Premier Challenge ROC/RJCC/RYC

Div I-A Men's Saber

Friday, September 26, 2025 at 3:30 PM

Rockland Community College, Eugene Levy Field House - Suffern, NY, USA

Probability density of pool victories

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Explore the probability of achieving at least a certain number of victories in the pool for each fencer, with their actual victories highlighted in a box. Learn more.

# Name Number of victories
0 1 2 3 4 5 6
1 ELSISSY Ziad A. 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 90%
2 HUANG Alex F. 100% 100% 100% 99% 93% 64% 20%
3 LIN Daniel 100% 100% 100% 100% 97% 78% 34%
3 BERA Enzo 100% 100% 100% 99% 94% 73% 32%
5 FIGUEREDO Adrian 100% 100% 100% 100% 98% 77%
6 KUSHKOV Daniel 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 93% 46%
7 SAGARDI David 100% 100% 100% 99% 91% 59% 18%
8 MCCARTHY Devan 100% 100% 100% 99% 89% 59% 17%
9 RODRIGUEZ Darlin 100% 100% 100% 98% 86% 56% 18%
10 ALAVE Kyle 100% 100% 97% 81% 45% 13% 1%
11 BIVIJI Ali 100% 100% 98% 88% 60% 25% 4%
12 ZHAO Lucas 100% 100% 100% 99% 94% 72% 28%
13 SADHU Neiyam 100% 100% 96% 80% 47% 16% 2%
14 AL-NASSER Mahmoud 100% 100% 100% 98% 86% 49% 11%
15 PAVLENISHVILI Luke 100% 96% 73% 33% 6% - -
16 JI Johnson 100% 91% 62% 25% 4% -
17 REA Franklin T. 100% 100% 100% 93% 58% 4%
18 KARAVAS Nicholas 100% 96% 76% 41% 13% 2% -
19 ABDULMANOV Ayrat 100% 100% 100% 98% 83% 46% 10%
20 LIN Philip T. 100% 100% 96% 77% 38% 6% -
21 LIN Brendan 100% 98% 86% 54% 21% 4% -
22 PORTER Dupree 100% 97% 72% 21% 2% -
23 TERENTIEV Max 100% 99% 93% 69% 29% 2%
24 SAGE Sebastian 100% 99% 93% 70% 36% 10% 1%
25 ROH Jaden 100% 93% 64% 28% 7% 1% -
26 LAZARTE Gabriel 100% 93% 65% 27% 5% - -
27 ELBAKRY Ahmed 100% 100% 100% 99% 93% 63% 19%
28 LINDHOLM Oliver S. 100% 100% 98% 77% 21% -
29 VEDRE Neil 100% 98% 80% 40% 9% 1% -
30 TSAO Oliver 100% 100% 99% 89% 63% 27% 5%
31 LIU Kevin 100% 100% 100% 96% 81% 47% 13%
32 ROSADO Sebastian 100% 98% 78% 38% 10% 1% -
33 LI Cooper 100% 96% 76% 39% 9% 1% -
34 LIN Alex 100% 95% 66% 26% 5% - -
35 WANG Theodore 100% 83% 37% 8% 1% - -
36 ORTHMANN Tristin 100% 86% 51% 17% 2% -
37 AGARWAAL Yohan 100% 96% 74% 34% 7% 1% -
38 BARTOLO Domenic V. 100% 100% 100% 100% 99% 88% 37%
38 CIEMINS Henry 100% 99% 92% 63% 22% 4% -
40 BANSAL Krishiv 100% 86% 49% 15% 2% - -
41 DREYER William 100% 89% 55% 20% 4% - -
42 TSAO Alister 100% 69% 26% 5% - - -
43 BHASKAR Dhananjay K. 100% 100% 96% 78% 45% 15% 2%
44 TOZZI Massimo 100% 100% 97% 82% 48% 15% 2%
45 ABDELLAHI Aziz 100% 94% 70% 32% 7% -
46 CHENG Brandon 100% 93% 66% 28% 5% -
47 COOKSON Leonardo 100% 83% 31% 4% - -
48 LAU Kyrus 100% 87% 52% 17% 2% - -
49 KANG Jayden 100% 37% 6% - - - -
50 JARAMILLO Juan 100% 42% 6% - - -
51 WANG Alex 100% 89% 53% 17% 2% - -
52 JAIDEVA Aakash 100% 77% 37% 10% 1% - -
53 PODDAR Shameek 100% 57% 14% 2% - - -
54 CHAVAN Aditya 100% 62% 20% 4% - - -

Explanation

The heatmap in this table provides a visual representation of the victory probability distribution for each fencer in their respective pools:

This heatmap visualization offers an immediate understanding of each fencer's expected performance compared to their actual results.