - - 1% 9% 30% 41% 17%
9 RODRIGUEZ Darlin - - 2% 11% 30% 38% 18%
10 ALAVE Kyle - 3% 16% 36% 32% 12% 1%
11 BIVIJI Ali - 2% 10% 28% 36% 20% 4%
12 ZHAO Lucas - - 1% 5% 23% 43% 28%
13 SADHU Neiyam - 4% 16% 33% 31% 14% 2%
14 AL-NASSER Mahmoud - - 1% 12% 37% 38% 11%
15 PAVLENISHVILI Luke 4% 23% 40% 27% 6% - -
16 JI Johnson 9% 30% 37% 20% 4% -
17 REA Franklin T. - - 6% 35% 54% 4%
18 KARAVAS Nicholas 4% 20% 36% 28% 11% 2% -
19 ABDULMANOV Ayrat - - 2% 14% 37% 36% 10%
20 LIN Philip T. - 4% 19% 39% 32% 5% -
21 LIN Brendan 2% 13% 31% 33% 17% 4% -
22 PORTER Dupree 3% 25% 51% 19% 2% -
23 TERENTIEV Max 1% 7% 24% 40% 26% 2%
24 SAGE Sebastian 1% 7% 22% 35% 26% 9% 1%
25 ROH Jaden 7% 29% 37% 21% 6% 1% -
26 LAZARTE Gabriel 7% 28% 38% 22% 5% - -
27 ELBAKRY Ahmed - - 1% 6% 30% 44% 19%
28 LINDHOLM Oliver S. - 2% 21% 55% 21% -
29 VEDRE Neil 2% 17% 41% 30% 8% 1% -
30 TSAO Oliver - 1% 9% 26% 36% 22% 5%
31 LIU Kevin - - 3% 15% 34% 35% 13%
32 ROSADO Sebastian 2% 20% 39% 28% 9% 1% -
33 LI Cooper 4% 20% 37% 30% 9% 1% -
34 LIN Alex 5% 29% 40% 21% 5% - -
35 WANG Theodore 17% 46% 29% 7% 1% - -
36 ORTHMANN Tristin 14% 36% 34% 14% 2% -
37 AGARWAAL Yohan 4% 22% 40% 28% 6% 1% -
38 BARTOLO Domenic V. - - < 1% 1% 11% 52% 37%
38 CIEMINS Henry 1% 8% 29% 40% 19% 3% -
40 BANSAL Krishiv 14% 37% 34% 13% 2% - -
41 DREYER William 11% 34% 35% 16% 4% - -
42 TSAO Alister 31% 43% 21% 4% - - -
43 BHASKAR Dhananjay K. - 4% 17% 33% 30% 13% 2%
44 TOZZI Massimo - 3% 15% 34% 33% 13% 2%
45 ABDELLAHI Aziz 6% 24% 38% 25% 6% -
46 CHENG Brandon 7% 27% 38% 23% 5% -
47 COOKSON Leonardo 17% 52% 27% 4% - -
48 LAU Kyrus 13% 35% 35% 15% 2% - -
49 KANG Jayden 63% 31% 5% - - - -
50 JARAMILLO Juan 58% 36% 6% - - -
51 WANG Alex 11% 36% 37% 14% 2% - -
52 JAIDEVA Aakash 23% 41% 27% 8% 1% - -
53 PODDAR Shameek 43% 42% 13% 1% - - -
54 CHAVAN Aditya 38% 41% 17% 3% - - -

Explanation

The heatmap in this table provides a visual representation of the victory probability distribution for each fencer in their respective pools:

This heatmap visualization offers an immediate understanding of each fencer's expected performance compared to their actual results.