River City Regional Rumble RYC/RJCC/Y8

Y-12 Men's Saber

Saturday, October 25, 2025 at 8:10 AM

Richmond Convention Center - Richmond, VA, USA

Probability density of pool victories

Reset

Explore the pool victory probability density for each fencer, with their actual victories highlighted in a box. Learn more.

# Name Number of victories
0 1 2 3 4 5 6
1 SCHWARTZMAN Jakub - - 1% 8% 25% 41% 25%
2 ZHANG Weihang - 1% 4% 17% 34% 33% 11%
3 TAK Kion - 1% 6% 21% 36% 28% 8%
3 SUN Leonard - - 3% 14% 31% 35% 16%
5 THOMAS Tre - - 2% 12% 33% 38% 15%
6 MIKHAILOV Andrei - - 2% 10% 28% 39% 21%
7 LAN Jasper - 1% 4% 15% 32% 34% 14%
8 PETROSYAN Aleksander 3% 14% 30% 31% 17% 5% -
9 BECKER Grayson - 2% 9% 25% 34% 24% 6%
10 CARD Ewan 1% 8% 23% 33% 25% 9% 1%
11 TAK Sion 1% 12% 36% 35% 14% 2% -
12 LI Derek - 3% 14% 30% 33% 16% 3%
13 RESTELLI Arri - 2% 12% 30% 35% 18% 3%
14 GOLDSTEIN Malcolm 4% 19% 33% 28% 12% 3% -
15 ZHAO Evan 18% 41% 30% 10% 1% - -
16 MCCABE Donovan 1% 10% 26% 33% 22% 7% 1%
17 ROSTHOLDER Ethan 2% 11% 28% 34% 19% 5% 1%
18 CHUNG Liam - 4% 17% 34% 31% 13% 2%
19 LI Nathan - - 5% 19% 37% 30% 8%
20 SIMON Joseph 4% 19% 33% 28% 12% 3% -
21 TOPALOV Michael - 4% 16% 31% 30% 15% 3%
22 KWON Joon - 4% 15% 30% 31% 16% 3%
23 GUO Joe 6% 24% 36% 25% 8% 1% -
24 WOLFF Charles - - 6% 25% 39% 25% 6%
25 GUINN Robert 47% 41% 11% 1% - - -
25 CHEN Remsen 17% 48% 29% 6% - - -
27 GU Viljo Weihan 16% 35% 31% 14% 3% - -
27 CONWAY August - 8% 32% 37% 18% 4% -
29 XIE Jeffery 36% 45% 16% 2% - - -
30 GHIM Ethan - 2% 10% 26% 34% 22% 6%
31 CHU Caleb 10% 29% 34% 20% 6% 1% -
32 LEE Augustine 10% 31% 35% 19% 5% 1% -
33 TIAN Michael 13% 32% 32% 17% 5% 1% -
34 SHOWKIER Jude - < 1% 5% 26% 42% 24% 3%
35 YEAZEL Reid 6% 24% 35% 24% 9% 2% -

Explanation

The heatmap in this table provides a visual representation of the victory probability distribution for each fencer in their respective pools:

This heatmap visualization offers an immediate understanding of each fencer's expected performance compared to their actual results.