AFM Super Regional SYC/RJCC/ROC Div1A/Vet

Veteran Men's Épée

Friday, October 31, 2025 at 12:30 PM

Santa Clara Convention Center - Santa Clara, CA, USA

Probability density of pool victories

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Explore the probability of achieving at least a certain number of victories in the pool for each fencer, with their actual victories highlighted in a box. Learn more.

# Name Number of victories
0 1 2 3 4 5 6
1 AMELI Sean 100% 100% 100% 100% 99% 87%
2 STEPHAN Jens 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 97% 75%
3 HELGE James R. 100% 100% 99% 94% 69% 22%
3 BAILEY Creston P. 100% 100% 100% 95% 69% 18%
6 ALLEN Graham 100% 100% 100% 100% 94% 55%
7 WILLIAMS Brett 100% 100% 98% 85% 55% 17%
8 KRYLTSOV Greg 100% 100% 100% 95% 66% 20%
9 LINGVAY Laurance (Larry) S. 100% 100% 100% 97% 77% 23%
10 CHEN Steve 100% 100% 100% 98% 81% 34%
11 MAYCHROWITZ Matt 100% 100% 100% 97% 81% 36%
12 ZHEREBCHEVSKIY Evgenii 100% 98% 83% 46% 10% 1%
13 CHAO Warren 100% 100% 97% 83% 51% 17% 1%
14 LIPTON Michael D. 100% 100% 97% 80% 38% 2%
15 XUE Chenming 100% 99% 86% 48% 11% -
16 HUANG Jen-Chieh 100% 91% 61% 25% 6% 1% -
17 GELNAW William (Gypsy) H. 100% 99% 94% 71% 33% 7%
18 MARKOFF Gabriel 100% 99% 89% 62% 27% 6% -
19 BAXTER David 100% 100% 99% 89% 49% 10%
20 REED David 100% 97% 80% 41% 7% -
21 DUONG John 100% 73% 29% 5% - -
22 BECK Brian C. 100% 99% 94% 73% 37% 10% -
23 KUO Michael 100% 99% 88% 52% 13% -
24 SCHINDLER Sergey M. 100% 100% 100% 100% 95% 60%
25 DAN Chuntao 100% 86% 45% 13% 2% -
26 KOERBER Christopher T. 100% 98% 83% 49% 17% 2%
27 SHING Michael 100% 86% 45% 10% 1% -
28 QUARANTA James 100% 97% 75% 35% 7% 1%
29 MURRAY Stephen D. 100% 98% 87% 56% 21% 3%
30 MOLLINIER TOUBLET Bertrand 100% 82% 41% 9% 1% -
31 LOGUE Paul 100% 96% 69% 28% 5% -
32 KOU Andrew 100% 93% 63% 22% 3% -
33 YI David 100% 97% 78% 39% 9% 1%
34 CRETEN joachim 100% 84% 43% 10% 1% -
35 LEE Wei-Sheng 100% 79% 40% 12% 2% - -
36 ROGERS John D. 100% 52% 13% 1% - -
37 MORALES William 100% 74% 27% 3% - -
38 OLSON Mark R. 100% 88% 51% 14% 1% -
39 CHI Kai-Hung 100% 84% 44% 11% 1% -
40 CHO Hans 100% 98% 87% 57% 22% 4% -
41 LA Charles 100% 86% 43% 10% 1% -
42 LIU Rui 100% 92% 60% 24% 5% -
43 PEARSON Steve A. 100% 78% 30% 4% - -
44 PERALTA SR. Christian 100% 48% 9% 1% - -

Explanation

The heatmap in this table provides a visual representation of the victory probability distribution for each fencer in their respective pools:

This heatmap visualization offers an immediate understanding of each fencer's expected performance compared to their actual results.