AFM Super Regional SYC/RJCC/ROC Div1A/Vet

Y-12 Men's Saber

Friday, October 31, 2025 at 8:00 AM

Santa Clara Convention Center - Santa Clara, CA, USA

Probability density of pool victories

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Explore the pool victory probability density for each fencer, with their actual victories highlighted in a box. Learn more.

# Name Number of victories
0 1 2 3 4 5 6
1 GU Andrew - - - 1% 10% 38% 51%
2 YUEN Caleb - 1% 7% 26% 42% 25%
3 DUFF Michael - - 3% 20% 46% 30%
3 ERPELDING Ryan - 4% 26% 43% 23% 4%
5 PI Edwin - - 5% 19% 36% 31% 9%
6 LEE Kyle - - 4% 15% 32% 35% 14%
7 SU Eric - - 4% 22% 46% 27%
8 WANG Henrik - - 3% 14% 33% 36% 14%
9 LEE Jayden Junhyuk 1% 5% 18% 31% 29% 14% 3%
10 WANG James - - 2% 11% 30% 38% 19%
11 WANG Darren - 2% 13% 30% 34% 17% 3%
12 RAZAI Evan - 1% 8% 21% 33% 27% 9%
13 CHEN Aaron 1% 5% 17% 31% 30% 14% 3%
14 LOPEZ Mateo 1% 6% 19% 32% 28% 12% 2%
15 LAI Mars - 1% 7% 21% 34% 28% 9%
16 PARK Jayden - - 3% 14% 32% 36% 15%
17 CHOI LIAM - 3% 22% 44% 26% 5% < 1%
18 MOROAICA Seiku - - 1% 6% 25% 43% 24%
19 ELSAYED Omar - 5% 22% 37% 27% 8% 1%
20 LIU Nico 1% 9% 29% 37% 20% 4%
21 EKAMBARAM Rithik - - 7% 29% 45% 20%
22 LI Sky 3% 21% 42% 27% 6% -
23 YANG Aegon - 1% 7% 22% 36% 27% 7%
24 ZHANG Hanzhi 1% 9% 24% 33% 24% 8% 1%
25 CHOI Brayden Yui Chit - 8% 27% 36% 22% 6% 1%
26 LVOVSKIY Roman - - 1% 10% 30% 40% 18%
27 LEI Isaac 8% 25% 33% 23% 9% 2% -
28 DESAI Arthav - 3% 17% 36% 33% 10%
29 FAN Yuchen 1% 9% 34% 38% 15% 2% -
30 FU BRANDEN - - 1% 8% 33% 46% 13%
31 LIU Franklin 11% 31% 34% 18% 5% 1% -
32 DING Orlando 1% 8% 24% 34% 24% 8% 1%
33 LUO Gavin - 2% 11% 27% 33% 21% 5%
34 WOLLOW Bennett - 6% 22% 35% 26% 9% 1%
35 CHUNG Evan - - 3% 19% 45% 33%
36 TABANCAY Cole - - 3% 16% 35% 34% 12%
37 WU Allen 11% 31% 34% 18% 5% 1% -
38 DENG Richard 1% 11% 32% 36% 17% 3%
39 CAO Chuck 1% 7% 27% 40% 21% 4% -
40 MALLARD Arthur 18% 46% 28% 7% 1% - -
41 YUNG Nathan 2% 12% 27% 31% 20% 6% 1%
42 CHEN Donovan 1% 10% 38% 38% 13% 1%
43 WU August 1% 9% 32% 40% 16% 2%
44 ZHANG Peter - 2% 14% 34% 35% 13% 2%
45 HSIEH Maxwell - 4% 18% 34% 29% 12% 2%
46 ZHEN Felix 3% 27% 39% 23% 6% 1% -
47 JI Derek 2% 12% 28% 32% 20% 6% 1%
48 RAMAKRISHNA Arjun 6% 30% 39% 20% 5% -
49 ATA Kevin 1% 7% 21% 32% 26% 11% 2%
50 LIU Jayden 19% 43% 29% 8% 1% -
51 RAMAKRISHNA Aditya 17% 52% 26% 5% - -
53 FERRING Theo 2% 11% 26% 31% 21% 7% 1%
54 WONG Alexander 3% 17% 32% 29% 14% 4% -
54 FAN Yuen 1% 10% 31% 36% 18% 4% -
54 KIM Connor 34% 44% 19% 3% - - -
57 ZHENG Matt 2% 12% 27% 31% 20% 7% 1%
58 XIN Ryan 22% 42% 26% 8% 1% - -
59 HADFIELD Gavin 32% 44% 20% 4% - - -
60 GUO ATTICUS 2% 13% 29% 32% 18% 5% -
61 GOURJI Roman 61% 34% 4% - - -
62 NG Jaden 55% 36% 8% 1% - -
63 WU Aiden 19% 44% 29% 8% 1% - -
64 MARSHALL Dylan 70% 26% 4% - - - -
65 KIM Dylan 34% 45% 18% 3% - -
66 WHITE Marcus 22% 39% 27% 10% 2% - -
67 SEVERT David 27% 44% 23% 5% 1% - -
67 WEI Jonathan < 1% 6% 27% 44% 21% 2% -

Explanation

The heatmap in this table provides a visual representation of the victory probability distribution for each fencer in their respective pools:

This heatmap visualization offers an immediate understanding of each fencer's expected performance compared to their actual results.