AFM Super Regional SYC/RJCC/ROC Div1A/Vet

Y-14 Men's Épée

Saturday, November 1, 2025 at 8:00 AM

Santa Clara Convention Center - Santa Clara, CA, USA

Probability density of pool victories

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Explore the pool victory probability density for each fencer, with their actual victories highlighted in a box. Learn more.

# Name Number of victories
0 1 2 3 4 5 6
1 DU Evan - - 2% 13% 41% 44%
2 MOU Jaydon - 3% 13% 27% 32% 20% 5%
3 YILMAZ Tarik - - 1% 5% 21% 42% 32%
3 VOO Lucas - - 1% 5% 21% 41% 32%
5 SRIKANTH Hariharan - 1% 8% 25% 37% 23% 5%
6 PARKE Nathaniel - - 2% 10% 29% 40% 21%
7 TANG Michael - - 2% 10% 28% 38% 22%
8 CHANG Matthew - - 4% 17% 35% 32% 10%
9 WANG Devin - - - 3% 17% 45% 36%
10 VAN JAARSVELD Leo - - 1% 8% 27% 41% 23%
11 HWANG Matthew - 1% 6% 20% 34% 29% 9%
12 ADDLEMAN Joshua - - - 1% 7% 33% 60%
13 PARK Sangwook - - - - 1% 18% 81%
14 LIU Xuyao 1% 6% 19% 31% 28% 13% 2%
15 WHITE Ryden - - 2% 14% 36% 38% 10%
16 FU Nolan - 1% 8% 27% 41% 23%
17 PETKOV Keean - - 1% 9% 30% 41% 20%
18 MYRAH Devin - - 5% 21% 38% 29% 7%
19 TANG Zheng - 1% 5% 20% 40% 31% 3%
20 GUO Luke - - 2% 11% 31% 39% 18%
21 WU MiEr - 2% 11% 28% 36% 21% 3%
22 RONG Gordon - - 1% 11% 40% 48%
23 LI Grayson - - - 4% 20% 42% 33%
24 SU Samuel - - 1% 6% 25% 46% 23%
25 GACIOCH Noah - - 2% 14% 42% 42%
26 LEUNG Dylan - 1% 7% 29% 43% 20%
27 YAO Tristan - - 3% 16% 35% 34% 12%
28 LIU Max - 4% 16% 31% 31% 15% 2%
29 MOSLEY Wally - 1% 12% 35% 40% 12%
30 OR Anson 24% 42% 26% 7% 1% -
31 TANG Daniel - 1% 11% 32% 36% 17% 3%
32 RAHMAN Ali 1% 6% 19% 31% 28% 13% 2%
33 LEE Anton - - - 1% 11% 40% 48%
34 OLIVAS Joseph 1% 10% 35% 37% 15% 2%
35 XUE Michael - - 2% 13% 34% 37% 14%
36 BACON Corban - 3% 13% 27% 32% 20% 5%
37 BALUCAN Caelus - 1% 10% 30% 38% 18% 2%
38 KROTZ Nicolas - - 2% 13% 34% 37% 14%
38 DENG Destin - - 2% 14% 35% 36% 13%
40 MA Nolan - 2% 14% 37% 37% 10%
41 DENG Henry - - 6% 28% 44% 22%
42 WONG Vansen 1% 8% 26% 36% 23% 6%
43 SCHWARTZMAN Ethan 1% 6% 25% 40% 24% 4%
44 KIM Julian - - 2% 13% 34% 37% 14%
45 LIN Daniel - 6% 26% 41% 23% 4%
46 GEVA Reuben - - 4% 18% 37% 32% 9%
47 ROBERTS Arthur 1% 5% 18% 32% 29% 13% 2%
48 CHIN NAKAZONO Justin 5% 20% 33% 27% 12% 3% -
49 LEE Lucas - 2% 10% 28% 35% 21% 4%
50 LI Guanhua 4% 20% 34% 28% 12% 2% -
51 NGUYEN Ethan V. 2% 12% 30% 34% 18% 3% -
52 XIE HanZhang (Elon) - 4% 18% 35% 32% 11%
53 ENG Kyler 1% 10% 30% 36% 19% 4%
54 RONG Marcus - 2% 15% 38% 36% 9%
55 PURCELL Jonathan 8% 26% 34% 22% 8% 1% -
56 REICHMANN Theo - 1% 7% 25% 38% 25% 6%
57 DING Max - 5% 20% 35% 28% 11% 1%
58 WANG Juehan - 2% 14% 35% 35% 12% 1%
59 NG Alexander 3% 21% 38% 28% 9% 1% -
60 SRINIVASAN Sanat Ram 1% 8% 24% 35% 24% 7% 1%
61 KHUSHRAJ Rohan - 3% 15% 32% 33% 15% 3%
62 PARSA Rayan 1% 7% 25% 38% 24% 5%
63 SAMOYLOV Daniel 6% 23% 35% 26% 9% 1% -
64 LIU Daniel 4% 17% 31% 29% 15% 4% -
65 PARRA Lucas - 3% 13% 28% 33% 19% 4%
66 ZHANG Chaoyi（Joey） - 4% 18% 35% 32% 11%
67 WONG Aaron - 1% 8% 24% 37% 24% 5%
68 SUN Jiarui (Jerry) 1% 9% 24% 33% 23% 8% 1%
69 BERTEL Florian 1% 7% 24% 37% 25% 6%
