The University of Michigan Open

Senior Mixed Foil

Saturday, October 25, 2025 at 10:15 AM

Sports Coliseum - Ann Arbor, MI, USA

Probability density of pool victories

Reset

Explore the probability of achieving at least a certain number of victories in the pool for each fencer, with their actual victories highlighted in a box. Learn more.

# Name Number of victories
0 1 2 3 4 5
1 LEUNG Ethan 100% 100% 100% 97% 80% 33%
2 ORONOWICZ Jakub 100% 100% 100% 99% 91% 55%
3 MANCINI Ludovica 100% 100% 100% 96% 72% 25%
3 ACURERO GONZÁLEZ Anabella 100% 100% 99% 90% 59% 16%
5 ASHIDA Tomoaki 100% 100% 96% 73% 23%
6 GNEUHS Sam 100% 100% 95% 70% 28% 3%
7 TOWNE Benjamin 100% 99% 85% 46% 11% 1%
8 WU Benjamin (Ben) 100% 97% 82% 50% 17% 2%
9 PAN Qikun 100% 99% 91% 63% 22%
10 CROMPTON Celia N. 100% 96% 73% 36% 9% 1%
10 METZ Evan 100% 99% 90% 61% 24% 3%
12 PRYOR Ted 100% 99% 86% 54% 20% 3%
13 MEI Jiahao 100% 100% 94% 67% 27% 4%
14 DRIVER Atticus 100% 98% 84% 52% 18% 2%
15 MUMFORD Josh 100% 99% 84% 49% 14% 1%
16 MCGOVERN James 100% 98% 85% 56% 23% 4%
17 ERSOZ Yasemin 100% 57% 16% 2% -
18 STEMLER Tyler 100% 99% 88% 56% 19% 2%
19 BAKKE Alexander 100% 96% 78% 43% 13% 2%
20 PERRIN Emma 100% 83% 42% 10% 1% -
21 IVASKA Mintas 100% 100% 95% 78% 43% 11%
22 ROJAS Antonio 100% 91% 50% 13% 1%
23 MACK Jacob 100% 48% 11% 1% - -
24 RUSSELL Prudence 100% 92% 65% 29% 6% -
25 CHEN Kedwin 100% 66% 15% 1% - -
26 GREEN Ethan 100% 98% 77% 27% 3%
27 GYORKE Curran 100% 97% 69% 23% 3% -
27 SOTO Prudence 100% 99% 79% 38% 8% -
29 JACKSON Christopher 100% 58% 18% 3% - -

Explanation

The heatmap in this table provides a visual representation of the victory probability distribution for each fencer in their respective pools:

This heatmap visualization offers an immediate understanding of each fencer's expected performance compared to their actual results.