Premier Challenge ROC/RJCC/RYC

Junior Men's Foil

Sunday, September 28, 2025 at 12:30 PM

Rockland Community College, Eugene Levy Field House - Suffern, NY, USA

Probability density of pool victories

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Explore the pool victory probability density for each fencer, with their actual victories highlighted in a box. Learn more.

# Name Number of victories
0 1 2 3 4 5 6
1 LI Arvin - - - 3% 16% 40% 41%
2 TRAUGOT Owen G. - - - - 4% 28% 68%
3 CHEN Ethan - - 1% 7% 28% 45% 19%
3 KAPOOR Aayan - - - 2% 13% 41% 44%
5 SONG Noel - - - 3% 26% 71%
5 CHA James - - 4% 18% 38% 33% 7%
7 SIMONOV Timofey - - 1% 12% 49% 37%
8 XU Andy P. - - 1% 11% 49% 40%
9 MARTIN Darius - - 1% 5% 22% 43% 29%
10 TIKHAEV Alexander - - - 2% 13% 44% 41%
11 CHEN Hanson - - - 3% 17% 42% 37%
12 LEE Charles T - 2% 16% 40% 31% 10% 1%
13 GHEDINI Luca - - - 6% 35% 59%
14 TANG Alexander L. - - - 2% 15% 44% 39%
15 PLUMMER Waylon 1% 13% 32% 34% 16% 3% -
16 BAI Austin - 3% 14% 32% 34% 15% 2%
17 SHANNON Jack - 1% 8% 33% 47% 13%
18 CAO Justin 2% 17% 36% 31% 12% 2% -
19 TANG Albert - - - 1% 8% 36% 54%
19 WAYBRIGHT Matteo - 3% 15% 36% 34% 11% 1%
21 GULCHIN Mark (Yerma) - - 1% 10% 40% 48%
22 ARCE Andrew W. - 1% 8% 28% 41% 20% 2%
23 TANG August L. - - 2% 10% 31% 41% 17%
24 WANG Rory - - 1% 7% 28% 43% 21%
26 ALLEN Henry G. - - 2% 15% 40% 37% 6%
27 JURMAN Therin - 2% 14% 38% 39% 7%
28 ZHAO Ryan 2% 14% 31% 32% 17% 4% -
29 POLLIO Benjamin 6% 35% 39% 16% 3% - -
30 HOU Gaven - 3% 15% 30% 33% 16% 3%
31 ZAPPALA Nikolai - 7% 27% 38% 22% 5% -
32 ONIK Ari N. 1% 7% 26% 39% 23% 5% -
33 SHAO Eric - - - 6% 26% 44% 24%
35 LAO Kevin - 3% 19% 37% 30% 10% 1%
36 FENG Michael - - - 5% 24% 47% 23%
37 JANNEY Jonathan - 1% 12% 40% 37% 9%
38 ZHANG GAVIN J - 3% 16% 35% 33% 12% 1%
39 YANG David H. 1% 15% 39% 32% 11% 1% -
40 CHOI Benjamin - 1% 11% 39% 39% 10%
41 GORLOVITZKI Amitai 3% 19% 37% 29% 10% 1% -
42 GATES Combustion 3% 22% 43% 27% 4% -
43 ROJAS Elijah 4% 30% 44% 20% 3% -
44 TANG Terry - - 3% 16% 36% 35% 10%
45 ZAIDI Adil - - 3% 15% 36% 37% 10%
46 BLACK Zachary - - 4% 22% 41% 27% 6%
47 HOLMES Alexiy 2% 14% 35% 36% 12% 1%
48 ZHAO Brian - 3% 15% 33% 34% 14% 2%
48 MARTIN Mason 1% 7% 25% 37% 24% 6% 1%
50 MA Leon 2% 12% 29% 33% 19% 5% -
51 SOBON Jason 2% 16% 40% 35% 7% -
52 POLEBOYINA Amrit 14% 43% 33% 9% 1% -
53 XU Brian 7% 28% 39% 21% 4% -
54 ZHANG Julian 3% 30% 46% 18% 2% -
55 METZ Mason 2% 12% 28% 33% 20% 6% 1%
56 GRUNENWALD Henri 1% 14% 38% 34% 12% 1% -
56 BOURNE Zane 74% 24% 2% - - -
58 PECK Quinn - 2% 14% 35% 35% 13% 1%
58 TOOMRE Kai 1% 9% 29% 37% 20% 4% -
60 KIM Daniel 6% 28% 38% 22% 6% 1% -
61 JIN Andy - 4% 22% 39% 27% 7% 1%
62 ZHANG Ethan 3% 33% 41% 19% 4% - -
63 TAM Kyle 2% 15% 34% 32% 14% 3% -
64 XU Ryan 5% 40% 42% 12% 1% -
65 KWON Chase 11% 40% 35% 12% 2% - -
66 YEVDAYEV Tamir - 5% 23% 38% 26% 8% 1%
67 KUO Phineas - 6% 28% 44% 19% 2%
68 ANGELOS Nico 4% 21% 39% 28% 8% 1% -
69 SFINTESCU Alex 1% 17% 37% 31% 12% 2% -
70 KIM Aiden 1% 16% 36% 32% 12% 2% -
71 STAFFORD Gareth 1% 9% 31% 39% 18% 3% -
72 DIAZ Gabriel 20% 38% 29% 11% 2% - -
73 BHATT Jayan 9% 46% 36% 9% 1% - -
74 YU Stephen 1% 10% 26% 33% 22% 7% 1%
75 MCCARTHY Hudson 26% 43% 24% 6% 1% - -
76 CHUN Zachary 5% 34% 43% 17% 2% -
77 GONZALEZ DE COSIO ALVAREZ Iker 69% 28% 3% - - - -
78 BERETICH Brian 18% 41% 31% 9% 1% -
79 HOWARD Mekai 87% 13% 1% - - - -
80 PEREZ Logan 2% 21% 45% 26% 6% 1% -
81 COREAS Jonathan 69% 27% 4% - - -
82 BRADFORD-WATT Ezra 69% 27% 4% - - - -
83 CHUN Alexander 72% 25% 3% - - - -
83 SANTHOSH Rithwik 19% 42% 29% 8% 1% - -
85 SCHEURER Edwin 42% 43% 14% 2% - -
86 BARBANEL Joseph 43% 41% 14% 2% - - -
87 LINDEMANN Conrad 57% 34% 8% 1% - - -
87 TANG Jeremy 19% 41% 30% 9% 1% -
89 WEBSTER Declan 53% 38% 8% 1% - - -

Explanation

The heatmap in this table provides a visual representation of the victory probability distribution for each fencer in their respective pools:

This heatmap visualization offers an immediate understanding of each fencer's expected performance compared to their actual results.