13th Annual Little Musketeers RYC & RJC

Y-12 Women's Épée

Friday, October 10, 2025 at 2:00 PM

Jump Beyond Sports - Torrance, CA, USA

Probability density of pool victories

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Explore the probability of achieving at least a certain number of victories in the pool for each fencer, with their actual victories highlighted in a box. Learn more.

# Name Number of victories
0 1 2 3 4 5 6
1 YIP Allison 100% 100% 100% 100% 99% 90% 51%
2 ZHAO Ellie 100% 100% 99% 91% 64% 23%
3 LI Allison 100% 100% 100% 98% 84% 48% 12%
3 MIAO Anthea 100% 100% 99% 91% 63% 25% 4%
5 LI Anna 100% 100% 100% 99% 88% 46%
6 ARNOLD Evangeline 100% 100% 100% 98% 82% 39%
7 VOO Evelyn 100% 100% 100% 99% 89% 57% 13%
8 DEJOY Leilah 100% 100% 95% 73% 35% 7%
9 LU Chu 100% 100% 97% 72% 29% 4%
10 CHONG Emma 100% 99% 88% 58% 21% 3%
11 LYNTON Alexandra 100% 100% 97% 80% 44% 14% 2%
12 DEFENSOR Ella 100% 100% 97% 81% 45% 11% 1%
13 WANG Kercedes Ye 100% 96% 71% 29% 5% -
14 WONG Isabelle 100% 99% 91% 64% 28% 5%
15 SUN Joanna 100% 100% 100% 95% 74% 31%
16 RONG Hilary 100% 100% 94% 73% 35% 7%
17 LICON Katherine 100% 100% 100% 95% 72% 31% 3%
18 LYNTON Olivia 100% 100% 95% 67% 16% 1%
19 YANG Nina 100% 100% 99% 84% 45% 9%
20 SHIH Eva 100% 89% 53% 18% 3% -
21 WANG Phoebe 100% 99% 91% 63% 25% 4%
22 LEE Rebecca 100% 100% 97% 74% 31% 5%
23 MUHLENBRUCH Cora 100% 92% 61% 22% 3% -
24 WANG Olivia 100% 99% 89% 61% 24% 4% -
25 KEDAN Carmella 100% 91% 57% 20% 4% - -
26 SU Hermione Su 100% 97% 77% 39% 11% 1% -
27 SHIH Cayla 100% 59% 13% 1% - - -
28 SCHWARTZMAN Avital 100% 62% 20% 3% - -
29 HUANG Sophie 100% 100% 94% 65% 25% 4%
30 MA Sloane 100% 88% 49% 15% 2% -
31 LA Evelyn 100% 52% 7% - - -
32 FLESHER Mia 100% 58% 16% 2% - -
33 HSIEH Sophie 100% 100% 97% 81% 44% 10%
34 WANG Elizabeth 100% 58% 17% 2% - -
35 HONG Erin 100% 100% 98% 84% 49% 12% 1%
36 ROSENFELD Liv 100% 64% 11% 1% - -
37 ROBERTSON Sienna 100% 78% 34% 7% 1% - -
38 BAI lufei 100% 66% 24% 4% - - -

Explanation

The heatmap in this table provides a visual representation of the victory probability distribution for each fencer in their respective pools:

This heatmap visualization offers an immediate understanding of each fencer's expected performance compared to their actual results.