Thrust Fall RYC/RJCC

Y-10 Women's Épée

Sunday, October 26, 2025 at 2:00 PM

Rockland Community College (Eugene Levy Field House) - Suffern, NY, USA

Probability density of pool victories

Reset

Explore the probability of achieving at least a certain number of victories in the pool for each fencer, with their actual victories highlighted in a box. Learn more.

# Name Number of victories
0 1 2 3 4 5 6
1 LIOU Skylar 100% 99% 89% 60% 24% 4%
2 MAO Faith 100% 99% 91% 67% 31% 6%
3 ZHAO Rachel 100% 100% 98% 90% 68% 34% 8%
3 CHOI Noah 100% 98% 82% 47% 15% 2%
5 ERATA Selena 100% 100% 100% 97% 84% 51% 14%
6 GORDON Winter 100% 95% 77% 45% 17% 4% -
7 LEE Zerah 100% 100% 98% 88% 60% 23% 4%
8 LIU sienna 100% 100% 98% 89% 65% 31% 7%
9 VILLER Gabriella 100% 100% 98% 88% 62% 28% 6%
10 DOROSHKEVICH Maria 100% 98% 89% 64% 32% 9% 1%
11 AINSWORTH Esme 100% 100% 97% 83% 50% 14%
12 SALIBA Madison 100% 99% 90% 64% 27% 5%
13 SHANG Adeline 100% 93% 70% 36% 11% 2% -
14 LIAN Cailey 100% 99% 93% 72% 38% 10% 1%
15 YOON Michelle 100% 93% 66% 30% 7% 1%
16 WONG Dorothy 100% 100% 98% 89% 62% 22%
17 ALVAREZ Megan 100% 100% 94% 74% 39% 11% 1%
18 MISHIMA Quinn 100% 93% 67% 31% 8% 1%
19 LIN Elina 100% 99% 93% 72% 40% 13% 2%
20 BOUTSIKARIS Priya 100% 100% 98% 90% 67% 32% 7%
21 STAFFORD Thylane 100% 100% 93% 70% 33% 7%
22 KANG HANA 100% 99% 89% 61% 25% 4%
23 BIRZ Vivi 100% 88% 53% 19% 3% - -
24 MASKIN Anna 100% 100% 100% 99% 90% 63% 22%
25 LUK-SOLARZ Madison 100% 97% 82% 52% 21% 5% -
26 LUO MAOMAO 100% 98% 87% 61% 29% 8% 1%
27 ZHANG Grace 100% 84% 48% 16% 3% -
28 ANDERLE Lydia 100% 100% 95% 72% 37% 10% 1%
29 ABDELFATAH Laila 100% 86% 50% 16% 3% - -
30 YOUN Caila 100% 89% 55% 20% 4% - -
31 PALAMARCHUK Mia 100% 97% 83% 53% 22% 5% 1%
32 CHO Angelina 100% 83% 46% 16% 3% - -
33 TATINI Aria 100% 43% 9% 1% - -

Explanation

The heatmap in this table provides a visual representation of the victory probability distribution for each fencer in their respective pools:

This heatmap visualization offers an immediate understanding of each fencer's expected performance compared to their actual results.