Duel of the East Coast ROC/RJCC/RYC

Cadet Men's Épée

Saturday, October 11, 2025 at 2:00 PM

Greater Philadelphia Expo Center - Hall C - Oaks, PA, USA

Probability density of pool victories

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Explore the probability of achieving at least a certain number of victories in the pool for each fencer, with their actual victories highlighted in a box. Learn more.

# Name Number of victories
0 1 2 3 4 5 6
1 CHEN Zhengyang (Allen) 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 98% 81%
2 LUO Alexander 100% 100% 99% 94% 75% 40% 9%
3 GUNDUBOGULA Saket 100% 100% 97% 83% 52% 20% 3%
3 KUSACTAY Eric 100% 100% 97% 81% 48% 15% 1%
5 HE Bronto 100% 100% 99% 92% 70% 34% 7%
6 LI Ryan 100% 100% 98% 87% 58% 22% 2%
7 CUMMINGS Owen 100% 100% 98% 86% 53% 16%
8 TSIEN Richard 100% 100% 94% 70% 32% 6%
9 PARKER Isaiah 100% 100% 100% 100% 99% 93% 61%
10 WANG Charles 100% 100% 100% 96% 80% 43% 9%
11 HELMY Richard 100% 100% 100% 97% 83% 51% 15%
12 CARPENTER Touma S. 100% 100% 98% 86% 56% 22% 3%
13 KOGAN Yelisey L. 100% 100% 93% 69% 31% 6%
14 SONG Charlie 100% 100% 100% 100% 97% 80% 38%
15 ALEXANDER Christopher 100% 100% 99% 90% 65% 29% 6%
16 ALPSOY Emir 100% 93% 60% 22% 4% -
17 SUN Lucas 100% 100% 100% 96% 81% 47% 13%
18 CHEN Cameron 100% 99% 90% 63% 27% 6% < 1%
19 ZHAI Junqi 100% 100% 100% 96% 81% 49% 14%
20 ALABI Azryl 100% 100% 95% 74% 36% 8%
21 GAO Victor 100% 100% 100% 98% 89% 62% 22%
22 CUELLAR Markus 100% 100% 99% 94% 73% 37% 9%
23 BHANDARE Veer 100% 100% 96% 80% 45% 13% 1%
24 CHEN Raymond 100% 100% 99% 93% 73% 38% 9%
25 CHAU Collin 100% 100% 95% 76% 43% 14% 2%
26 LEE Connor 100% 100% 99% 91% 66% 31% 6%
27 CZEPLA Andrew 100% 100% 98% 83% 45% 9%
28 SUNKARA Vishnu 100% 100% 98% 88% 60% 23% 3%
29 CHEN Evan 100% 100% 98% 86% 56% 19% 1%
30 LEE Henry 100% 100% 95% 77% 43% 13% 2%
31 TOPRANI Valmik 100% 98% 83% 53% 21% 5% -
32 HOOD Emery 100% 97% 79% 43% 14% 2% -
33 LI Morgan 100% 100% 100% 98% 85% 44%
34 LYCHKO Maksym 100% 100% 100% 95% 79% 45% 12%
35 GOVOROV Alexander 100% 100% 96% 79% 45% 13% 1%
36 TUNG Charlie 100% 100% 100% 98% 87% 51% 12%
37 ARMSTRONG Payson 100% 98% 86% 55% 21% 4% -
38 TRAVIS Declan 100% 80% 40% 11% 1% - -
39 ZHU Brady 100% 94% 67% 30% 8% 1% -
40 MEDISETTI Arjun 100% 99% 92% 65% 29% 6% -
41 MCGRATH Hogan 100% 95% 69% 33% 9% 1% -
42 LEE Elijah 100% 96% 72% 31% 6% -
43 OSHIMA Robert 100% 100% 94% 70% 30% 4%
44 JIANG Aidan 100% 59% 17% 2% - -
45 KENDLER Micah 100% 97% 81% 48% 17% 3% -
46 LEVESQUE Gabriel 100% 100% 95% 75% 40% 11% 1%
47 YU Kenneth 100% 98% 80% 45% 14% 2% -
48 WELCH Sebastian 100% 62% 21% 4% - - -
49 FOGEL Jake 100% 94% 68% 32% 9% 1% -
50 KIM Louie 100% 85% 47% 14% 2% - -
51 KIM Zac 100% 99% 92% 67% 33% 9% 1%
51 BRESSLER Brenton 100% 96% 77% 43% 14% 3% -
53 MCFADDEN Charles 100% 100% 97% 83% 52% 19% 3%
54 NUSCHKE Conrad 100% 94% 70% 33% 8% 1% -
55 NUSCHKE Luka 100% 89% 51% 15% 2% -
56 JHUNJHUNWALA Milan 100% 99% 93% 71% 37% 10% 1%
57 FRIZZELL Kai 100% 95% 70% 33% 9% 1% -
58 LEE Ryan 100% 56% 16% 2% - - -
59 CHEN Aiden 100% 98% 86% 56% 22% 4% -
60 LAVIN Ethan 100% 97% 77% 41% 12% 2% -
61 WEI Noah 100% 52% 14% 2% - - -
62 LI Tyrese 100% 45% 9% 1% - -
63 DAND Zahin 100% 60% 18% 3% - - -
64 LAW Oliver 100% 77% 36% 9% 1% - -
65 FENG Xinmin 100% 97% 81% 47% 15% 2% -
65 SMITH Theo 100% 70% 28% 6% 1% - -
67 NIE Ethan 100% 64% 22% 4% - - -
68 XIE Richard 100% 79% 37% 9% 1% - -

Explanation

The heatmap in this table provides a visual representation of the victory probability distribution for each fencer in their respective pools:

This heatmap visualization offers an immediate understanding of each fencer's expected performance compared to their actual results.