AFM Super Regional SYC/RJCC/ROC Div1A/Vet

Y-10 Men's Saber

Sunday, November 2, 2025 at 11:00 AM

Santa Clara Convention Center - Santa Clara, CA, USA

Probability density of pool victories

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Explore the probability of achieving at least a certain number of victories in the pool for each fencer, with their actual victories highlighted in a box. Learn more.

# Name Number of victories
0 1 2 3 4 5 6
1 WANG Henrik 100% 100% 100% 94% 59% 7%
2 CHUNG Evan 100% 96% 75% 38% 10% 1%
3 TABANCAY Cole 100% 100% 100% 100% 96% 75% 30%
3 LEE Hubert Junhu 100% 100% 100% 98% 83% 41%
5 QIAO Jason 100% 99% 93% 69% 31% 6%
6 CHEN Donovan 100% 100% 97% 81% 43% 9%
7 ZHENG Matt 100% 100% 96% 78% 43% 11%
8 LEE Caleb 100% 97% 81% 48% 16% 2%
9 GALANG Aiden 100% 91% 61% 24% 5% -
10 NOWAKOWSKI Zachary 100% 99% 91% 57% 16% -
11 JIAO Lawrence 100% 100% 97% 80% 42% 9%
12 SEVERT David 100% 92% 53% 16% 2% -
13 JIANG Hardy 100% 96% 76% 36% 8% 1%
14 YAN Kaysen 100% 97% 80% 47% 15% 2%
15 CHANG Jarrett 100% 93% 62% 24% 5% -
16 ZHANG Kingstin 100% 96% 71% 30% 6% -
17 LI Nathan 100% 100% 98% 85% 47% 9% -
18 YUNG Nathan 100% 100% 96% 76% 33% 6%
19 CHEN Brian 100% 88% 49% 13% 1% - -
20 WU August 100% 100% 99% 95% 75% 33%
21 HWANG Leo 100% 100% 100% 99% 89% 48%
22 LIN Rongcheng Noah 100% 97% 80% 46% 15% 2%
23 HORIKAWA Xander 100% 97% 72% 30% 6% -
24 GUI Kyle 100% 100% 99% 88% 58% 22% 3%
25 PICACHE Merrick 100% 100% 94% 72% 34% 6%
26 KIM Dylan 100% 87% 54% 20% 4% -
27 CHANG Allen 100% 94% 70% 34% 9% 1%
28 TAM Ethan 100% 97% 76% 34% 7% 1%
29 ARVIND Dhruv 100% 100% 100% 99% 91% 57% 16%
30 JIANG Harry 100% 98% 84% 48% 14% 1%
31 ZHANG Leon 100% 100% 93% 65% 26% 4%
32 PAN Wesley 100% 100% 96% 79% 44% 11%
33 GOURJI Roman 100% 59% 17% 3% - -
34 WU Jaren 100% 99% 94% 74% 38% 9%
35 JUNG Diego 100% 45% 9% 1% - -
36 LANG XIYUE 100% 63% 21% 4% - -
37 CHEN Jiayi 100% 100% 99% 92% 65% 24%
38 RAMAKRISHNA Aditya 100% 87% 50% 14% 2% - -
39 SHIH Brandon 100% 100% 97% 79% 38% 6%
40 LAN Rory 100% 87% 45% 11% 1% -
40 FERNANDEZ leo 100% 35% 5% - - -
42 YANG Kaleb 100% 78% 36% 9% 1% - -
43 WOO Jonathan 100% 98% 82% 48% 16% 2%

Explanation

The heatmap in this table provides a visual representation of the victory probability distribution for each fencer in their respective pools:

This heatmap visualization offers an immediate understanding of each fencer's expected performance compared to their actual results.