Trick or Retreat RJCC

Cadet Men's Épée

Sunday, November 2, 2025 at 8:00 AM

NJ Convention & Exposition Center - Edison, NJ, USA

Probability density of pool victories

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Explore the pool victory probability density for each fencer, with their actual victories highlighted in a box. Learn more.

# Name Number of victories
0 1 2 3 4 5 6
1 LAI Boden - - - - 2% 23% 75%
2 CHEN Zhengyang (Allen) - - - - 5% 29% 65%
3 DOUBOV Andrew - - - 4% 20% 43% 33%
3 GLUSHKOV David - 1% 7% 25% 40% 25% 3%
5 XIA Dashan - - - - 2% 23% 75%
6 LEE DoWon - - 1% 7% 24% 41% 27%
7 KUSACTAY Eric - 2% 12% 29% 34% 18% 4%
8 TSE Maxwell - - - 1% 12% 40% 47%
9 LUO Alexander - 3% 14% 33% 36% 15%
10 MILINKOVIC Maksim - 4% 20% 39% 30% 6%
11 KOGAN Yelisey L. - 2% 14% 39% 33% 11% 1%
12 LYCHKO Maksym 1% 6% 21% 36% 29% 9%
13 YI Nathan - 1% 7% 32% 44% 17%
14 LECUYER-SCHOONMAKER Declan - - 5% 22% 39% 27% 6%
15 BHANDARE Veer 3% 16% 33% 32% 14% 2%
16 CHEN Jayden - - 1% 9% 27% 40% 22%
17 LIU Adam - - - 1% 8% 35% 56%
18 CUELLAR Markus - 1% 11% 34% 40% 14%
19 TRAN Spencer - - 2% 18% 45% 35%
20 YAMAGUCHI Yuzuki - - 1% 8% 36% 48% 8%
21 KARIMOV Amir - - 2% 13% 40% 45%
22 GUNDUBOGULA Saket 2% 13% 31% 34% 17% 3%
23 LIU Ethan - 5% 18% 34% 30% 12% 2%
24 SOLARZ Arthur - - 5% 24% 41% 25% 4%
25 WU Matthew - 1% 8% 28% 40% 21% 2%
26 ZHAI Junqi - 2% 10% 28% 36% 20% 3%
27 SUH Aiden - 1% 9% 30% 39% 19% 2%
28 BLUMEN Benjamin - - 2% 15% 38% 36% 9%
29 DURKIN Hudson - - 4% 21% 43% 31%
30 LEE Henry 1% 12% 35% 36% 14% 2%
31 GOVOROV Alexander 1% 5% 20% 35% 29% 10% 1%
32 TANG Colin 3% 17% 33% 31% 14% 3% -
33 O'LONGAIGH Sunkhar - 1% 6% 22% 38% 27% 6%
34 NG Nico - - 4% 16% 34% 34% 12%
35 WANG-SONG Evan - 2% 14% 36% 37% 12%
36 ZHANG Marcus - 1% 6% 20% 36% 30% 8%
37 CZEPLA Andrew - - 7% 34% 44% 14% 1%
38 CHAU Collin - 5% 19% 34% 29% 11% 2%
39 SKLAR Davida - 5% 24% 38% 25% 7% 1%
40 NOOL Alexander - 1% 10% 40% 39% 10% -
41 SUN Lucas - 2% 15% 42% 34% 8%
42 LI Ryan - 5% 25% 41% 25% 5%
43 HENNESSY Levon - 5% 22% 40% 27% 6%
44 CHEN Aiden 4% 26% 40% 24% 6% -
45 GAO Ryan 2% 17% 37% 31% 11% 2% -
46 THOMAS Andrew 1% 12% 31% 34% 17% 4% -
47 LI Ray 1% 7% 23% 36% 26% 8% 1%
48 MCGRATH Hogan 14% 34% 33% 15% 3% - -
49 THOMAS Ethan 3% 24% 39% 26% 7% 1% -
50 ZHENG Jason 1% 9% 35% 38% 15% 2%
51 PREVOST Landon 78% 20% 2% - - -
52 DATSON David 3% 33% 44% 17% 2% -
52 CARPENTER Touma S. 1% 9% 30% 39% 19% 3%
54 KIM Zac 5% 32% 40% 19% 4% -
55 LI Morgan - - 3% 19% 44% 34%
56 KENDLER Micah 8% 27% 36% 22% 7% 1% -
57 ALEXANDER Christopher - 3% 15% 36% 34% 12% 1%
58 ZHU Yiming 1% 8% 29% 37% 20% 5% -
59 CHO Adrian 2% 12% 31% 34% 18% 4% -
60 LIU Pan Iok 27% 47% 22% 3% - - -
61 MANN Daniel 4% 18% 34% 29% 12% 2% -
62 TUNG Charlie 1% 8% 28% 37% 21% 4% -
63 LI Tyrese 51% 38% 10% 1% - -
64 WEISELBERG Mark 29% 41% 23% 6% 1% -
65 TRAVIS Declan 22% 50% 24% 4% - -
66 SONPAL Winslow 5% 27% 43% 21% 4% - -
66 CHONG Eden 19% 43% 29% 8% 1% - -
68 LAW Oliver 26% 47% 23% 4% - - -
69 XIE Richard 19% 47% 27% 6% 1% - -
70 TOPRANI Valmik 3% 20% 39% 28% 8% 1% -
71 HE Bronto - 1% 9% 29% 39% 20% 2%
72 MOZZER Nolan 4% 20% 35% 29% 11% 2%
73 BARTON Christian 48% 42% 9% 1% - -
74 YU David 5% 30% 40% 20% 4% -
75 PROULX Nico 15% 37% 32% 13% 3% - -
76 YU Kenneth 9% 29% 35% 20% 6% 1% -
77 LOPATIN Sergei 10% 38% 41% 10% 1% - -
78 WELCH Sebastian 32% 45% 20% 4% - - -
79 AU Joshua 3% 33% 45% 16% 2% -
80 LEE Ryan 65% 30% 5% - - -
81 SINGH Kiratjit 66% 29% 5% - - - -
81 JIANG Aidan 44% 43% 12% 1% - - -
83 O'BRIEN Michael 27% 47% 23% 3% - - -
83 JUSTA Rivan 30% 46% 21% 3% - - -
85 MUNFORD Malik 31% 42% 21% 5% 1% - -
86 PARISH-MORRIS Jay 23% 41% 27% 8% 1% - -

Explanation

The heatmap in this table provides a visual representation of the victory probability distribution for each fencer in their respective pools:

This heatmap visualization offers an immediate understanding of each fencer's expected performance compared to their actual results.