AFM Super Regional SYC/RJCC/ROC Div1A/Vet

Y-12 Men's Saber

Friday, October 31, 2025 at 8:00 AM

Santa Clara Convention Center - Santa Clara, CA, USA

Probability density of pool victories

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Explore the probability of achieving at least a certain number of victories in the pool for each fencer, with their actual victories highlighted in a box. Learn more.

# Name Number of victories
0 1 2 3 4 5 6
1 GU Andrew 100% 100% 100% 100% 99% 89% 51%
2 YUEN Caleb 100% 100% 99% 92% 67% 25%
3 DUFF Michael 100% 100% 100% 97% 77% 30%
3 ERPELDING Ryan 100% 100% 96% 70% 27% 4%
5 PI Edwin 100% 100% 100% 95% 76% 40% 9%
6 LEE Kyle 100% 100% 100% 96% 81% 49% 14%
7 SU Eric 100% 100% 100% 95% 73% 27%
8 WANG Henrik 100% 100% 100% 97% 83% 49% 14%
9 LEE Jayden Junhyuk 100% 99% 94% 76% 45% 17% 3%
10 WANG James 100% 100% 100% 98% 87% 57% 19%
11 WANG Darren 100% 100% 98% 85% 54% 20% 3%
12 RAZAI Evan 100% 100% 98% 91% 70% 37% 9%
13 CHEN Aaron 100% 99% 95% 78% 47% 17% 3%
14 LOPEZ Mateo 100% 99% 93% 74% 42% 14% 2%
15 LAI Mars 100% 100% 99% 92% 71% 37% 9%
16 PARK Jayden 100% 100% 100% 96% 83% 51% 15%
17 CHOI LIAM 100% 100% 97% 75% 31% 6% < 1%
18 MOROAICA Seiku 100% 100% 100% 99% 93% 68% 24%
19 ELSAYED Omar 100% 100% 95% 73% 36% 9% 1%
20 LIU Nico 100% 99% 91% 61% 24% 4%
21 EKAMBARAM Rithik 100% 100% 100% 93% 64% 20%
22 LI Sky 100% 97% 76% 34% 7% -
23 YANG Aegon 100% 100% 99% 93% 70% 34% 7%
24 ZHANG Hanzhi 100% 99% 90% 66% 33% 9% 1%
25 CHOI Brayden Yui Chit 100% 100% 92% 64% 28% 7% 1%
26 LVOVSKIY Roman 100% 100% 100% 98% 89% 59% 18%
27 LEI Isaac 100% 92% 67% 34% 11% 2% -
28 DESAI Arthav 100% 100% 97% 80% 43% 10%
29 FAN Yuchen 100% 99% 90% 56% 18% 2% -
30 FU BRANDEN 100% 100% 100% 99% 91% 59% 13%
31 LIU Franklin 100% 89% 58% 24% 6% 1% -
32 DING Orlando 100% 99% 91% 66% 32% 9% 1%
33 LUO Gavin 100% 100% 97% 86% 60% 26% 5%
34 WOLLOW Bennett 100% 100% 94% 72% 37% 10% 1%
35 CHUNG Evan 100% 100% 100% 97% 78% 33%
36 TABANCAY Cole 100% 100% 100% 96% 80% 46% 12%
37 WU Allen 100% 89% 57% 24% 6% 1% -
38 DENG Richard 100% 99% 88% 56% 20% 3%
39 CAO Chuck 100% 99% 92% 65% 26% 4% -
40 MALLARD Arthur 100% 82% 36% 7% 1% - -
41 YUNG Nathan 100% 98% 86% 58% 27% 7% 1%
42 CHEN Donovan 100% 99% 90% 52% 14% 1%
43 WU August 100% 99% 90% 58% 18% 2%
44 ZHANG Peter 100% 100% 98% 84% 50% 15% 2%
45 HSIEH Maxwell 100% 100% 95% 77% 43% 14% 2%
46 ZHEN Felix 100% 97% 70% 31% 7% 1% -
47 JI Derek 100% 98% 86% 59% 27% 7% 1%
48 RAMAKRISHNA Arjun 100% 94% 64% 25% 5% -
49 ATA Kevin 100% 99% 92% 71% 39% 13% 2%
50 LIU Jayden 100% 81% 38% 9% 1% -
51 RAMAKRISHNA Aditya 100% 83% 31% 5% - -
53 FERRING Theo 100% 98% 87% 61% 29% 8% 1%
54 WONG Alexander 100% 97% 80% 48% 18% 4% -
54 FAN Yuen 100% 99% 89% 58% 22% 4% -
54 KIM Connor 100% 66% 22% 3% - - -
57 ZHENG Matt 100% 98% 86% 59% 28% 8% 1%
58 XIN Ryan 100% 78% 35% 9% 1% - -
59 HADFIELD Gavin 100% 68% 24% 4% - - -
60 GUO ATTICUS 100% 98% 84% 55% 23% 5% -
61 GOURJI Roman 100% 39% 4% - - -
62 NG Jaden 100% 45% 9% 1% - -
63 WU Aiden 100% 81% 38% 9% 1% - -
64 MARSHALL Dylan 100% 30% 4% - - - -
65 KIM Dylan 100% 66% 21% 3% - -
66 WHITE Marcus 100% 78% 39% 12% 2% - -
67 SEVERT David 100% 73% 28% 6% 1% - -
67 WEI Jonathan 100% 100% 94% 67% 23% 2% -

Explanation

The heatmap in this table provides a visual representation of the victory probability distribution for each fencer in their respective pools:

This heatmap visualization offers an immediate understanding of each fencer's expected performance compared to their actual results.