Duel of the East Coast ROC/RJCC/RYC

Y-12 Women's Épée

Saturday, October 11, 2025 at 8:00 AM

Greater Philadelphia Expo Center - Hall C - Oaks, PA, USA

Probability density of pool victories

Reset

Explore the pool victory probability density for each fencer, with their actual victories highlighted in a box. Learn more.

# Name Number of victories
0 1 2 3 4 5 6
1 YIN Elaine - 1% 8% 30% 43% 18%
2 HAN Emma - - - 4% 17% 40% 39%
3 ZHANG Yuchen A. - - 4% 16% 33% 34% 13%
3 GURTIN Aleksandra 13% 34% 33% 16% 4% - -
5 QI Chelsie - 4% 20% 41% 32% 3%
6 FEESER Alexia - 4% 18% 38% 32% 8%
7 YUSHCHENKO Ivanka 1% 10% 28% 35% 20% 4%
8 TANG Jacquelyn 2% 13% 31% 34% 17% 3%
9 WARD Imani - 3% 13% 28% 33% 19% 4%
10 LIU Brinley - 1% 8% 27% 41% 23%
11 ZHAO Rachel - 3% 16% 32% 32% 14% 2%
12 YOUNG Penelope 1% 9% 27% 37% 22% 5%
12 CHOI Noah 13% 40% 34% 11% 1% -
14 MEGGERS Arya - - 4% 19% 44% 33%
15 WANG Katherine 2% 15% 36% 34% 12% 1%
16 BOUTSIKARIS Asha - 3% 15% 30% 33% 16% 2%
17 ERATA Selena 1% 13% 35% 36% 14% 2%
18 KIM Kate 1% 9% 25% 34% 23% 7% 1%
19 LUO MAOSHUEN 4% 18% 33% 29% 13% 3% -
20 KUO Stella 5% 24% 38% 25% 7% 1%
21 SALIBA Madison 4% 20% 35% 28% 11% 2% -
22 JIN Mia - 6% 23% 36% 27% 8% -
23 QIN Olivia 13% 33% 33% 16% 4% - -
24 CARACCIOLO Emma 15% 41% 32% 10% 1% -
25 DARMAWAN Thea - 2% 13% 35% 37% 13%
26 CHOI Serine 37% 43% 17% 3% - -
27 SUN Antonia 25% 41% 25% 7% 1% -
28 CHUNG Yenna 1% 10% 27% 35% 21% 5% -
29 LIU Mona - 1% 7% 30% 41% 19% 2%
30 KAUR Harjas 33% 41% 20% 5% 1% -
31 YULO Jamie < 1% 12% 37% 36% 13% 2%
32 MUKHERJEE Shreya 22% 39% 27% 10% 2% - -

Explanation

The heatmap in this table provides a visual representation of the victory probability distribution for each fencer in their respective pools:

This heatmap visualization offers an immediate understanding of each fencer's expected performance compared to their actual results.