Event Results

Y-12 Men's Saber

River City Regional Rumble RYC/RJCC/Y8Pool Heatmap

Saturday, October 25, 2025 at 8:10 AM Richmond Convention Center · Richmond, VA, USA
35 finishers
Birth year

At-Least Win Probabilities

Boxed values show the actual result while each column shows the chance of reaching at least that many pool wins.

# Name Number of victories
0 1 2 3 4 5 6
1 SCHWARTZMAN Jakub 100% 100% 100% 99% 91% 65% 25%
2 ZHANG Weihang 100% 100% 99% 95% 78% 44% 11%
3 TAK Kion 100% 100% 99% 93% 71% 35% 8%
3 SUN Leonard 100% 100% 100% 96% 82% 51% 16%
5 THOMAS Tre 100% 100% 100% 98% 86% 53% 15%
6 MIKHAILOV Andrei 100% 100% 100% 98% 88% 60% 21%
7 LAN Jasper 100% 100% 99% 95% 79% 47% 14%
8 PETROSYAN Aleksander 100% 97% 83% 53% 22% 5% -
9 BECKER Grayson 100% 100% 98% 89% 65% 31% 7%
10 CARD Ewan 100% 99% 91% 68% 36% 11% 1%
11 TAK Sion 100% 99% 87% 51% 17% 2% -
12 LI Derek 100% 100% 97% 83% 54% 20% 3%
13 RESTELLI Arri 100% 100% 98% 86% 56% 21% 3%
14 GOLDSTEIN Malcolm 100% 95% 75% 42% 15% 3% -
15 ZHAO Evan 100% 84% 45% 13% 2% - -
16 MCCABE Donovan 100% 98% 88% 62% 29% 8% 1%
17 ROSTHOLDER Ethan 100% 98% 87% 58% 24% 6% -
18 CHUNG Liam 100% 100% 96% 79% 45% 14% 2%
19 LI Nathan 100% 100% 99% 95% 75% 37% 8%
20 SIMON Joseph 100% 97% 79% 47% 18% 4% -
21 TOPALOV Michael 100% 100% 95% 79% 48% 18% 3%
22 KWON Joon 100% 100% 95% 79% 49% 18% 3%
23 GUO Joe 100% 94% 70% 34% 10% 1% -
24 WOLFF Charles 100% 100% 100% 94% 69% 31% 6%
25 GUINN Robert 100% 54% 13% 1% - - -
25 CHEN Remsen 100% 83% 36% 6% - - -
27 GU Viljo Weihan 100% 84% 49% 18% 4% - -
27 CONWAY August 100% 100% 91% 59% 23% 5% -
29 XIE Jeffery 100% 62% 18% 2% - - -
30 GHIM Ethan 100% 100% 98% 87% 61% 27% 5%
31 CHU Caleb 100% 90% 60% 26% 7% 1% -
32 LEE Augustine 100% 90% 60% 25% 6% 1% -
33 TIAN Michael 100% 87% 55% 23% 6% 1% -
34 SHOWKIER Jude 100% 100% 100% 95% 68% 26% 3%
35 YEAZEL Reid 100% 94% 70% 35% 11% 2% -