AFM Super Regional SYC/RJCC/ROC Div1A/Vet

Y-10 Women's Foil

Sunday, November 2, 2025 at 1:30 PM

Santa Clara Convention Center - Santa Clara, CA, USA

Probability density of pool victories

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Explore the pool victory probability density for each fencer, with their actual victories highlighted in a box. Learn more.

# Name Number of victories
0 1 2 3 4 5 6
1 WU Gloria - - 1% 8% 28% 42% 21%
2 CHEN bridgette - - 2% 13% 41% 44%
3 ZHANG Selene T. - 3% 14% 32% 36% 15%
3 LIN Clara - - - 3% 17% 42% 37%
5 LIU Anya - - 1% 6% 22% 42% 29%
6 FU Angela - 3% 17% 37% 33% 10%
7 KIM Rylie 4% 20% 38% 30% 8%
8 LIN Tiffany 1% 10% 29% 37% 20% 3%
9 NAKAZATO Isabella - - 2% 11% 38% 49%
10 MAHAPATRA Alisha - - 1% 10% 33% 40% 16%
11 HOLSTAD Anneliese - 1% 10% 30% 40% 19%
12 SHI Cathy - 3% 16% 34% 34% 13%
13 TUNG Alison 1% 10% 27% 36% 21% 5%
14 XIA Emily 2% 15% 32% 33% 15% 3%
15 ZHAI Muyan 2% 15% 34% 35% 13%
16 CHUNG Charlotte - - 3% 14% 33% 37% 13%
17 SAIFEE Sakina - - - 1% 10% 38% 51%
18 CHEUNG Arya 4% 20% 35% 28% 11% 2% -
19 TELEB Amina 3% 17% 35% 32% 12% 1%
20 LI Claire 2% 14% 33% 33% 15% 3%
21 SHU Kayla - 1% 7% 24% 38% 25% 4%
22 LEE Madison - 2% 14% 38% 33% 11% 1%
23 KENZHEBULATOVA Sara 5% 21% 34% 27% 11% 2% -
24 CHEN Chloe 5% 26% 41% 24% 3% -
25 CHANG Yuri 6% 25% 39% 24% 6% -
26 KO Alyssa 1% 5% 20% 36% 29% 9%
27 PICACHE Camilla 21% 41% 28% 8% 1% -
28 KIM Taerin - 2% 13% 34% 37% 14%
29 SUN Zoey 8% 29% 37% 21% 5% -
30 SUN Leia 1% 6% 22% 36% 28% 8%
31 TAGNE Zoey 3% 16% 32% 31% 15% 3% -
32 MARENITCH Kara - 1% 9% 26% 37% 22% 4%
33 CHEN Michelle - - 4% 17% 36% 33% 9%
34 MORONES Alieza 1% 8% 25% 36% 23% 6% 1%
35 JOE Everly 12% 33% 35% 17% 4% - -
35 YANG Lucy 22% 41% 27% 8% 1% - -
37 DAI Claire 2% 16% 36% 34% 12%
38 SHEN Rebecca - - 3% 17% 38% 33% 9%
39 ZEE Bella 5% 21% 34% 27% 11% 2% -
40 KIM Olivia 3% 16% 33% 31% 14% 2%
41 CHANG Audrey 13% 34% 34% 16% 4% -
42 LOPEZ-HOR Emma Meixian 8% 29% 38% 20% 5% -
43 YI Helen 8% 28% 37% 22% 5% -
44 GAO Nicole 2% 13% 29% 33% 18% 4% -
45 CHEN Sarah - 5% 18% 34% 30% 12% 2%
46 CHOW Ariel 3% 16% 34% 31% 13% 3% -
47 LU Mackenzie 40% 44% 15% 2% - - -
48 GU Alexandra 16% 38% 32% 12% 2%
49 SCHOR Katherine 27% 43% 24% 5% - -
50 SCHULTZ Emmi 21% 42% 28% 8% 1% -
51 DONG Ena 15% 38% 33% 12% 2% -
52 CHENG Jessica 25% 41% 25% 7% 1% -
53 KNOX aysa 4% 18% 35% 30% 12% 2% -
54 SONG Esther W 12% 41% 35% 10% 1% - -
55 SINGH Aditi 14% 36% 33% 14% 3% -
56 YOON Adeline 13% 35% 35% 15% 2%
57 MURPHY Ava 4% 20% 34% 28% 11% 2%
58 ISAAC Felicity 7% 25% 35% 24% 8% 1% -
59 MAHAJAN Mira 8% 34% 40% 15% 2% - -
60 LIN Valentina 13% 34% 34% 15% 3% - -
61 HOU Alice < 1% 5% 32% 42% 19% 2%
62 SONI Olivia < 1% 2% 14% 37% 37% 10%
63 GUO Antong 12% 34% 35% 16% 3% - -

Explanation

The heatmap in this table provides a visual representation of the victory probability distribution for each fencer in their respective pools:

This heatmap visualization offers an immediate understanding of each fencer's expected performance compared to their actual results.