AFM Super Regional SYC/RJCC/ROC Div1A/Vet

Veteran Men's Épée

Friday, October 31, 2025 at 12:30 PM

Santa Clara Convention Center - Santa Clara, CA, USA

Probability density of pool victories

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Explore the pool victory probability density for each fencer, with their actual victories highlighted in a box. Learn more.

# Name Number of victories
0 1 2 3 4 5 6
1 AMELI Sean - - - 1% 13% 87%
2 STEPHAN Jens - - - - 3% 22% 75%
3 HELGE James R. - - 5% 25% 47% 22%
3 BAILEY Creston P. - - 5% 26% 52% 18%
6 ALLEN Graham - - - 6% 39% 55%
7 WILLIAMS Brett - 2% 12% 31% 37% 17%
8 KRYLTSOV Greg - - 5% 29% 46% 20%
9 LINGVAY Laurance (Larry) S. - - 3% 20% 54% 23%
10 CHEN Steve - - 2% 18% 46% 34%
11 MAYCHROWITZ Matt - - 3% 17% 45% 36%
12 ZHEREBCHEVSKIY Evgenii 2% 15% 37% 36% 9% 1%
13 CHAO Warren - 3% 14% 32% 34% 16% 1%
14 LIPTON Michael D. - 2% 17% 42% 36% 2%
15 XUE Chenming 1% 13% 38% 37% 11% -
16 HUANG Jen-Chieh 9% 30% 36% 20% 5% 1% -
17 GELNAW William (Gypsy) H. 1% 6% 23% 37% 27% 7%
18 MARKOFF Gabriel 1% 10% 27% 35% 21% 6% -
19 BAXTER David - 1% 10% 40% 39% 10%
20 REED David 3% 17% 39% 34% 7% -
21 DUONG John 27% 44% 24% 5% - -
22 BECK Brian C. 1% 6% 21% 35% 28% 9% -
23 KUO Michael 1% 11% 37% 39% 12% -
24 SCHINDLER Sergey M. - - < 1% 5% 35% 60%
25 DAN Chuntao 14% 41% 32% 11% 2% -
26 KOERBER Christopher T. 2% 15% 33% 33% 14% 2%
27 SHING Michael 14% 41% 36% 9% 1% -
28 QUARANTA James 3% 22% 40% 28% 7% 1%
29 MURRAY Stephen D. 2% 12% 31% 35% 18% 3%
30 MOLLINIER TOUBLET Bertrand 18% 41% 31% 9% 1% -
31 LOGUE Paul 4% 27% 41% 23% 5% -
32 KOU Andrew 7% 30% 41% 19% 3% -
33 YI David 3% 19% 39% 30% 8% 1%
34 CRETEN joachim 16% 41% 33% 9% 1% -
35 LEE Wei-Sheng 21% 39% 28% 10% 2% - -
36 ROGERS John D. 48% 39% 11% 1% - -
37 MORALES William 26% 47% 24% 3% - -
38 OLSON Mark R. 12% 37% 37% 13% 1% -
39 CHI Kai-Hung 16% 40% 33% 10% 1% -
40 CHO Hans 2% 12% 30% 34% 18% 4% -
41 LA Charles 14% 43% 33% 10% 1% -
42 LIU Rui 8% 31% 37% 19% 4% -
43 PEARSON Steve A. 22% 47% 27% 3% - -
44 PERALTA SR. Christian 52% 39% 8% 1% - -

Explanation

The heatmap in this table provides a visual representation of the victory probability distribution for each fencer in their respective pools:

This heatmap visualization offers an immediate understanding of each fencer's expected performance compared to their actual results.