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Event Results

Mixed Foil

RFC Friday Night Fight October - UnsanctionedSurprise Map

Friday, October 3, 2025 at 6:00 PM Richmond Fencing Club · Richmond, VA, USA
26 finishers
Difficulty Upsets Pool Heatmap Strength
Birth year

Outcome Surprises

Legend

Green wins and red losses stand out more as the result becomes less expected.

# Name Bout Difficulty vs. Outcome Pool Victories
Pool DE Exp. Act. Diff.
1 SIMMONS Noah V V V V V V V V V 3.1 5 +1.9
2 LYNCH Jacob V V D D D V V V V D 2.9 2 -0.9
3 MAYBERRY Kate D V V D V V V D 2.0 2 -
3 MASTROPAS-BROWN Luka D D V V V V V D 2.7 2 -0.7
5 MAJER Jude D V V V V V D 2.7 4 +1.3
6 WILLIAMS James V D V V V V D 2.9 3 +0.1
7 CHOE Samuel D V V V V V D 0.5 3 +2.5
8 WHIDDON Lucy D D D V V V D 1.0 1 -
9 SCHARTZ James V V V V D 3.0 4 +1.0
10 HALL Joshua V V V V D 2.4 4 +1.6
11 KUKANIC Fiona V V V V D 2.6 4 +1.4
12 DILLENBACK Isaiah V V D V D 3.0 3 -
13 COLLIGAN Laura V V D V V D 2.8 3 +0.2
14 FORBES Xavier V V D V V D 0.7 3 +2.3
15 THOMAS Taylor D V V D V D 2.2 2 -0.2
16 MITTAL Sahana D D D V V V D 2.2 2 -0.2
17 LU Dorian V D D V D 2.2 2 -0.2
18 PLACE Emma V D V D D D 2.0 2 -
19 ELLIOT James D V D D D 2.1 1 -1.1
20 JORGENSON Oliver D D D V D 1.5 1 -0.5
21 COVERT Michael D V D D D 1.9 1 -0.9
22 SCHEFFT Owen V D D D D 2.1 1 -1.1
23 RAWLS Henry D D D D D 1.5 0 -1.5
24 DAVIS John D D D D D 1.7 0 -1.7
25 MASTROPAS-BROWN Danil D D D D D D 2.0 0 -2.0
26 LU Alina D D D D D 1.5 0 -1.5

Legend

Color Outcome Difficulty Win Probability
Victory Very Hard 0% to 20%
Victory Hard 20% to 40%
Victory Roughly Even 40% to 60%
Victory Easy 60% to 80%
Victory Very Easy 80% to 100%
Defeat Very Hard 0% to 20%
Defeat Hard 20% to 40%
Defeat Roughly Even 40% to 60%
Defeat Easy 60% to 80%
Defeat Very Easy 80% to 100%