Duel of the East Coast ROC/RJCC/RYC

Cadet Men's Épée

Saturday, October 11, 2025 at 2:00 PM

Greater Philadelphia Expo Center - Hall C - Oaks, PA, USA

Probability density of pool victories

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Explore the pool victory probability density for each fencer, with their actual victories highlighted in a box. Learn more.

# Name Number of victories
0 1 2 3 4 5 6
1 CHEN Zhengyang (Allen) - - - - 1% 18% 81%
2 LUO Alexander - 1% 5% 19% 36% 30% 9%
3 GUNDUBOGULA Saket - 3% 14% 31% 32% 16% 3%
3 KUSACTAY Eric - 3% 15% 33% 33% 14% 1%
5 HE Bronto - 1% 7% 23% 36% 27% 7%
6 LI Ryan - 2% 11% 29% 36% 19% 2%
7 CUMMINGS Owen - 2% 12% 32% 37% 16%
8 TSIEN Richard - 6% 24% 38% 26% 6%
9 PARKER Isaiah - - - 1% 6% 32% 61%
10 WANG Charles - - 3% 16% 37% 34% 9%
11 HELMY Richard - - 3% 14% 32% 36% 15%
12 CARPENTER Touma S. - 2% 12% 30% 35% 18% 3%
13 KOGAN Yelisey L. - 6% 25% 38% 25% 6%
14 SONG Charlie - - - 3% 17% 42% 38%
15 ALEXANDER Christopher - 1% 9% 25% 35% 23% 6%
16 ALPSOY Emir 7% 33% 38% 18% 4% -
17 SUN Lucas - - 3% 15% 33% 34% 13%
18 CHEN Cameron 1% 9% 28% 36% 21% 5% < 1%
19 ZHAI Junqi - - 4% 15% 32% 34% 14%
20 ALABI Azryl - 5% 21% 37% 28% 8%
21 GAO Victor - - 1% 9% 28% 40% 22%
22 CUELLAR Markus - 1% 6% 21% 36% 29% 9%
23 BHANDARE Veer - 3% 17% 34% 33% 12% 1%
24 CHEN Raymond - 1% 6% 20% 34% 29% 9%
25 CHAU Collin - 5% 19% 33% 29% 12% 2%
26 LEE Connor - 1% 8% 24% 36% 24% 6%
27 CZEPLA Andrew - 2% 15% 38% 36% 9%
28 SUNKARA Vishnu - 2% 10% 29% 37% 19% 3%
29 CHEN Evan - 2% 11% 30% 37% 18% 1%
30 LEE Henry - 4% 18% 34% 30% 12% 2%
31 TOPRANI Valmik 2% 14% 31% 31% 16% 4% -
32 HOOD Emery 3% 18% 36% 29% 11% 2% -
33 LI Morgan - - 2% 13% 41% 44%
34 LYCHKO Maksym - - 4% 17% 34% 33% 12%
35 GOVOROV Alexander - 4% 17% 34% 32% 12% 1%
36 TUNG Charlie - - 2% 11% 36% 39% 12%
37 ARMSTRONG Payson 2% 12% 31% 34% 17% 4% -
38 TRAVIS Declan 20% 41% 29% 9% 1% - -
39 ZHU Brady 6% 27% 36% 22% 7% 1% -
40 MEDISETTI Arjun 1% 8% 26% 37% 23% 6% -
41 MCGRATH Hogan 5% 25% 36% 24% 8% 1% -
42 LEE Elijah 4% 24% 41% 25% 6% -
43 OSHIMA Robert - 5% 24% 41% 25% 4%
44 JIANG Aidan 41% 42% 15% 2% - -
45 KENDLER Micah 3% 16% 33% 30% 14% 3% -
46 LEVESQUE Gabriel - 5% 19% 35% 29% 10% 1%
47 YU Kenneth 2% 17% 35% 31% 12% 2% -
48 WELCH Sebastian 38% 41% 17% 4% - - -
49 FOGEL Jake 6% 26% 36% 23% 8% 1% -
50 KIM Louie 15% 38% 33% 12% 2% - -
51 KIM Zac 1% 8% 24% 35% 24% 8% 1%
51 BRESSLER Brenton 4% 19% 34% 28% 12% 2% -
53 MCFADDEN Charles - 3% 14% 32% 33% 16% 3%
54 NUSCHKE Conrad 6% 25% 37% 24% 7% 1% -
55 NUSCHKE Luka 11% 38% 36% 13% 2% -
56 JHUNJHUNWALA Milan 1% 6% 22% 35% 26% 9% 1%
57 FRIZZELL Kai 5% 25% 37% 24% 8% 1% -
58 LEE Ryan 44% 40% 14% 2% - - -
59 CHEN Aiden 2% 12% 30% 34% 18% 4% -
60 LAVIN Ethan 3% 20% 36% 29% 11% 1% -
61 WEI Noah 48% 38% 12% 2% - - -
62 LI Tyrese 55% 36% 8% 1% - -
63 DAND Zahin 40% 41% 15% 3% - - -
64 LAW Oliver 23% 42% 27% 8% 1% - -
65 FENG Xinmin 3% 16% 34% 31% 13% 2% -
65 SMITH Theo 30% 42% 22% 5% 1% - -
67 NIE Ethan 36% 42% 18% 4% - - -
68 XIE Richard 21% 42% 28% 8% 1% - -

Explanation

The heatmap in this table provides a visual representation of the victory probability distribution for each fencer in their respective pools:

This heatmap visualization offers an immediate understanding of each fencer's expected performance compared to their actual results.