RFC Friday Night Fight October - Unsanctioned

Mixed Foil

Friday, October 3, 2025 at 6:00 PM

Richmond Fencing Club - Richmond, VA, USA

Probability density of pool victories

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Explore the pool victory probability density for each fencer, with their actual victories highlighted in a box. Learn more.

# Name Number of victories
0 1 2 3 4 5
1 SIMMONS Noah - 5% 21% 37% 29% 8%
2 LYNCH Jacob 1% 9% 26% 36% 23% 6%
3 MAYBERRY Kate 6% 26% 38% 24% 5%
3 MASTROPAS-BROWN Luka - 8% 32% 42% 18%
5 MAJER Jude 2% 12% 29% 34% 19% 4%
6 WILLIAMS James - 6% 27% 44% 23%
7 CHOE Samuel 57% 40% 3% < 1% -
8 WHIDDON Lucy 25% 56% 17% 2% -
9 SCHARTZ James - 1% 26% 50% 24%
10 HALL Joshua 1% 14% 38% 36% 12%
11 KUKANIC Fiona 1% 9% 36% 41% 14%
12 DILLENBACK Isaiah - 4% 23% 47% 26%
13 COLLIGAN Laura - 7% 29% 43% 21%
14 FORBES Xavier 33% 65% 3% < 1% -
15 THOMAS Taylor 2% 19% 43% 30% 5%
16 MITTAL Sahana 4% 21% 36% 28% 10% 1%
17 LU Dorian 4% 20% 37% 30% 9%
18 PLACE Emma 7% 25% 35% 24% 8% 1%
19 ELLIOT James - 20% 50% 30% 1%
20 JORGENSON Oliver 14% 38% 36% 12% 1%
21 COVERT Michael 7% 26% 38% 24% 6%
22 SCHEFFT Owen - 26% 46% 24% 4%
23 RAWLS Henry 15% 37% 33% 13% 2%
24 DAVIS John 10% 34% 38% 16% 2%
25 MASTROPAS-BROWN Danil 6% 25% 38% 25% 7% -
26 LU Alina 15% 37% 33% 13% 2%

Explanation

The heatmap in this table provides a visual representation of the victory probability distribution for each fencer in their respective pools:

This heatmap visualization offers an immediate understanding of each fencer's expected performance compared to their actual results.