Premier Challenge ROC/RJCC/RYC

Junior Men's Foil

Sunday, September 28, 2025 at 12:30 PM

Rockland Community College, Eugene Levy Field House - Suffern, NY, USA

Probability density of pool victories

Reset

Explore the probability of achieving at least a certain number of victories in the pool for each fencer, with their actual victories highlighted in a box. Learn more.

# Name Number of victories
0 1 2 3 4 5 6
1 LI Arvin 100% 100% 100% 100% 96% 81% 41%
2 TRAUGOT Owen G. 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 96% 68%
3 CHEN Ethan 100% 100% 100% 99% 92% 63% 19%
3 KAPOOR Aayan 100% 100% 100% 100% 98% 85% 44%
5 SONG Noel 100% 100% 100% 100% 97% 71%
5 CHA James 100% 100% 100% 96% 78% 40% 7%
7 SIMONOV Timofey 100% 100% 100% 99% 87% 37%
8 XU Andy P. 100% 100% 100% 99% 88% 40%
9 MARTIN Darius 100% 100% 100% 99% 94% 72% 29%
10 TIKHAEV Alexander 100% 100% 100% 100% 98% 85% 41%
11 CHEN Hanson 100% 100% 100% 100% 97% 79% 37%
12 LEE Charles T 100% 100% 98% 82% 42% 11% 1%
13 GHEDINI Luca 100% 100% 100% 100% 94% 59%
14 TANG Alexander L. 100% 100% 100% 100% 98% 83% 39%
15 PLUMMER Waylon 100% 99% 86% 54% 20% 4% -
16 BAI Austin 100% 100% 97% 83% 51% 17% 2%
17 SHANNON Jack 100% 100% 99% 92% 59% 13%
18 CAO Justin 100% 98% 81% 45% 14% 2% -
19 TANG Albert 100% 100% 100% 100% 99% 91% 54%
19 WAYBRIGHT Matteo 100% 100% 97% 82% 46% 12% 1%
21 GULCHIN Mark (Yerma) 100% 100% 100% 99% 89% 48%
22 ARCE Andrew W. 100% 100% 99% 91% 63% 22% 2%
23 TANG August L. 100% 100% 100% 98% 88% 58% 17%
24 WANG Rory 100% 100% 100% 99% 93% 65% 21%
26 ALLEN Henry G. 100% 100% 100% 98% 83% 43% 6%
27 JURMAN Therin 100% 100% 98% 84% 46% 7%
28 ZHAO Ryan 100% 98% 83% 53% 21% 4% -
29 POLLIO Benjamin 100% 94% 59% 20% 3% - -
30 HOU Gaven 100% 100% 96% 82% 51% 19% 3%
31 ZAPPALA Nikolai 100% 100% 93% 66% 28% 6% -
32 ONIK Ari N. 100% 99% 93% 67% 28% 5% -
33 SHAO Eric 100% 100% 100% 100% 94% 68% 24%
35 LAO Kevin 100% 100% 97% 78% 41% 11% 1%
36 FENG Michael 100% 100% 100% 100% 95% 70% 23%
37 JANNEY Jonathan 100% 100% 99% 86% 46% 9%
38 ZHANG GAVIN J 100% 100% 97% 81% 46% 13% 1%
39 YANG David H. 100% 99% 83% 44% 12% 1% -
40 CHOI Benjamin 100% 100% 99% 88% 49% 10%
41 GORLOVITZKI Amitai 100% 97% 78% 40% 12% 2% -
42 GATES Combustion 100% 97% 75% 31% 4% -
43 ROJAS Elijah 100% 96% 67% 23% 3% -
44 TANG Terry 100% 100% 100% 96% 80% 45% 10%
45 ZAIDI Adil 100% 100% 100% 97% 83% 47% 10%
46 BLACK Zachary 100% 100% 100% 96% 73% 33% 6%
47 HOLMES Alexiy 100% 98% 84% 49% 13% 1%
48 ZHAO Brian 100% 100% 97% 83% 50% 16% 2%
48 MARTIN Mason 100% 99% 92% 67% 31% 7% 1%
50 MA Leon 100% 98% 86% 57% 24% 6% -
51 SOBON Jason 100% 98% 82% 42% 7% -
52 POLEBOYINA Amrit 100% 86% 43% 9% 1% -
53 XU Brian 100% 93% 65% 26% 4% -
54 ZHANG Julian 100% 97% 66% 20% 3% -
55 METZ Mason 100% 98% 87% 59% 26% 6% 1%
56 GRUNENWALD Henri 100% 99% 84% 47% 13% 1% -
56 BOURNE Zane 100% 26% 2% - - -
58 PECK Quinn 100% 100% 98% 84% 49% 14% 1%
58 TOOMRE Kai 100% 99% 91% 61% 25% 5% -
60 KIM Daniel 100% 94% 66% 28% 7% 1% -
61 JIN Andy 100% 100% 95% 73% 34% 7% 1%
62 ZHANG Ethan 100% 97% 65% 24% 4% - -
63 TAM Kyle 100% 98% 83% 49% 17% 3% -
64 XU Ryan 100% 95% 55% 13% 1% -
65 KWON Chase 100% 89% 50% 14% 2% - -
66 YEVDAYEV Tamir 100% 100% 95% 72% 35% 8% 1%
67 KUO Phineas 100% 100% 94% 66% 21% 2%
68 ANGELOS Nico 100% 96% 76% 37% 9% 1% -
69 SFINTESCU Alex 100% 99% 82% 45% 14% 2% -
70 KIM Aiden 100% 99% 82% 46% 14% 2% -
71 STAFFORD Gareth 100% 99% 91% 60% 21% 3% -
72 DIAZ Gabriel 100% 80% 42% 14% 2% - -
73 BHATT Jayan 100% 91% 46% 10% 1% - -
74 YU Stephen 100% 99% 89% 62% 29% 7% 1%
75 MCCARTHY Hudson 100% 74% 31% 6% 1% - -
76 CHUN Zachary 100% 95% 62% 19% 2% -
77 GONZALEZ DE COSIO ALVAREZ Iker 100% 31% 3% - - - -
78 BERETICH Brian 100% 82% 41% 10% 1% -
79 HOWARD Mekai 100% 13% 1% - - - -
80 PEREZ Logan 100% 98% 77% 33% 6% 1% -
81 COREAS Jonathan 100% 31% 4% - - -
82 BRADFORD-WATT Ezra 100% 31% 4% - - - -
83 CHUN Alexander 100% 28% 3% - - - -
83 SANTHOSH Rithwik 100% 81% 38% 9% 1% - -
85 SCHEURER Edwin 100% 58% 15% 2% - -
86 BARBANEL Joseph 100% 57% 16% 2% - - -
87 LINDEMANN Conrad 100% 43% 9% 1% - - -
87 TANG Jeremy 100% 81% 40% 10% 1% -
89 WEBSTER Declan 100% 47% 9% 1% - - -

Explanation

The heatmap in this table provides a visual representation of the victory probability distribution for each fencer in their respective pools:

This heatmap visualization offers an immediate understanding of each fencer's expected performance compared to their actual results.