Duel of the East Coast ROC/RJCC/RYC

Y-12 Women's Épée

Saturday, October 11, 2025 at 8:00 AM

Greater Philadelphia Expo Center - Hall C - Oaks, PA, USA

Probability density of pool victories

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Explore the probability of achieving at least a certain number of victories in the pool for each fencer, with their actual victories highlighted in a box. Learn more.

# Name Number of victories
0 1 2 3 4 5 6
1 YIN Elaine 100% 100% 99% 91% 61% 18%
2 HAN Emma 100% 100% 100% 100% 96% 79% 39%
3 ZHANG Yuchen A. 100% 100% 100% 96% 80% 47% 13%
3 GURTIN Aleksandra 100% 87% 53% 20% 4% 1% -
5 QI Chelsie 100% 100% 96% 76% 35% 3%
6 FEESER Alexia 100% 100% 96% 78% 40% 8%
7 YUSHCHENKO Ivanka 100% 99% 88% 60% 25% 4%
8 TANG Jacquelyn 100% 98% 85% 54% 20% 3%
9 WARD Imani 100% 100% 97% 84% 56% 23% 4%
10 LIU Brinley 100% 100% 99% 91% 64% 23%
11 ZHAO Rachel 100% 100% 96% 81% 49% 16% 2%
12 YOUNG Penelope 100% 99% 90% 63% 27% 5%
12 CHOI Noah 100% 87% 47% 13% 1% -
14 MEGGERS Arya 100% 100% 100% 96% 77% 33%
15 WANG Katherine 100% 98% 83% 47% 13% 1%
16 BOUTSIKARIS Asha 100% 100% 96% 82% 51% 19% 2%
17 ERATA Selena 100% 99% 86% 51% 15% 2%
18 KIM Kate 100% 99% 90% 66% 31% 8% 1%
19 LUO MAOSHUEN 100% 96% 79% 46% 16% 3% -
20 KUO Stella 100% 95% 71% 33% 8% 1%
21 SALIBA Madison 100% 96% 75% 41% 13% 2% -
22 JIN Mia 100% 100% 94% 71% 35% 8% -
23 QIN Olivia 100% 87% 54% 21% 5% 1% -
24 CARACCIOLO Emma 100% 85% 44% 11% 1% -
25 DARMAWAN Thea 100% 100% 98% 85% 50% 13%
26 CHOI Serine 100% 63% 20% 3% - -
27 SUN Antonia 100% 75% 33% 8% 1% -
28 CHUNG Yenna 100% 99% 89% 62% 27% 5% -
29 LIU Mona 100% 100% 99% 92% 62% 21% 2%
30 KAUR Harjas 100% 67% 26% 5% 1% -
31 YULO Jamie 100% 100% 88% 51% 15% 2%
32 MUKHERJEE Shreya 100% 78% 39% 11% 2% - -

Explanation

The heatmap in this table provides a visual representation of the victory probability distribution for each fencer in their respective pools:

This heatmap visualization offers an immediate understanding of each fencer's expected performance compared to their actual results.