70 LU Ian 1% 10% 33% 38% 16% 2%
71 LUO Alvin Y. 2% 24% 45% 24% 5% -
72 YOON Ian 4% 22% 39% 26% 8% 1% -
73 WANG Suian (Andy) 4% 18% 35% 29% 12% 2% -
74 WU Nathan - 1% 12% 37% 37% 12%
76 YU Brandon - 4% 20% 38% 28% 9% 1%
77 YUN Nicholas 6% 26% 39% 22% 6% 1% -
78 CHAN Nathan 1% 9% 31% 38% 18% 3% -
79 YUN Mason 5% 40% 40% 13% 2% -
80 PARK Ethan 2% 10% 25% 33% 22% 7% 1%
81 LEE Leo - 1% 7% 25% 37% 24% 5%
81 XU David 2% 10% 27% 34% 21% 6% -
83 TAMHANE Sidhant 18% 39% 30% 11% 2% - -
84 ZHANG Luqi - 1% 5% 18% 33% 32% 12%
84 WANG Mason 1% 11% 30% 34% 19% 5% -
86 SHOURIE Neel 3% 17% 35% 30% 12% 2% -
87 LOUIE Kyle 32% 43% 20% 4% - - -
88 YOO Minwoo 1% 9% 31% 37% 18% 3% -
89 SZETO Zachary 23% 45% 25% 6% 1% -
90 ZENG Oliver 2% 15% 33% 32% 15% 3%
91 DIESSNER Henry 1% 7% 21% 32% 26% 10% 2%
92 HUA Nolan 3% 15% 31% 31% 16% 4% -
93 TOYOFUKU Lucas 1% 8% 23% 33% 25% 9% 1%
94 CHEN Linus 9% 33% 38% 17% 3% -
94 LIU Yihong - 2% 12% 32% 35% 17% 3%
96 SHIH Derek 7% 27% 37% 22% 6% 1% -
97 KIM Daniel - 1% 5% 19% 37% 31% 8%
99 WONG Kyle 1% 10% 27% 36% 21% 5% -
100 ZENG Felix 2% 19% 36% 29% 11% 2% -
101 KLINKNER Charlie 11% 36% 36% 14% 3% - -
102 GUO Jonathan 6% 25% 36% 24% 7% 1% -
103 SONG Jonathan 5% 25% 40% 23% 6% 1% -
104 BALUCAN Gabriel 4% 19% 35% 29% 11% 2% -
105 KOU Mason 3% 15% 29% 30% 17% 5% 1%
106 YOO Lucas 1% 8% 24% 33% 24% 8% 1%
107 CHEN Anderson 3% 16% 31% 30% 15% 4% -
108 YU Haoyun 4% 19% 33% 29% 13% 3% -
109 LEE Joshua 4% 24% 39% 26% 7% 1% -
111 JU Shang 10% 33% 37% 16% 3% -
112 LAU Caleb 4% 32% 42% 19% 4% - -
113 YIM Antonio 5% 22% 35% 27% 10% 2% -
114 ABRAHAM Aaron 15% 36% 33% 14% 3% -
115 FU Benjamin 2% 16% 38% 33% 10% 1%
116 TIAN Dylan 16% 39% 32% 12% 2% -
117 KONG William 15% 37% 32% 13% 3% -
118 DODGE Myles 24% 41% 26% 8% 1% - -
119 LI Connor 3% 20% 38% 28% 9% 1% -
120 FUNG SCOTT 3% 26% 43% 23% 5% 1% -
121 BROWN Sean 1% 7% 25% 36% 23% 7% 1%
122 SHOURIE Seth 8% 26% 33% 23% 8% 2% -
123 LIN Bryan 1% 11% 32% 36% 17% 3% -
124 NARAYANUN Advay 28% 45% 22% 4% - -
125 TAVERNA Matteo 13% 33% 33% 16% 4% - -
126 HUNG Ludwig 62% 31% 6% 1% - - -
127 ZHAO Kyle Zekai 10% 32% 35% 18% 4% - -
128 LYSENKO Timofei 11% 32% 34% 18% 5% 1% -
129 LO Stefan 11% 40% 35% 12% 2% - -
130 DOGRUOZ Kuzey 1% 7% 24% 35% 25% 8% 1%
131 LIU Aiden 9% 27% 34% 21% 7% 1% -
132 FONG Ethan 11% 35% 35% 15% 3% - -
132 HERNANDEZ-ALDANA Miguel 29% 47% 20% 3% - -
134 WANG Hansen 21% 42% 28% 8% 1% - -
135 HAN Alex 10% 29% 34% 20% 6% 1% -
136 YE Andrew 34% 47% 17% 2% - -
137 WU James 19% 39% 29% 11% 2% - -
138 LI Nathan 28% 46% 22% 4% - - -
138 KOU Logan 53% 37% 9% 1% - - -
138 WANG Astin 75% 23% 2% - - -
141 SOMANI Ilyaa 52% 37% 10% 1% - - -
142 DESHPANDE Arihant 36% 43% 18% 3% - - -
143 KIM Hayden 28% 43% 23% 5% - -
144 GONG Rongtao 73% 24% 3% - - - -

Explanation

The heatmap in this table provides a visual representation of the victory probability distribution for each fencer in their respective pools:

This heatmap visualization offers an immediate understanding of each fencer's expected performance compared to their actual results.