The Ohio State University Open

Senior Men's Épée

Saturday, October 11, 2025 at 12:30 PM

French Field House - Columbus, OH, USA

Probability density of pool victories

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Explore the pool victory probability density for each fencer, with their actual victories highlighted in a box. Learn more.

# Name Number of victories
0 1 2 3 4 5 6
1 BUELAU Matthew - - - 1% 11% 42% 47%
2 FEINBERG Gabriel M. - - - - 1% 18% 81%
3 LASIYCHUK Nikita 1% 7% 27% 40% 22% 3%
3 STANGE Jakob - - 2% 12% 31% 37% 17%
5 LI Jesse - - 2% 18% 52% 28%
6 RIGGINS Joshua - - 2% 38% 43% 15% 2%
7 JOVANOVIC Jovan - - - 7% 39% 42% 12%
8 SHAH S Ayush - - - 7% 32% 44% 17%
9 KOKENGE Reid - - 2% 16% 39% 35% 9%
10 BOUMEDIENNE Sami - - 1% 7% 34% 58%
11 KULCSAR Viktor - - - 3% 20% 45% 32%
12 HUTTO Joshua - 3% 16% 37% 35% 9%
13 NDJEKA Jesse - - 3% 17% 42% 37%
14 WOJCIECHOWSKI Matthew N. - - 3% 17% 37% 33% 10%
15 GIOVAGNOLI Nolan - 3% 21% 50% 23% 3%
16 GREGER Jack - 3% 16% 35% 33% 12% 1%
17 CHEMEZOV Trent 5% 23% 36% 26% 9% 1% -
18 GIBSON Nowell L. - - - 10% 44% 46%
19 MARSHALL John W. - - - 7% 37% 44% 12%
20 ZENG Zihan - 1% 7% 25% 41% 25% 2%
21 REDEMANN Shawn 4% 23% 39% 26% 7% 1%
22 ELLIS, IV Floyd 43% 45% 11% 1% - - -
23 SCOTT Alex 21% 47% 28% 4% - -
24 FORTUNA Chase 2% 30% 62% 7% - - -
25 BETTS Jr Anthony P. 1% 11% 33% 37% 16% 2%
26 MASON Alexander T. - - 1% 15% 42% 34% 8%
27 JONES Reilly - 2% 14% 36% 33% 13% 2%
28 WANG Kaiyan 44% 40% 14% 2% - -
29 IGNATIK Piotr 7% 33% 38% 18% 3% -
30 LINDOW Connor - 5% 30% 48% 14% 1% -
31 CHUTKAY Sai Pratham 8% 34% 39% 16% 3% - -
32 SEABLOOM Jack 30% 51% 17% 2% - - -
33 CHU Duong 10% 38% 40% 10% 1% -
34 QASHOU Mohammad 7% 29% 38% 21% 5% 1% -
35 EVERT Todd 2% 15% 35% 34% 12% 1%
36 RAKOTOZAFY Adrian 1% 11% 32% 37% 17% 2%
37 ZHANG James 5% 22% 37% 27% 8% 1% -
38 PALLADINO Ben T. 2% 18% 50% 27% 3% - -
39 MASSIE Jay Thomas 49% 39% 11% 1% - -
40 BRANG David J. 3% 20% 37% 29% 10% 1%
42 GILL Anhad 13% 61% 25% - - - -
43 YORK AJ 8% 27% 36% 22% 6% 1% -
44 TERRILL Luke 8% 32% 39% 18% 2% - -
45 MCNARY Sean 33% 47% 19% 2% - -
46 MCNARY Ross 41% 43% 14% 2% - - -
47 ADAMS Christopher 75% 23% 1% - - - -

Explanation

The heatmap in this table provides a visual representation of the victory probability distribution for each fencer in their respective pools:

This heatmap visualization offers an immediate understanding of each fencer's expected performance compared to their actual results.