Thrust Fall RYC/RJCC

Y-12 Men's Épée

Sunday, October 26, 2025 at 1:00 PM

Rockland Community College (Eugene Levy Field House) - Suffern, NY, USA

Probability density of pool victories

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Explore the probability of achieving at least a certain number of victories in the pool for each fencer, with their actual victories highlighted in a box. Learn more.

# Name Number of victories
0 1 2 3 4 5 6
1 LUO Alexander 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 99% 85%
2 MASKIN Mikhail 100% 100% 100% 100% 96% 78% 36%
3 NOOL Aaron 100% 100% 99% 91% 70% 37% 9%
3 CHIANG William 100% 100% 100% 100% 98% 87% 49%
5 ARMSTRONG Payson 100% 100% 100% 96% 82% 50% 15%
6 CHEN Hayden 100% 99% 93% 72% 36% 8%
7 ZHANG Jayden 100% 100% 95% 77% 42% 11% -
8 CHEN Aiden 100% 100% 100% 99% 91% 66% 25%
9 LI Jayden 100% 99% 92% 67% 30% 6%
10 GUJJA Rishabh 100% 100% 99% 95% 78% 45% 12%
11 ZHENG Jasper 100% 100% 100% 96% 83% 50% 14%
12 FANG Charlie 100% 100% 98% 88% 59% 20%
13 MADRIGAL SALVAT Guillermo 100% 100% 99% 93% 69% 28%
14 LAI Jaxon 100% 99% 89% 63% 30% 7% 1%
15 KOVAC Blake 100% 94% 70% 33% 8% 1%
16 YOU Emmanuel 100% 97% 81% 50% 21% 5% -
17 HOREMIOTIS Bennett 100% 100% 99% 94% 77% 44% 12%
18 ZINCHUK Yuri 100% 99% 89% 61% 25% 4%
19 LITVINOVSKY Benjamin 100% 99% 93% 71% 35% 8%
20 ZOU Grant 100% 99% 94% 76% 42% 12% 1%
21 KO Ethan 100% 100% 99% 91% 67% 29% 5%
22 IVANOV Andrew 100% 98% 87% 61% 28% 7% 1%
23 SCHLUBACH Jasper 100% 100% 95% 80% 50% 19% 3%
24 LAI Jayden 100% 100% 96% 79% 46% 12%
25 MILOWSKY Majai 100% 95% 74% 40% 14% 2% -
26 SPEZAKIS Achilles 100% 95% 76% 42% 14% 2% -
27 LIU FREDERICK 100% 100% 98% 87% 62% 28% 6%
28 PINCIROLI Tommaso 100% 99% 93% 70% 34% 7% -
29 CHARNA Luca 100% 81% 43% 13% 2% -
30 KIM Brendan 100% 88% 56% 22% 4% -
31 BEZRODNOV Artemi 100% 99% 86% 54% 19% 3%
32 TANG Jayce 100% 97% 80% 47% 15% 2%
33 MAURAIS JP 100% 100% 99% 94% 74% 36% 7%
34 LANE Sawyer 100% 98% 88% 63% 31% 9% 1%
35 LAW Benjamin 100% 97% 79% 45% 15% 2% -
36 JAISING Kian 100% 93% 69% 35% 11% 2% -
37 GREGORY Milo 100% 93% 67% 29% 7% 1% -
38 JEONG Joseph 100% 97% 84% 56% 25% 7% 1%
39 GORE Noah 100% 93% 68% 33% 9% 1% -
40 ZHANG Jacob 100% 93% 67% 32% 9% 1% -
41 CHEN Regis 100% 100% 98% 88% 59% 21% 1%
42 LEONARDIS Jordan 100% 94% 72% 39% 13% 2% -
43 NG Remy 100% 100% 94% 72% 34% 7%
44 NOVAK Luke 100% 97% 82% 49% 17% 2%
45 LUO Sebastian 100% 98% 89% 63% 31% 9% 1%
46 BUTLER Xavier 100% 100% 98% 90% 67% 33% 7%
47 YADAV Aarav 100% 97% 81% 48% 17% 3% -
48 DUDDA Kavin 100% 98% 86% 58% 26% 6% 1%
49 YUAN Leonardo 100% 99% 90% 64% 29% 7% 1%
50 HONG Evan 100% 100% 99% 92% 69% 32% 5%
51 HERIGSTAD Daniel 100% 84% 47% 15% 3% - -
52 ZHU David 100% 95% 70% 33% 8% 1%
53 GOOD Adam 100% 51% 13% 2% - -
54 SHABBIR Mohammad Amaan 100% 92% 64% 28% 7% 1%
55 YANG JULIAN 100% 97% 83% 52% 21% 4% -
56 SHKOP Alexander 100% 78% 38% 10% 1% - -
57 SALIBA Jackson 100% 94% 72% 39% 14% 3% -
58 YIN Xiangheng 100% 98% 85% 58% 27% 7% 1%
59 CARPENTER Taisei 100% 93% 69% 35% 11% 2% -
60 HWANG Chase 100% 94% 69% 32% 8% 1% -
61 HWANG Christopher 100% 88% 54% 19% 4% - -
62 SALA John 100% 97% 82% 52% 21% 5% -
63 ZHU Kingsley 100% 85% 50% 18% 3% - -
64 YU MAXIMILIAN 100% 91% 62% 28% 7% 1% -
65 AU Wesley 100% 91% 59% 22% 4% - -
66 MAK Nolan 100% 92% 64% 28% 7% 1%
67 SON Joshua 100% 92% 66% 31% 8% 1% -

Explanation

The heatmap in this table provides a visual representation of the victory probability distribution for each fencer in their respective pools:

This heatmap visualization offers an immediate understanding of each fencer's expected performance compared to their actual results.