River City Regional Rumble RYC/RJCC/Y8

Y-12 Men's Saber

Saturday, October 25, 2025 at 8:10 AM

Richmond Convention Center - Richmond, VA, USA

Probability density of pool victories

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Explore the probability of achieving at least a certain number of victories in the pool for each fencer, with their actual victories highlighted in a box. Learn more.

# Name Number of victories
0 1 2 3 4 5 6
1 SCHWARTZMAN Jakub 100% 100% 100% 99% 91% 66% 25%
2 ZHANG Weihang 100% 100% 99% 95% 79% 44% 11%
3 TAK Kion 100% 100% 99% 94% 72% 36% 8%
3 SUN Leonard 100% 100% 100% 96% 82% 51% 16%
5 THOMAS Tre 100% 100% 100% 98% 86% 53% 15%
6 MIKHAILOV Andrei 100% 100% 100% 98% 88% 61% 21%
7 LAN Jasper 100% 100% 99% 95% 80% 48% 14%
8 PETROSYAN Aleksander 100% 97% 83% 53% 22% 5% -
9 BECKER Grayson 100% 100% 98% 89% 64% 30% 6%
10 CARD Ewan 100% 99% 91% 69% 36% 11% 1%
11 TAK Sion 100% 99% 87% 51% 17% 2% -
12 LI Derek 100% 100% 97% 82% 52% 19% 3%
13 RESTELLI Arri 100% 100% 98% 87% 56% 21% 3%
14 GOLDSTEIN Malcolm 100% 96% 76% 43% 15% 3% -
15 ZHAO Evan 100% 82% 41% 11% 2% - -
16 MCCABE Donovan 100% 99% 89% 63% 30% 8% 1%
17 ROSTHOLDER Ethan 100% 98% 87% 59% 25% 6% 1%
18 CHUNG Liam 100% 100% 96% 79% 46% 14% 2%
19 LI Nathan 100% 100% 100% 95% 76% 38% 8%
20 SIMON Joseph 100% 96% 77% 43% 15% 3% -
21 TOPALOV Michael 100% 100% 95% 79% 48% 18% 3%
22 KWON Joon 100% 100% 96% 80% 50% 19% 3%
23 GUO Joe 100% 94% 70% 34% 10% 1% -
24 WOLFF Charles 100% 100% 100% 94% 69% 31% 6%
25 GUINN Robert 100% 53% 13% 1% - - -
25 CHEN Remsen 100% 83% 35% 6% - - -
27 GU Viljo Weihan 100% 84% 49% 18% 4% - -
27 CONWAY August 100% 100% 92% 60% 23% 5% -
29 XIE Jeffery 100% 64% 19% 3% - - -
30 GHIM Ethan 100% 100% 98% 87% 62% 28% 6%
31 CHU Caleb 100% 90% 61% 27% 7% 1% -
32 LEE Augustine 100% 90% 59% 24% 6% 1% -
33 TIAN Michael 100% 87% 55% 23% 6% 1% -
34 SHOWKIER Jude 100% 100% 100% 95% 68% 26% 3%
35 YEAZEL Reid 100% 94% 70% 35% 10% 2% -

Explanation

The heatmap in this table provides a visual representation of the victory probability distribution for each fencer in their respective pools:

This heatmap visualization offers an immediate understanding of each fencer's expected performance compared to their actual results.