AFM Super Regional SYC/RJCC/ROC Div1A/Vet

Y-14 Men's Épée

Saturday, November 1, 2025 at 8:00 AM

Santa Clara Convention Center - Santa Clara, CA, USA

Probability density of pool victories

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Explore the probability of achieving at least a certain number of victories in the pool for each fencer, with their actual victories highlighted in a box. Learn more.

# Name Number of victories
0 1 2 3 4 5 6
1 DU Evan 100% 100% 100% 98% 85% 44%
2 MOU Jaydon 100% 100% 97% 84% 57% 25% 5%
3 YILMAZ Tarik 100% 100% 100% 99% 94% 73% 32%
3 VOO Lucas 100% 100% 100% 99% 94% 73% 32%
5 SRIKANTH Hariharan 100% 100% 99% 91% 65% 29% 5%
6 PARKE Nathaniel 100% 100% 100% 98% 89% 60% 21%
7 TANG Michael 100% 100% 100% 98% 87% 60% 22%
8 CHANG Matthew 100% 100% 99% 95% 78% 43% 10%
9 WANG Devin 100% 100% 100% 100% 97% 80% 36%
10 VAN JAARSVELD Leo 100% 100% 100% 99% 91% 64% 23%
11 HWANG Matthew 100% 100% 99% 92% 72% 38% 9%
12 ADDLEMAN Joshua 100% 100% 100% 100% 99% 92% 60%
13 PARK Sangwook 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 99% 81%
14 LIU Xuyao 100% 99% 93% 74% 43% 15% 2%
15 WHITE Ryden 100% 100% 100% 97% 84% 48% 10%
16 FU Nolan 100% 100% 99% 91% 64% 23%
17 PETKOV Keean 100% 100% 100% 99% 90% 61% 20%
18 MYRAH Devin 100% 100% 100% 95% 74% 36% 7%
19 TANG Zheng 100% 100% 99% 94% 74% 34% 3%
20 GUO Luke 100% 100% 100% 98% 88% 57% 18%
21 WU MiEr 100% 100% 98% 87% 59% 23% 3%
22 RONG Gordon 100% 100% 100% 99% 88% 48%
23 LI Grayson 100% 100% 100% 100% 95% 75% 33%
24 SU Samuel 100% 100% 100% 99% 94% 69% 23%
25 GACIOCH Noah 100% 100% 100% 98% 83% 42%
26 LEUNG Dylan 100% 100% 99% 93% 63% 20%
27 YAO Tristan 100% 100% 100% 97% 81% 46% 12%
28 LIU Max 100% 100% 95% 79% 48% 17% 2%
29 MOSLEY Wally 100% 100% 98% 87% 52% 12%
30 OR Anson 100% 76% 34% 8% 1% -
31 TANG Daniel 100% 100% 99% 88% 56% 20% 3%
32 RAHMAN Ali 100% 99% 93% 74% 43% 15% 2%
33 LEE Anton 100% 100% 100% 100% 99% 88% 48%
34 OLIVAS Joseph 100% 99% 89% 54% 17% 2%
35 XUE Michael 100% 100% 100% 98% 84% 50% 14%
36 BACON Corban 100% 100% 97% 84% 57% 25% 5%
37 BALUCAN Caelus 100% 100% 98% 88% 59% 20% 2%
38 KROTZ Nicolas 100% 100% 100% 98% 85% 51% 14%
38 DENG Destin 100% 100% 100% 97% 83% 49% 13%
40 MA Nolan 100% 100% 97% 83% 47% 10%
41 DENG Henry 100% 100% 100% 93% 65% 22%
42 WONG Vansen 100% 99% 91% 65% 29% 6%
43 SCHWARTZMAN Ethan 100% 99% 93% 68% 28% 4%
44 KIM Julian 100% 100% 100% 98% 84% 50% 14%
45 LIN Daniel 100% 100% 94% 68% 26% 4%
46 GEVA Reuben 100% 100% 100% 96% 78% 41% 9%
47 ROBERTS Arthur 100% 99% 94% 76% 44% 15% 2%
48 CHIN NAKAZONO Justin 100% 95% 75% 42% 15% 3% -
49 LEE Lucas 100% 100% 98% 88% 60% 25% 4%
50 LI Guanhua 100% 96% 76% 42% 14% 2% -
51 NGUYEN Ethan V. 100% 98% 86% 56% 22% 4% -
52 XIE HanZhang (Elon) 100% 100% 95% 78% 43% 11%
53 ENG Kyler 100% 99% 88% 58% 22% 4%
54 RONG Marcus 100% 100% 98% 83% 45% 9%
55 PURCELL Jonathan 100% 92% 66% 32% 9% 1% -
56 REICHMANN Theo 100% 100% 99% 93% 68% 30% 6%
57 DING Max 100% 100% 95% 75% 40% 12% 1%
58 WANG Juehan 100% 100% 98% 83% 48% 13% 1%
59 NG Alexander 100% 97% 76% 37% 10% 1% -
60 SRINIVASAN Sanat Ram 100% 99% 91% 67% 32% 8% 1%
61 KHUSHRAJ Rohan 100% 100% 97% 82% 51% 18% 3%
62 PARSA Rayan 100% 99% 92% 67% 29% 5%
63 SAMOYLOV Daniel 100% 94% 71% 36% 11% 1% -
64 LIU Daniel 100% 96% 79% 49% 20% 5% -
65 PARRA Lucas 100% 100% 97% 84% 56% 23% 4%
