The Margherita Guzzi Vincenti Cup

Senior Mixed Épée

Saturday, November 1, 2025 at 1:00 PM

Ataba Fencing Club - Hartland, WI, USA

Probability density of pool victories

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Explore the probability of achieving at least a certain number of victories in the pool for each fencer, with their actual victories highlighted in a box. Learn more.

# Name Number of victories
0 1 2 3 4 5 6
1 SPIER Julian H. 100% 100% 100% 100% 99% 93% 62%
2 MCDOWELL Will 100% 100% 100% 99% 94% 67% 20%
3 ROBBINS Christopher (Chris) W. 100% 100% 97% 82% 49% 15% 1%
3 BEACH John 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 92% 48%
5 CURTY Jack 100% 100% 100% 99% 88% 54% 13%
6 GLASS Timothy C. 100% 100% 100% 100% 98% 86% 45%
7 NASSOS Eric 100% 100% 98% 82% 45% 13% 1%
8 MCCORD Jack 100% 100% 99% 90% 60% 20% 2%
9 SWANSON Dave 100% 100% 99% 92% 64% 23% 2%
10 SADLER August 100% 81% 38% 8% 1% - -
11 BURKHARDT Krista L. 100% 98% 77% 36% 8% 1% -
12 BANACH Ross 100% 99% 89% 59% 22% 4% -
13 SWENSON Diego 100% 97% 75% 33% 7% 1% -
14 RITTERBUSCH Abigail 100% 79% 38% 10% 1% - -
15 NAGANOBORI Hiroki 100% 100% 99% 89% 58% 19% 2%
16 STEINEKE Warren 100% 92% 63% 26% 6% 1% -
17 MISIOURA Mark 100% 82% 40% 10% 1% - -
18 JOYCE Brady 100% 84% 42% 11% 1% - -
19 SKILLINGS Byron 100% 100% 96% 67% 5% - -
20 SWENSON Alexandra 100% 98% 76% 33% 6% - -
21 NIXON Bailey 100% 34% 5% - - - -

Explanation

The heatmap in this table provides a visual representation of the victory probability distribution for each fencer in their respective pools:

This heatmap visualization offers an immediate understanding of each fencer's expected performance compared to their actual results.