Thrust Fall RYC/RJCC

Y-12 Men's Épée

Sunday, October 26, 2025 at 1:00 PM

Rockland Community College (Eugene Levy Field House) - Suffern, NY, USA

Probability density of pool victories

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Explore the pool victory probability density for each fencer, with their actual victories highlighted in a box. Learn more.

# Name Number of victories
0 1 2 3 4 5 6
1 LUO Alexander - - - - 1% 14% 85%
2 MASKIN Mikhail - - - 4% 18% 42% 36%
3 NOOL Aaron - 1% 7% 21% 33% 28% 9%
3 CHIANG William - - - 2% 11% 38% 49%
5 ARMSTRONG Payson - - 4% 14% 32% 35% 15%
6 CHEN Hayden 1% 6% 21% 36% 28% 8%
7 ZHANG Jayden - 4% 18% 35% 31% 10% -
8 CHEN Aiden - - 1% 7% 25% 42% 25%
9 LI Jayden 1% 7% 25% 37% 24% 6%
10 GUJJA Rishabh - 1% 4% 17% 33% 33% 12%
11 ZHENG Jasper - - 3% 14% 32% 36% 14%
12 FANG Charlie - 2% 10% 29% 39% 20%
13 MADRIGAL SALVAT Guillermo - 1% 6% 23% 41% 28%
14 LAI Jaxon 1% 10% 26% 34% 22% 7% 1%
15 KOVAC Blake 6% 24% 37% 25% 8% 1%
16 YOU Emmanuel 3% 16% 30% 30% 16% 4% -
17 HOREMIOTIS Bennett - 1% 5% 17% 33% 32% 12%
18 ZINCHUK Yuri 1% 10% 28% 36% 21% 4%
19 LITVINOVSKY Benjamin 1% 7% 22% 36% 27% 8%
20 ZOU Grant 1% 5% 19% 34% 30% 11% 1%
21 KO Ethan - 1% 8% 25% 38% 24% 5%
22 IVANOV Andrew 2% 11% 27% 33% 21% 6% 1%
23 SCHLUBACH Jasper - 4% 16% 30% 31% 16% 3%
24 LAI Jayden - 4% 16% 34% 33% 12%
25 MILOWSKY Majai 5% 21% 34% 27% 11% 2% -
26 SPEZAKIS Achilles 5% 20% 34% 28% 12% 2% -
27 LIU FREDERICK - 2% 11% 25% 33% 22% 6%
28 PINCIROLI Tommaso 1% 6% 23% 36% 26% 7% -
29 CHARNA Luca 19% 38% 30% 11% 2% -
30 KIM Brendan 12% 32% 34% 17% 4% -
31 BEZRODNOV Artemi 1% 13% 33% 35% 16% 3%
32 TANG Jayce 3% 17% 34% 31% 13% 2%
33 MAURAIS JP - 1% 5% 21% 38% 29% 7%
34 LANE Sawyer 2% 10% 25% 32% 22% 8% 1%
35 LAW Benjamin 3% 18% 34% 30% 13% 2% -
36 JAISING Kian 7% 24% 34% 24% 9% 2% -
37 GREGORY Milo 7% 27% 37% 22% 6% 1% -
38 JEONG Joseph 3% 13% 28% 31% 19% 6% 1%
39 GORE Noah 7% 25% 35% 24% 8% 1% -
40 ZHANG Jacob 7% 26% 35% 23% 8% 1% -
41 CHEN Regis - 2% 10% 29% 38% 20% 1%
42 LEONARDIS Jordan 6% 22% 33% 26% 11% 2% -
43 NG Remy - 6% 22% 37% 27% 7%
44 NOVAK Luke 3% 15% 33% 32% 15% 2%
45 LUO Sebastian 2% 10% 25% 33% 22% 8% 1%
46 BUTLER Xavier - 1% 8% 23% 34% 25% 7%
47 YADAV Aarav 3% 16% 33% 31% 14% 3% -
48 DUDDA Kavin 2% 12% 28% 32% 19% 6% 1%
49 YUAN Leonardo 1% 9% 26% 36% 22% 6% 1%
50 HONG Evan - 1% 7% 23% 37% 27% 5%
51 HERIGSTAD Daniel 16% 37% 32% 13% 2% - -
52 ZHU David 5% 25% 38% 24% 7% 1%
53 GOOD Adam 49% 38% 11% 2% - -
54 SHABBIR Mohammad Amaan 8% 28% 36% 21% 6% 1%
55 YANG JULIAN 3% 15% 31% 32% 16% 4% -
56 SHKOP Alexander 22% 40% 28% 9% 1% - -
57 SALIBA Jackson 6% 22% 33% 26% 11% 2% -
58 YIN Xiangheng 2% 12% 27% 31% 20% 6% 1%
59 CARPENTER Taisei 7% 24% 34% 24% 9% 2% -
60 HWANG Chase 6% 25% 37% 24% 7% 1% -
61 HWANG Christopher 12% 34% 35% 16% 3% - -
62 SALA John 3% 15% 30% 31% 17% 4% -
63 ZHU Kingsley 15% 35% 32% 14% 3% - -
64 YU MAXIMILIAN 9% 29% 34% 20% 6% 1% -
65 AU Wesley 9% 32% 36% 18% 4% - -
66 MAK Nolan 8% 28% 36% 21% 6% 1%
67 SON Joshua 8% 27% 35% 22% 7% 1% -

Explanation

The heatmap in this table provides a visual representation of the victory probability distribution for each fencer in their respective pools:

This heatmap visualization offers an immediate understanding of each fencer's expected performance compared to their actual results.