66 ZHANG Chaoyi(Joey) 100% 100% 95% 77% 43% 11%
67 WONG Aaron 100% 100% 99% 91% 67% 29% 5%
68 SUN Jiarui (Jerry) 100% 99% 89% 65% 32% 9% 1%
69 BERTEL Florian 100% 99% 92% 68% 31% 6%
70 LU Ian 100% 99% 89% 56% 18% 2%
71 LUO Alvin Y. 100% 98% 74% 29% 5% -
72 YOON Ian 100% 96% 74% 35% 9% 1% -
73 WANG Suian (Andy) 100% 96% 78% 43% 14% 2% -
74 WU Nathan 100% 100% 99% 86% 49% 12%
76 YU Brandon 100% 100% 96% 76% 38% 10% 1%
77 YUN Nicholas 100% 94% 68% 29% 7% 1% -
78 CHAN Nathan 100% 99% 90% 59% 21% 3% -
79 YUN Mason 100% 95% 55% 15% 2% -
80 PARK Ethan 100% 98% 88% 63% 31% 8% 1%
81 LEE Leo 100% 100% 99% 92% 67% 29% 5%
81 XU David 100% 98% 88% 61% 27% 6% -
83 TAMHANE Sidhant 100% 82% 43% 13% 2% - -
84 ZHANG Luqi 100% 100% 99% 94% 77% 43% 12%
84 WANG Mason 100% 99% 88% 58% 24% 5% -
86 SHOURIE Neel 100% 97% 79% 45% 14% 2% -
87 LOUIE Kyle 100% 68% 24% 5% - - -
88 YOO Minwoo 100% 99% 90% 59% 22% 4% -
89 SZETO Zachary 100% 77% 32% 6% 1% -
90 ZENG Oliver 100% 98% 83% 50% 17% 3%
91 DIESSNER Henry 100% 99% 92% 70% 38% 12% 2%
92 HUA Nolan 100% 97% 82% 51% 21% 4% -
93 TOYOFUKU Lucas 100% 99% 91% 68% 35% 10% 1%
94 CHEN Linus 100% 91% 57% 20% 3% -
94 LIU Yihong 100% 100% 98% 86% 54% 20% 3%
96 SHIH Derek 100% 93% 66% 29% 7% 1% -
97 KIM Daniel 100% 100% 99% 95% 76% 39% 8%
99 WONG Kyle 100% 99% 89% 62% 26% 5% -
100 ZENG Felix 100% 98% 78% 42% 13% 2% -
101 KLINKNER Charlie 100% 89% 53% 17% 3% - -
102 GUO Jonathan 100% 94% 69% 32% 8% 1% -
103 SONG Jonathan 100% 95% 70% 30% 7% 1% -
104 BALUCAN Gabriel 100% 96% 77% 42% 13% 2% -
105 KOU Mason 100% 97% 82% 53% 23% 6% 1%
106 YOO Lucas 100% 99% 91% 67% 33% 9% 1%
107 CHEN Anderson 100% 97% 80% 50% 20% 4% -
108 YU Haoyun 100% 96% 77% 44% 16% 3% -
109 LEE Joshua 100% 96% 73% 34% 8% 1% -
111 JU Shang 100% 90% 57% 20% 3% -
112 LAU Caleb 100% 96% 64% 23% 4% - -
113 YIM Antonio 100% 95% 73% 38% 12% 2% -
114 ABRAHAM Aaron 100% 85% 50% 17% 3% -
115 FU Benjamin 100% 98% 82% 44% 11% 1%
116 TIAN Dylan 100% 84% 46% 14% 2% -
117 KONG William 100% 85% 48% 16% 3% -
118 DODGE Myles 100% 76% 35% 9% 1% - -
119 LI Connor 100% 97% 76% 38% 10% 1% -
120 FUNG SCOTT 100% 97% 72% 29% 6% 1% -
121 BROWN Sean 100% 99% 92% 67% 31% 8% 1%
122 SHOURIE Seth 100% 92% 66% 33% 10% 2% -
123 LIN Bryan 100% 99% 87% 56% 20% 3% -
124 NARAYANUN Advay 100% 72% 27% 5% - -
125 TAVERNA Matteo 100% 87% 53% 20% 4% - -
126 HUNG Ludwig 100% 38% 7% 1% - - -
127 ZHAO Kyle Zekai 100% 90% 58% 23% 5% - -
128 LYSENKO Timofei 100% 89% 57% 23% 6% 1% -
129 LO Stefan 100% 89% 49% 14% 2% - -
130 DOGRUOZ Kuzey 100% 99% 92% 68% 34% 9% 1%
131 LIU Aiden 100% 91% 63% 30% 8% 1% -
132 FONG Ethan 100% 89% 54% 18% 3% - -
132 HERNANDEZ-ALDANA Miguel 100% 71% 23% 4% - -
134 WANG Hansen 100% 79% 37% 9% 1% - -
135 HAN Alex 100% 90% 61% 27% 8% 1% -
136 YE Andrew 100% 66% 19% 3% - -
137 WU James 100% 81% 42% 13% 2% - -
138 LI Nathan 100% 72% 26% 4% - - -
138 KOU Logan 100% 47% 9% 1% - - -
138 WANG Astin 100% 25% 2% - - -
141 SOMANI Ilyaa 100% 48% 11% 1% - - -
142 DESHPANDE Arihant 100% 64% 21% 3% - - -
143 KIM Hayden 100% 72% 28% 5% - -
144 GONG Rongtao 100% 27% 3% - - - -

Explanation

The heatmap in this table provides a visual representation of the victory probability distribution for each fencer in their respective pools:

This heatmap visualization offers an immediate understanding of each fencer's expected performance compared to their actual results.